Tornadoes · United States · Indiana · 2021

EF0 tornado, Blue River, Indiana, October 15, 2021

This EF0 tornado ran 2.7 miles across Washington County on October 15, 2021, touching down at 10:12 PM EDT and reaching 70 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
October 15, 2021
Touchdown
10:12 PM EDT (02:12 UTC)
Lifted
10:15 PM EDT (02:15 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
2.7 miles (4.3 km)
Path width
70 yards (64 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Washington County
Touchdown point
38.543, -85.960
Lift-off point
38.546, -85.903
Record number
2110152012-01

The damage survey

13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

  • Several trees mostly rotted knocked down
  • One large maple on top of car port
  • Power pole snapped and replaced, large root ball uprooted
  • Brief tornado ended just passed the power pole before the lake

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

During the night, an area of thunderstorms ahead of a cold front, worked its way east through southern Indiana. The environment became more stable and only marginal shear remained. The environment was looking less favorable for severe weather, but a storm on the leading edge of a storm cluster generated its own shear between the northern edge of outflow dominant storms to the south and the environmental winds ahead of the storm. This resulted in a series of isolated quick spin-up type tornadoes that caused isolated damage in Washington and Scott Counties.

The National Weather Service conducted two storm damage assessment surveys across eastern Washington County Indiana, from storms Friday evening October 15 around 1015 pm. The second survey came about from new reports of damage along the Blue River east of New Pekin. ||The initial touchdown was just west of Bethel Church Road near the Blue River. This consisted of concentrated softwood and some hardwood tree damage. Drone imagery showed more significant amounts of tree damage, with many maple, elm, and cedar trees uprooted and twisted. Fallen trees were facing in a north, northeasterly, easterly, and southeasterly direction. Wind speeds of 80 mph were fairly consistent within the track with a width of 70 yards.||The tornado lifted from time to time and was intermittent along the entire path.||The survey team found winds of 70 to 75 mph in a cyclonic manner across a very small portion of eastern Washington County near Pine Hill Lake. A very narrow area of tree and roof damage occurred just southwest of the lake with a width of 60 yards. Most of the tree damage happened at 30 to 70 feet off the ground.||Trees were facing to the north, northeast, and easterly direction. One car port had significant damage from large, 4-inch oak limbs falling on it. Minor roof damage occurred, including shingles and large limbs falling on a few homes. One tree fell on a homeowner's pick-up truck, resulting in significant damage.||More substantial wind damage occurred at 10850 East Blue River Road. A large jacuzzi was picked up and thrown 10 yards. The hot tub was not full of water but weighed a substantial amount. Cedar trees were snapped and twisted and numerous maple and sycamore trees were uprooted, snapped and twisted all across the property.||Drone footage showed trees going in multiple directions, especially from the north through southeasterly directions. Trees that were leaning were facing generally to the south. Wind speeds of 80 mph were fairly consistent within the track with a width of 70 yards. ||The tornado lifted on the very back edge of the wooded property at 10850 East Blue River Road. Overlaying radar imagery with the damage track showed that the damage was consistent around a cyclonic swirl, on a line segment within some heavy rain bands.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
02:15 UTC02:30 UTCTornado WarningLMK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 00:52 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 00:00Z

2.2 hours before the tornado, 209 km from the path. October 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-10-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 8 joules per kilogram, CIN -85, lifted condensation level 841 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-10-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Surface CAPE
37 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
841 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 12:00Z

9.8 hours after it, 209 km from the path. October 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2021-10-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -90812, lifted condensation level 592 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2021-10-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -250 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 86 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90812 J/kg
Surface CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
592 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
86 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-250 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 63 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:11 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
02:12 UTCTORNADO2 Wnw Blue RiverWashington, INTHIS REPORT CORRECTS AND REPLACES THE PREVIOUS EF-0 TORNADO LSR FOR WASHINGTON COUNTY INDIANA ON FRIDAY EVENING OCTOBER 15TH. THE TORNADO PATH IS NOW 2.7 MILES BUT THE DAMAGE IS INTERMITTENT. THE INITIAL TOUCHDOWN WAS JU
02:15 UTCTORNADO1 Nw Blue RiverWashington, INVERY BRIEF EF0 TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WITH PEAK WINDS OF 70-75 MPH. ON THE GROUND ONLY FOR 0.1 MILES WITH A WIDTH OF 60-70 YARDS.
02:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw Blue RiverWashington, INREPORT OF WIRES AND TREE BRANCHES DOWN ON A HOUSE ALONG THE 8000 BLOCK OF E LAKESIDE DR.
02:40 UTCTORNADO1 W LexingtonScott, INBRIEF EF0 TORNADO WITH PEAK WINDS OF 80 MPH. IT WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 0.6 MILES WITH A PATH WIDTH PEAKING AT 75 YARDS.
02:41 UTCTSTM WND DMGLexingtonScott, IN15 TO 20 TREES REPORTED DOWN ON POPLAR STREET.
02:41 UTCTSTM WND DMGLexingtonScott, INA TREE FELL ACROSS A VEHICLE IN LEXINGTON, IN.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IndianaEvery tornado in Indiana since 1950Warnings in force in Indiana nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of October 15, 2021

11 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
October 155:22 AM CDTEF1Washington, AR7.8500$100,000
October 153:42 PM EDTEF0Sandusky, OH3.850
October 153:20 PM CDTEF0Pulaski, AR2.5100$5,000
October 158:10 PM CDTEF1Spencer, IN1.050$45,000
October 1510:40 PM EDTEF0Scott, IN0.675
October 1512:53 AM EDTEF0Highland, OH1.850$40,000
October 151:03 AM EDTEF1Highland, OH3.170$100,000
October 151:25 AM EDTEF0Ross, OH0.1201$30,000
October 151:28 AM EDTEF2Ross, OH0.9100$300,000
October 151:42 AM EDTEF0Ross, OH3.475$100,000
October 151:59 AM EDTEF1Pickaway, OH2.780$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.