Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2010

EF2 tornado, Era to Seldon, Kentucky, May 2, 2010

From Era to Seldon, this EF2 tornado ran 9.5 miles across Christian County on May 2, 2010, touching down at 2:49 AM CDT and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $300,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
May 2, 2010
Touchdown
2:49 AM CDT (07:49 UTC)
Lifted
3:00 AM CDT (08:00 UTC)
On the ground
11 minutes
Path length
9.5 miles (15.3 km)
Path width
300 yards (274 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$300,000
County
Christian County
Touchdown point
37.057, -87.598
Lift-off point
37.128, -87.450
Record number
1005020149-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A surface cold front extended from the Chicago area southwestward across the eastern fringes of the St. Louis metro area to a weak low pressure center over southeast Missouri. The low ejected northeast across southern and eastern Illinois, with the trailing cold front moving east across the Lower Ohio Valley. A broken cluster of severe thunderstorms, with embedded supercells and small bow echoes, moved east-northeastward across western Kentucky. Increasing south-southwesterly low level winds brought plenty of moisture northward into the Lower Ohio Valley, aiding in sufficient destabilization for supercells. The two primary supercells of the night followed similar paths across southern parts of the Purchase area, the Lakes region, and the southern Pennyrile region. Heavy rainfall with the storms, in combination with saturated ground from the May 1 storms, produced localized flash flooding.

The highest concentrations of damage were where the tornado crossed State Route 1348 west of Crofton and Route 407 north of Crofton. Three unoccupied mobile homes were severely damaged or destroyed on Route 1348 west of Crofton. On Route 407, two mobile homes suffered moderate to major damage and a garage was levelled. The roof was peeled off one of the mobile homes. This tornado was very near the site of an EF3 tornado in Mannington just over a year earlier. One of the victims whose home was destroyed in the previous year's tornado relocated to a new spot, only to have her new home receive minor damage in this tornado. Several barns along the damage path received minor to moderate damage. Hundreds of trees were uprooted or snapped, particularly on Route 407 and nearby U.S. Highway 41. The tornado damage path began along Highway 109 and ended just after crossing the Pennyrile Parkway. The EF-2 tornado damage was near the end of the damage path along Route 407 and U.S. Highway 41, where hundreds of trees were uprooted or snapped. The average path width was 275 yards. Peak winds were estimated near 120 mph. The supercell that spawned this tornado later produced a separate brief tornado in Hopkins County.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

19 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 07:30 UTC, 19 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 08:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 03:19 UTC and running to 10:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:08 UTC17:37 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
18:19 UTC03:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryPAH
03:03 UTC16:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningPAH
03:19 UTC10:00 UTCTornado WatchPAH
03:26 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
03:46 UTC04:21 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
03:56 UTC04:20 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
06:39 UTC07:15 UTCTornado WarningPAH
07:14 UTC07:29 UTCTornado WarningPAH
07:30 UTC08:15 UTCTornado WarningPAH
07:45 UTC08:15 UTCTornado WarningPAH
08:12 UTC08:28 UTCTornado WarningPAH
16:13 UTC18:00 UTCFlood WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 05:47 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

7.8 hours before the tornado, 135 km from the path. May 2, 2010.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2010-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1 joules per kilogram, CIN -200, lifted condensation level 562 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2010-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 77 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-200 J/kg
Surface CAPE
19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
562 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

4.2 hours after it, 135 km from the path. May 2, 2010.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2010-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1271 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 546 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2010-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 387 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 69 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1271 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1870 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
546 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
387 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
551 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.6
Supercell composite
20.1
0-3 km lapse rate
6.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Fort Campbell (Aaf) (HOP), 47 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
05:50 UTC66.266.2150° 11 kt1004.4-RA
05:54 UTC66.266.2160° 10 kt1004.4-RA
05:55 UTC6767150° 9 kt1004.4-DZ
06:14 UTC66.266.2140° 8 kt1004.1-DZ
06:17 UTC66.266.2140° 7 kt1004.1-DZ
06:20 UTC6868130° 6 kt1004.1-DZ
06:30 UTC6868130° 9 kt1003.7-DZ
06:37 UTC6868130° 9 kt1003.4-DZ
06:41 UTC6868140° 9 kt1003.4
06:55 UTC67.8267.82140° 9 kt1003.4
07:13 UTC6868130° 10 kt1003
07:55 UTC69.2669.26160° 10 kt171002.7
08:33 UTC69.869.8190° 7 kt1003.4-DZ
08:45 UTC69.869.8190° 3 kt1003.4-RA
08:49 UTC69.869.8190° 4 kt1003.4-RA BR
08:51 UTC69.869.8200° 4 kt1003.4TSRA BR
08:55 UTC7070250° 4 kt1003.4-TSRA BR
08:58 UTC69.869.8280° 3 kt1003-TSRA BR
09:00 UTC69.869.80° 0 kt1003-TSRA BR
09:04 UTC69.869.80° 0 kt1003+TSRA BR
09:06 UTC69.869.80° 0 kt1003VCTS RA BR
09:11 UTC69.869.80° 0 kt1004.1-TSRA BR
09:14 UTC69.869.8180° 3 kt1004.1+TSRA FG
09:17 UTC69.869.8 5 kt1003.4+TSRA FG
09:19 UTC69.869.8 5 kt1003+TSRA FG
09:21 UTC69.869.8190° 11 kt151003.4+TSRA FG
09:24 UTC69.869.8210° 9 kt151003.7+TSRA BR
09:26 UTC69.869.8200° 10 kt151003.4+TSRA BR
09:28 UTC69.869.8210° 8 kt151003.4+TSRA BR
09:32 UTC69.869.8220° 8 kt1003.4+TSRA BR
09:35 UTC69.869.8230° 8 kt1003.7-TSRA BR
09:39 UTC71.671.6220° 10 kt171003.4-TSRA BR

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
07:25 UTCTORNADOBlack HawkTrigg, KY...UNCONFIRMED...REPORTED AT INTERSTATE 24 AND STATE HIGHWAY 139S NEAR BLUE SPRINGS MARKET.
07:30 UTCFLASH FLOODMadisonvilleHopkins, KY6 INCHES OF WATER UNDER THE OVERPASS ON CENTRAL AVENUE. ALSO...WATER OVER PORTIONS OF PARK AVENUE
07:49 UTCTORNADO7 W CroftonChristian, KYTHE EF2 TORNADO PATH EXTENDED FOR 9.5 MILES FROM 7 MILES WEST OF CROFTON, KY TO 6 MILES NORTH OF CROFTON. MOST DAMAGE WAS ALONG POOLE MILL RD AND ALONG MANNINGTON LOOP NORTH OF CROFTON. SEVERAL MOBILE HOMES LOST PARTS OF
08:00 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDCroftonChristian, KY
08:04 UTCTORNADO 03 Ssw White PlainsHopkins, KYDAMAGE WAS ALONG AND JUST EAST OF ORANGE GROVE CHURCH RD WHERE A BARN WAS BLOWN DOWN, ALONG WITH PRIMARILY ROOF DAMAGE TO A MOBILE HOME. SEVERAL TREES OR LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN AS WELL.
09:00 UTCFLASH FLOODCentral CityMuhlenberg, KYROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING IN MUHLENBERG COUNTY...WEST RESERVOIR ROAD IN CENTRAL CITY AND ROCKPORT-PARADISE ROAD EAST OF CENTRAL CITY. SEVERAL OTHER ROADS HAVE WATER OVER THEM BUT ARE NOT CLOSED.
09:00 UTCFLASH FLOODPrincetonCaldwell, KYMANY STREETS IN THE COMMUNITY UNDER WATER. SEVERAL VEHICLES TRAPPED IN MIDDLE OF ROADWAYS BEING TOWED BY CITY UTILITY TRUCKS. SEVERAL HOMES WITH 2 FEET OF WATER AND EVACUATIONS ARE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME.
09:50 UTCFLASH FLOODBeaver DamOhio, KYOHIO COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTED NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES FROM BEAVER DAM TO DUNDEE.
10:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGOlmsteadLogan, KYSTRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BARNS AND SHEDS. A MOBILE HOME WAS MOVED OFF ITS FOUNDATION. SEVERAL TREES DOWN.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2010 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 2, 2010

20 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 21:05 AM CDTEF2Fulton, KY12.5600$335,000
May 21:10 AM CDTEF0DeSoto, MS1.1100$10,000
May 21:42 AM CDTEF1Panola, MS0.130$50,000
May 21:47 AM CDTEF0Graves, KY2.440$15,000
May 22:14 AM CDTEF0Crockett, TN0.025$5,000
May 22:20 AM CDTEF2Gibson, TN3.0200$500,000
May 22:48 AM CDTEF3Benton, MS to TN29.688039$1.8 million
May 23:04 AM CDTEF0Hopkins, KY0.575$70,000
May 23:20 AM CDTEF0McNairy, TN0.250$15,000
May 23:24 AM CDTEF2McNairy, TN25.788012$7.4 million
May 23:27 AM CDTEF2Lafayette, MS1.4751$250,000
May 24:13 AM CDTEF0Decatur, TN5.7100$110,000
May 24:45 AM CDTEF1Perry, TN6.9250$150,000
May 25:00 AM CDTEF2Hickman, TN9.26001$600,000
May 25:17 AM CDTEF2Hickman, TN3.9250$200,000
May 26:07 AM CDTEF1Davidson, TN3.6300$500,000
May 26:17 AM CDTEF1Sumner, TN5.0400$450,000
May 26:45 AM CDTEF1Hickman, TN2.750$15,000
May 28:35 AM CDTEF0Monroe, KY5.750$5,000
May 24:25 PM EDTEF2Wayne, KY0.3100$50,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.