Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2016

EF0 tornado, Buffalo, Kentucky, May 10, 2016

This EF0 tornado ran 1.6 miles across Trigg County on May 10, 2016, touching down at 7:17 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $20,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 10, 2016
Touchdown
7:17 PM CDT (00:17 UTC)
Lifted
7:21 PM CDT (00:21 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
1.6 miles (2.5 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$20,000
County
Trigg County
Touchdown point
36.934, -87.701
Lift-off point
36.944, -87.676
Record number
1605101817-01

The damage survey

7 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An outbreak of supercells with large hail and isolated tornadoes affected western Kentucky during the afternoon and early evening. The initial round of thunderstorms occurred early in the afternoon over northwest Kentucky. These storms, which produced a major hailstorm and flash flood in the Owensboro area, were triggered by a weak upper-level low over northern Illinois. This initial round of thunderstorms produced an outflow of cooler air that settled south into southwest Kentucky. By mid-afternoon, isolated supercells with tornadoes fired up along the leading edge of cooler air. Strong westerly upper-level winds associated with the upper-level low over Illinois provided ample wind shear for supercells. A southwest wind flow of moist and unstable air in the lower levels of the atmosphere provided fuel for the storms. Low-level winds up to around 40 knots enhanced low-level wind shear, providing a favorable environment for tornadoes. The supercells lingered well into the evening.

This tornado destroyed an older wooden barn along Highway 126 just north of Highway 128. A newer wooden barn was heavily damaged near the end of the damage path. Since the path was across open fields, there was little other evidence of damage. The tornado was witnessed by several people, including a state trooper and a trained spotter. The tornado lifted less than a mile from the Christian County line. Peak winds were estimated near 80 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

16 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:01 UTC, 16 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 22:08 UTC and running to 02:28 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:00 UTC22:08 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH
20:30 UTC21:15 UTCTornado WarningPAH
21:11 UTC21:45 UTCTornado WarningPAH
21:37 UTC22:00 UTCTornado WarningPAH
22:08 UTC02:28 UTCTornado WatchPAH
00:01 UTC00:30 UTCTornado WarningPAH
00:28 UTC00:55 UTCTornado WarningPAH
00:41 UTC00:49 UTCTornado WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:02 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

0.3 hours before the tornado, 133 km from the path. May 11, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1257 joules per kilogram, CIN -9, lifted condensation level 1467 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 116 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 40 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1257 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2184 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1467 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
276 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
6.3
0-3 km lapse rate
7.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

11.7 hours after it, 133 km from the path. May 11, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1524 joules per kilogram, CIN -49, lifted condensation level 790 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 269 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 31 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1524 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Surface CAPE
846 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
269 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
6.7
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 42 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:18 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:42 UTCHAIL 0.75HansonHopkins, KY
21:46 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDLamascoLyon, KY
22:01 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDCroftonChristian, KYNEAR CROFTON
22:03 UTCHAIL 1CroftonChristian, KY
22:04 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 E HansonHopkins, KYLOOKING EAST FROM HANSON EXIT I-69
22:04 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 E HansonHopkins, KYLOOKING EAST FROM I-69 HANSON EXIT
22:14 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD4 E HansonHopkins, KY
22:14 UTCHAIL 1.53 Wsw SacramentoHopkins, KY
22:25 UTCTORNADO2 Ne ApexMuhlenberg, KY
22:25 UTCTORNADON ApexChristian, KYEF-1 105 MPH PEAK WIND. PATH LENGTH 5 MILES. DOZENS OF TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. 2 BARNS DESTROYED. ROOF BLOWN OFF DECK WITH PARTIAL LOSS OF ROOF DECKING ON HOUSE. PATH WIDTH 100 YARDS WIDE.
22:26 UTCTORNADO7 Sw GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYSIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO HOUSE ON JOE ELI LANE ON MUHLENBERG/CHRISTIAN CO. LINE. RESIDENT TOOK COVER IN A STORM SHELTER.
22:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Se White PlainsMuhlenberg, KYSEVERAL BUILDINGS DAMAGED ALONG ELI LANE...5 BUILDINGS DAMAGED ALONG JERRELLS CREEK ROAD...TREES UPROOTED AND TWISTED IN THAT AREA. POWER POLES DOWN IN SW PART OF COUNTY...WIDESPREAD HAIL DAMAGE WITHIN THE COUNTY...HAIL
22:30 UTCTORNADOApexChristian, KYEMS/EMA TRACKED TORNADO FROM FIRST TOUCHDOWN NEAR APEX TO WEIR TO SOUTH OF DRAKESBORO NEAR BROWDER...THEN THE TORNADO LIFTED AT APPROXIMATELY 555 PM. QUARTER TO LARGER THAN GOLF BALL HAIL WAS REPORTED ALONG THE PATH.
22:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGGreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE ON TERRELLS CREEK ROAD SOUTH OF GREENVILLE.
22:46 UTCHAIL 2.751 S GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KY
23:24 UTCHAIL 0.754 N CadizTrigg, KY
23:33 UTCHAIL 1FarmersvilleCaldwell, KY
23:38 UTCHAIL 1.52 Ne CobbCaldwell, KY
23:41 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 E CobbCaldwell, KY
23:45 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 N MarionCrittenden, KYROTATING WALL CLOUD SIGHTED.
00:00 UTCHAIL 1CeruleanTrigg, KYHAIL HAS BEEN OCCURRING FOR SEVEN MINUTES.
00:03 UTCHAIL 0.75CeruleanTrigg, KY
00:05 UTCHAIL 2.5CeruleanTrigg, KY
00:10 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDCeruleanTrigg, KY
00:16 UTCTORNADO2 Sse CeruleanTrigg, KYSTRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG KY HIGHWAY 126 JUST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 128.
00:22 UTCTORNADOBuffaloTrigg, KYTORNADO SIGHTED SOUTH OF CERULEAN IN THE BUFFALO AREA.
00:24 UTCTORNADO1 Se CeruleanTrigg, KY
00:25 UTCTORNADO4 Sse CeruleanTrigg, KYTROOPER SIGHTED TORNADO NEAR BUFFALO ROAD AND HIGHWAY 128. DAMAGE TO HOUSE REPORTED...OCCUPANTS FLED.
00:27 UTCTORNADOCeruleanTrigg, KYDEBRIS SEEN ON GROUND.
00:47 UTCTORNADO3 N HopkinsvilleChristian, KYTORNADO SIGHTED AT LAKE BLYTHE.
01:03 UTCTORNADO5 Ne HopkinsvilleChristian, KYREPORTED AT JOHNSON ROAD AND PILOT ROCK ROAD.
01:37 UTCHAIL 1HopkinsvilleChristian, KY
01:41 UTCHAIL 12 Ne HopkinsvilleChristian, KY

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 10, 2016

11 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 102:22 PM CDTEF1Breckinridge, KY0.425$100,000
May 102:44 PM CDTEF3Graves, KY19.045010$3.5 million
May 103:25 PM CDTEF0Holt, NE0.220$40,000
May 103:55 PM CDTEF0Lyon, KY0.130
May 105:25 PM CDTEF1Muhlenberg, KY5.3100$135,000
May 105:36 PM CDTEF0Pope, IL0.120
May 105:56 PM CDTEF0Hardin, IL0.120
May 106:06 PM CDTEF1Union, KY3.750$25,000
May 106:06 PM CDTEF2Ohio, KY8.6300$150,000
May 107:29 PM CDTEF0Christian, KY0.030
May 107:45 PM CDTEF0Christian, KY0.020

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.