Tornadoes · United States · Kansas · 2016

EF1 tornado, Medway, Kansas, July 15, 2016

This EF1 tornado ran 7.8 miles across Hamilton County on July 15, 2016, touching down at 3:48 PM MDT and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
July 15, 2016
Touchdown
3:48 PM MDT (21:48 UTC)
Lifted
4:08 PM MDT (22:08 UTC)
On the ground
20 minutes
Path length
7.8 miles (12.6 km)
Path width
400 yards (366 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Hamilton County
Touchdown point
38.059, -101.909
Lift-off point
37.975, -101.872
Record number
1607151548-01

The damage survey

4 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DDC, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • This tornado appeared to be strong based on chaser video, at least EF2 if not stronger.
  • Pivot irrigation sprinkler damaged.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An unusually strong wind field aloft was enough to get supercell thunderstorms to produce a tornado on a very unstable afternoon. The tornado that formed appeared (visually) to be much stronger than the official damage rating.

This tornado that was well documented by a storm chaser, was visibly much stronger than the damage that was done. A couple of irrigation sprinklers were damaged but had the tornado encountered trees or buildings, it appears the damage could had been at least EF3. The tornado initially moved south/southwest, then curved south and finally southeast and east before dissipating. For July this was a significant tornado and supercell thunderstorm.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

7 minutes of warning. NWS DDC issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:41 UTC, 7 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 19:18 UTC and running to 23:50 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:18 UTC23:50 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchDDC
21:01 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC
21:18 UTC21:45 UTCTornado WarningDDC
21:41 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningDDC
21:44 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC
22:04 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningDDC
22:29 UTC22:54 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDC
22:57 UTC02:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningDDC

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:30 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Dodge City, (KDDC), 12:00Z

9.8 hours before the tornado, 177 km from the path. July 15, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2016-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 568 joules per kilogram, CIN -275, lifted condensation level 1322 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2016-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -65 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 41 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
568 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-275 J/kg
Surface CAPE
333 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1322 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 151 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:45 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGTribuneGreeley, KSTREE BRANCHES UP TO 2 AND 1/2 INCHES IN DIAMETER BROKE OFF OF TREES
22:07 UTCTORNADO4 W SyracuseHamilton, KSCHASER REPORTED CONE TORNADO THAT LASTED 20 MINS.
22:07 UTCTORNADO5 E CoolidgeHamilton, KS
22:07 UTCTORNADO5 Wnw SyracuseHamilton, KSTHE TORNADO WAS REPORT NEAR COUNTY ROAD L AND HIGHWAY 50.
22:34 UTCHAIL 1.257 E CoolidgeHamilton, KS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in KansasEvery tornado in Kansas since 1950Warnings in force in Kansas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 15, 2016

3 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 152:08 PM MDTEF1Cheyenne, CO2.3100$33,000
July 152:19 PM MDTEF0Cheyenne, CO3.6200
July 153:00 PM MDTEF0Kiowa, CO3.850

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.