Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2016
EF0 tornado, Crofton to Mt Carmel, Kentucky, March 27, 2016
From Crofton to Mt Carmel, this EF0 tornado ran 3.4 miles across Christian County on March 27, 2016, touching down at 7:11 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $6,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- March 27, 2016
- Touchdown
- 7:11 PM CDT (00:11 UTC)
- Lifted
- 7:17 PM CDT (00:17 UTC)
- On the ground
- 6 minutes
- Path length
- 3.4 miles (5.5 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $6,000
- County
- Christian County
- Touchdown point
- 37.050, -87.578
- Lift-off point
- 37.050, -87.516
- Record number
- 1603271811-01
The damage survey
33 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 115 mph.
- multi-directioonal tree damage, path width approx. 100 yards.
- multi-directional tree damage. width measured at 133 yards.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Thunderstorms increased in coverage and intensity during the afternoon hours ahead of an advancing cold front over southern Illinois and southeast Missouri. Large hail accompanied a couple of the storms due to unseasonably cold air aloft. Wind profiles aloft favored cellular activity, including a couple of supercells that spawned tornadoes.
Minor roof damage occurred on two homes. A few trees were uprooted or snapped. Large tree limbs were down. The average path width was 75 yards. Peak winds were estimated near 80 mph. Much of the path was along or near Highway 800 west of Crofton.
This weak tornado formed just inside the Christian County line along Highway 189 near the Pond River. This tornado was spawned by the same parent cell that was responsible for the EF-2 tornado in northern Christian County. The tornado then tracked into Muhlenberg County within one minute of touching down. Small tree limbs were broken. Peak winds in the Christian County portion of the path were estimated near 60 mph. The average path width was 50 yards.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:50 UTC and running to 01:50 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:50 UTC | 01:50 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | PAH |
| 00:17 UTC | 00:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | PAH |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z
0.2 hours before the tornado, 133 km from the path. March 28, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 328 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -41 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 810 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 718 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 207 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.3
- Supercell composite
- 2.9
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.1 K/km
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z
11.8 hours after it, 133 km from the path. March 28, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -98583 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 645 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 67 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 2.7 K/km
The surface observations
Madisonville (2I0), 36 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:35 UTC | 73.76 | 59 | 180° 13 kt | 20 | 1009.1 | |
| 22:55 UTC | 71 | 55.58 | 190° 17 kt | 25 | 1008.8 | |
| 23:15 UTC | 65.3 | 56.12 | 180° 12 kt | 17 | 1009.1 | |
| 23:35 UTC | 64 | 58 | 200° 12 kt | 1008.8 | -RA | |
| 23:55 UTC | 63.86 | 59 | 220° 9 kt | 1009.1 | -RA | |
| 00:15 UTC | 63.86 | 60 | 210° 7 kt | 1009.1 | -RA | |
| 00:35 UTC | 64.4 | 61.34 | 290° 8 kt | 1009.8 | +RA | |
| 00:55 UTC | 58.46 | 52.16 | 340° 19 kt | 31 | 1010.8 | -RA |
| 01:15 UTC | 56.3 | 49.82 | 330° 15 kt | 26 | 1011.9 | -RA |
| 01:35 UTC | 56 | 48.74 | 320° 13 kt | 22 | 1012.9 | |
| 01:55 UTC | 55 | 47 | 320° 14 kt | 24 | 1013.2 | |
| 02:15 UTC | 54.5 | 47.12 | 330° 13 kt | 20 | 1013.9 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 42 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:11 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:05 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | 8 Se Greenville | Muhlenberg, KY | PEA SIZE HAIL WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN. |
| 22:10 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | 6 Sw Greenville | Muhlenberg, KY | NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED WITH TORRENTIAL RAIN |
| 22:27 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Central City | Muhlenberg, KY | DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED. |
| 23:58 UTC | TORNADO | Nne Cerulean | Trigg, KY | UNCONFIRMED TORNADO APPROXIMATELY 0.2 MILES NNE OF CERULEAN KENTUCKY. ONE BARN BLOWN AWAY. ONE HOUSE WITH ROOF DAMAGE. DAMAGE TO ONE GARAGE BUILDING. SEVERAL STORAGE SHEDS DESTROYED. SEVERAL POWER POLES BROKEN. TIME ESTI |
| 00:00 UTC | TORNADO | 4 S Crofton | Christian, KY | AN EF2 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 2.5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CERULEAN JUST EAST OF THE TRIGG/CHRISTIAN COUNTY LINE AT 700 PM CDT. THE TORNADO TRAVELED EAST NORTHEAST FOR 15.7 MILES, ENDING 4.3 MILES EAST OF CROFTON AT 721 PM CDT. |
| 00:09 UTC | TORNADO | 8 Nw Hopkinsville | Christian, KY | TORNADO UNCONFIRMED...BARN HAS ROOF OFF ON PRINCETON ROAD NORTHWEST OF HOPKINSVILLE...SEVERAL HOUSES DAMAGED. NO INJURIES. |
| 00:11 UTC | TORNADO | 5 W Crofton | Christian, KY | A EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5.4 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 711 PM CDT AND TRAVELED EAST NORTHEAST FOR 3.4 MILES TO 2 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 717 PM CDT. SURVEY REVEALED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO 2 HOMES. OTHERWISE A FEW TREES W |
| 00:11 UTC | TORNADO | 5 W Crofton | Christian, KY | A EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5.4 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 711 PM CDT AND TRAVELED EAST NORTHEAST FOR 3.4 MILES TO 2 MILES WEST OF CROFTON AT 717 PM CDT. SURVEY REVEALED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO 2 HOMES. OTHERWISE A FEW TREES W |
| 00:19 UTC | TORNADO | 2 W Crofton | Christian, KY | TORNADO UNCONFIRMED...BUT POWER OUTAGES REPORTED ALONG WITH BARN COMPLETELY DESTROYED NEAR OLD PALESTINE ROAD AND SEVERAL NEARBY HOUSES HEAVILY DAMAGED |
| 00:19 UTC | TORNADO | Crofton | Christian, KY | UNCONFIRMED...POWER OUTAGES REPORTED |
| 00:22 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 E Crofton | Christian, KY | FUNNEL SIGHTED ALONG CROFTON FRUIT HILL ROAD BUT UNABLE TO TELL WHETHER IT IS ON THE GROUND |
| 00:35 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Sw Greenville | Muhlenberg, KY | AN EF0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN AT 735 PM CDT 2.7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WHITE PLAINS, OR JUST WEST OF THE CHRISTIAN/MUHLENBERG LINE. THIS TORNADO TRAVELED NORTHEAST INTO MUHLENBERG COUNTY TO 5.2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE AT |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 27, 2016
3 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.