Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2016

EF1 tornado, Sutherland to Andersonville, Kentucky, March 31, 2016

From Sutherland to Andersonville, this EF1 tornado ran 3.0 miles across Daviess County on March 31, 2016, touching down at 2:02 PM CDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 31, 2016
Touchdown
2:02 PM CDT (19:02 UTC)
Lifted
2:06 PM CDT (19:06 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
3.0 miles (4.8 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
County
Daviess County
Touchdown point
37.651, -87.129
Lift-off point
37.645, -87.075
Record number
1603311302-01

The damage survey

16 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 100 mph.

  • Loosely tied down mobile home destroyed after being rolled northward. Dozens of trees uprooted or snapped. Trees blow down from an easterly to northwesterly direction.
  • Dozens of trees uprooted. A Mobile home had a broken window.
  • Adjacent carport launched over 50 feet to the NE as well.
  • Roof of Barn and a small grain bin blown 100 to 200 plus feet.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Clusters of severe storms in northeast Arkansas moved east-northeast, affecting western Kentucky during the afternoon. Damaging winds accompanied some of the storms, along with an isolated tornado. The storms developed along and just ahead of a surface cold front.

The tornado began north of Utica on the west side of U.S. Highway 431 and continued east for approximately three miles along a county road. The tornado destroyed a mobile home and two barns and uprooted or snapped a few dozen trees. On U.S. Highway 431, a storm chaser estimated winds of 75 mph, along with a possible rain-wrapped tornado to his northeast. Peak winds based on a National Weather Service damage assessment were estimated near 100 mph. The peak winds occurred near the end of the damage path, where a single-wide mobile home was rolled northward and destroyed. The mobile home was loosely tied down.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 17:44 UTC and running to 19:22 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:44 UTC19:22 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:29 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

7.0 hours before the tornado, 175 km from the path. March 31, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -40091, lifted condensation level 834 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 673 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40091 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
834 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
673 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
836 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

5.0 hours after it, 175 km from the path. April 1, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 217 joules per kilogram, CIN -157, lifted condensation level 861 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 488 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 56 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
217 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-157 J/kg
Surface CAPE
424 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
861 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
488 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
602 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.5
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Owensboro/Daviess (OWB), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
17:56 UTC7063200° 18 kt241001.7
18:56 UTC6863.86230° 13 kt1002.7+TSRA BR
19:24 UTC62.660.8150° 18 kt26999.7-RA BR
19:31 UTC60.859170° 18 kt251000.3-VCTSRA
19:56 UTC61.8859190° 13 kt1001.4VCTS
20:03 UTC62.659200° 14 kt1001.7
20:56 UTC6761200° 12 kt181000.7

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:00 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw AberdeenButler, KYSEVERAL TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
18:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGNeboHopkins, KYDAMAGE TO ROOF OF RURAL FARM HOME INCLUDING NUMEROUS SHINGLES BLOWN OFF. DAMAGE TO PROPERTY. 70 MPH WIND ESTIMATE.
18:42 UTCTSTM WND DMGSlaughtersWebster, KYREPORT OF LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN ON TOWNSEND DRIVE
19:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Sw GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYSEVERAL TREES UPROOTED, ALL LAYING IN SAME DIRECTION. ROOF COMPLETELY TORN OFF METAL BUILDING. SEVERAL TREES ARE DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY
19:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYTWO TREES UPROOTED ON KENNEDY BRASHAR ROAD SOUTH OF GREENVILLE KY
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nne UticaDaviess, KYMOBILE HOME HAS BEEN DEMOLISHED ON EAST MARKSBERRY ROAD IN UTICA. NO INJURIES REPORTED
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYMETAL CARPORT WAS TORN OFF AND DESTROYED. CARPORT WAS THROWN INTO NEARBY HOUSE AND DID MINIMAL DAMAGE TO THAT HOMES ROOF.
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGUticaDaviess, KYMOBILE HOME HAS BEEN DEMOLISHED ON EAST MARKSBERRY ROAD IN UTICA. NO INJURIES REPORTED
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGUticaDaviess, KYAPPROXIMATELY 20 TO 30 TREES DOWN, ALL IN SAME DIRECTION. METAL FROM BARNS THROWN INTO FIELD.
19:10 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se MasonvilleDaviess, KY2 POWER POLES AND A TREE SNAPPED AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 231 AND OLD MASONVILLE ROAD
19:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nw WhitesvilleDaviess, KYPOWER POLES AND WIRES DOWN ALONG HWY 54 NEAR THE 13 MILE MARKER BETWEEN WHITESVILLE AND PHILPOT
19:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGPatesvilleHancock, KYTREE DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 1700 NEAR QUISENBERRY ROAD.
19:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw AberdeenButler, KYSEVERAL TREES DOWN. CORRECTED TIME.
19:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se HardinsburgBreckinridge, KYROOF OFF THE GYM AT BRECKINRIDGE COUNTY MIDDLE SCHOOL. DAMAGE TO A NEARBY GAS STATION. DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS ON FAIRGROUNDS ROAD.
19:42 UTCTSTM WND DMGHarnedBreckinridge, KY*** 2 INJ *** TRAILERS FLIPPED OVER AT NANCY BUTLER TRAILER PARK. UPDATED FOR INJURY REPORT.
19:42 UTCTSTM WND DMGHarnedBreckinridge, KYTRAILERS FLIPPED OVER AT NANCY BUTLER TRAILER PARK.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 31, 2016

19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 315:55 AM CDTEF1Saint Helena Parish, LA0.250
March 316:05 AM CDTEF1Tangipahoa Parish, LA4.6250
March 317:53 AM CDTEF1Lamar, MS1.450$70,000
March 314:40 PM EDTEF1Tippecanoe, IN0.130$50,000
March 314:28 PM CDTEF1Hardin, TN1.575$25,000
March 314:31 PM CDTEF0Perry, TN3.5350$20,000
March 314:45 PM CDTEF0Lewis, TN0.750$5,000
March 315:49 PM EDTEF1Noble, IN0.530
March 315:56 PM EDTEF1Wabash, IN0.760
March 315:56 PM EDTEF0White, IN3.1120
March 316:18 PM CDTEF1Lowndes, MS to AL7.8600$225,000
March 317:38 PM EDTEF0Grady, GA0.350$2,000
March 316:43 PM CDTEF1Pickens, AL2.9350
March 317:03 PM CDTEF1Fayette, AL3.7650
March 317:27 PM CDTEF1Fayette, AL3.7500
March 318:05 PM CDTEF0Fayette, AL1.9400
March 319:42 PM CDTEF1Blount, AL0.3275
March 319:54 PM CDTEF2Morgan, AL9.6200
March 3112:19 AM CDTEF0Lee, AL2.150

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.