Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2016

EF0 tornado, Crofton to Greenville, Kentucky, March 27, 2016

From Crofton to Greenville, this EF0 tornado ran 4.9 miles across Muhlenberg and Christian counties on March 27, 2016, touching down at 7:35 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $4,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
March 27, 2016
Touchdown
7:35 PM CDT (00:35 UTC)
Lifted
7:40 PM CDT (00:40 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
4.9 miles (7.8 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$4,000
Counties
Muhlenberg and Christian counties
Touchdown point
37.118, -87.324
Lift-off point
37.149, -87.244
Record number
1603271835-01

The damage survey

18 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • several tree tops snapped and some mature trees leaning northward

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Thunderstorms increased in coverage and intensity during the afternoon hours ahead of an advancing cold front over southern Illinois and southeast Missouri. Large hail accompanied a couple of the storms due to unseasonably cold air aloft. Wind profiles aloft favored cellular activity, including a couple of supercells that spawned tornadoes.

Minor roof damage occurred on two homes. A few trees were uprooted or snapped. Large tree limbs were down. The average path width was 75 yards. Peak winds were estimated near 80 mph. Much of the path was along or near Highway 800 west of Crofton.

This weak tornado formed just inside the Christian County line along Highway 189 near the Pond River. This tornado was spawned by the same parent cell that was responsible for the EF-2 tornado in northern Christian County. The tornado then tracked into Muhlenberg County within one minute of touching down. Small tree limbs were broken. Peak winds in the Christian County portion of the path were estimated near 60 mph. The average path width was 50 yards.

This weak tornado crossed into a forested area of Muhlenberg County from Christian County. Several tree tops were snapped, and numerous large limbs were blown down. Some tin was blown off an outbuilding. Much of the path was along Highway 189. The average path width was 50 yards. Peak winds were estimated near 75 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

18 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:17 UTC, 18 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:45 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:50 UTC and running to 01:50 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:50 UTC01:50 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH
00:17 UTC00:45 UTCTornado WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

0.6 hours before the tornado, 127 km from the path. March 28, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 328 joules per kilogram, CIN -41, lifted condensation level 718 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2016-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 45 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
328 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-41 J/kg
Surface CAPE
810 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
718 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.9
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

11.4 hours after it, 127 km from the path. March 28, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -98583, lifted condensation level 645 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2016-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -15 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 65 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-98583 J/kg
Surface CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Madisonville (2I0), 27 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:35 UTC73.7659180° 13 kt201009.1
22:55 UTC7155.58190° 17 kt251008.8
23:15 UTC65.356.12180° 12 kt171009.1
23:35 UTC6458200° 12 kt1008.8-RA
23:55 UTC63.8659220° 9 kt1009.1-RA
00:15 UTC63.8660210° 7 kt1009.1-RA
00:35 UTC64.461.34290° 8 kt1009.8+RA
00:55 UTC58.4652.16340° 19 kt311010.8-RA
01:15 UTC56.349.82330° 15 kt261011.9-RA
01:35 UTC5648.74320° 13 kt221012.9
01:55 UTC5547320° 14 kt241013.2
02:15 UTC54.547.12330° 13 kt201013.9

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 44 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:05 UTCHAIL 0.258 Se GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYPEA SIZE HAIL WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN.
22:10 UTCHAIL 0.886 Sw GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYNICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN
22:27 UTCHAIL 0.88Central CityMuhlenberg, KYDIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED.
23:58 UTCTORNADONne CeruleanTrigg, KYUNCONFIRMED TORNADO APPROXIMATELY 0.2 MILES NNE OF CERULEAN KENTUCKY. ONE BARN BLOWN AWAY. ONE HOUSE WITH ROOF DAMAGE. DAMAGE TO ONE GARAGE BUILDING. SEVERAL STORAGE SHEDS DESTROYED. SEVERAL POWER POLES BROKEN. TIME ESTI
00:00 UTCTORNADO4 S CroftonChristian, KYAN EF2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 2.5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CERULEAN JUST EAST OF THE TRIGG/CHRISTIAN COUNTY LINE AT 700 PM CDT. THE TORNADO TRAVELED EAST NORTHEAST FOR 15.7 MILES, ENDING 4.3 MILES EAST OF CROFTON AT 721 PM CDT.
00:09 UTCTORNADO8 Nw HopkinsvilleChristian, KYTORNADO UNCONFIRMED...BARN HAS ROOF OFF ON PRINCETON ROAD NORTHWEST OF HOPKINSVILLE...SEVERAL HOUSES DAMAGED. NO INJURIES.
00:11 UTCTORNADO5 W CroftonChristian, KYA EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5.4 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 711 PM CDT AND TRAVELED EAST NORTHEAST FOR 3.4 MILES TO 2 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 717 PM CDT. SURVEY REVEALED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO 2 HOMES. OTHERWISE A FEW TREES W
00:11 UTCTORNADO5 W CroftonChristian, KYA EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5.4 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 711 PM CDT AND TRAVELED EAST NORTHEAST FOR 3.4 MILES TO 2 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 717 PM CDT. SURVEY REVEALED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO 2 HOMES. OTHERWISE A FEW TREES W
00:19 UTCTORNADO2 W CroftonChristian, KYTORNADO UNCONFIRMED...BUT POWER OUTAGES REPORTED ALONG WITH BARN COMPLETELY DESTROYED NEAR OLD PALESTINE ROAD AND SEVERAL NEARBY HOUSES HEAVILY DAMAGED
00:19 UTCTORNADOCroftonChristian, KYUNCONFIRMED...POWER OUTAGES REPORTED
00:22 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 E CroftonChristian, KYFUNNEL SIGHTED ALONG CROFTON FRUIT HILL ROAD BUT UNABLE TO TELL WHETHER IT IS ON THE GROUND
00:35 UTCTORNADO5 Sw GreenvilleMuhlenberg, KYAN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AT 735 PM CDT 2.7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WHITE PLAINS, OR JUST WEST OF THE CHRISTIAN/MUHLENBERG LINE. THIS TORNADO TRAVELED NORTHEAST INTO MUHLENBERG COUNTY TO 5.2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE AT

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 27, 2016

3 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 275:24 PM CDTEF1Benton, TN2.0100$25,000
March 277:00 PM CDTEF2Christian, KY15.5200$1.0 million
March 277:11 PM CDTEF0Christian, KY3.4100$6,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.