Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2024

EF1 tornado, Greenbush to Avon, Illinois, March 14, 2024

From Greenbush to Avon, this EF1 tornado ran 1.1 miles across Warren and Fulton counties on March 14, 2024, touching down at 4:36 AM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 14, 2024
Touchdown
4:36 AM CDT (09:36 UTC)
Lifted
4:37 AM CDT (09:37 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
1.1 miles (1.7 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Warren and Fulton counties
Touchdown point
40.686, -90.463
Lift-off point
40.687, -90.443
Record number
2403140336-01

The damage survey

6 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DVN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Large tree branches broken
  • Trees uprooted, trees snapped, machine shed destroyed,
  • Grain bins damaged, machine shed destroyed, several outbuilding destroyed, power poles damaged.
  • Shingles damaged and tree damage

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Widespread severe weather was seen overnight from March 13 into 14 across southeast Iowa, northeast Missouri, and western Illinois. Several severe wind and hail reports were received, along with an EF1 tornado in Warren County.

A nearly stationary frontal boundary extending from northern Indiana to northern Missouri triggered several bands of thunderstorms across west-central Illinois during the pre-dawn hours of March 14th. One of the storms produced an EF-1 tornado in eastern Warren County that crossed into far northwestern Fulton County north of Avon before dissipating. No injuries were reported.

A brief tornado developed early Thursday morning, just northwest of Avon in Warren County Illinois. The tornado caused significant damage at two farmsteads, which included destroyed outbuildings and machine sheds, damaged grain bins, uprooted trees, and snapped power poles. The tornado was on the ground for about one mile, and dissipated just into Fulton County IL, east of North Twin Bridge Road. Maximum winds were estimated around 110 mph, and the tornado was rated a high-end EF1. There were no reports of any injuries.

This tornado initially touched down in the National Weather Service Quad Cities County Warning Area (CWA) in eastern Warren County, then crossed into far northwestern Fulton County about 2 miles northwest of Avon at 4:36 AM CDT. It broke a few large tree branches in Fulton County before quickly dissipating at 4:37 AM CDT.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 05:04 UTC and running to 10:07 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
04:22 UTC05:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVN
04:43 UTC05:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVN
05:01 UTC05:32 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVN
05:04 UTC10:07 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchDVN
06:20 UTC07:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVN
07:14 UTC08:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVN
09:15 UTC09:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

9.6 hours before the tornado, 104 km from the path. March 14, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2024-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -58509, lifted condensation level 1776 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2024-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58509 J/kg
Surface CAPE
8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1776 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
7.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

2.4 hours after it, 104 km from the path. March 14, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2024-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -90137, lifted condensation level 775 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2024-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 36 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 51 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90137 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
775 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Macomb Municipal (MQB), 25 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
07:55 UTC56.352.7360° 10 kt1007.5
08:15 UTC56.75270° 12 kt1006.1
08:35 UTC56.349.530° 12 kt1005.8
08:55 UTC55.24930° 14 kt181005.4
09:15 UTC55.451320° 4 kt1005.1RA
09:35 UTC5248.6320° 28 kt441006.4-RA
09:55 UTC53.650350° 19 kt291006.4RA
10:15 UTC54.549.320° 21 kt251005.8-RA
10:35 UTC544940° 12 kt1006.4
10:55 UTC53.44990° 10 kt1006.8RA
11:15 UTC5349.580° 9 kt1006.8-RA
11:35 UTC52.749.3120° 4 kt1007.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 103 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 09:37 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
09:04 UTCTSTM WND GST 624 Se BlandinsvilleMcdonough, IL
09:04 UTCTSTM WND GST 624 Se BlandinsvilleMcdonough, IL
09:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 604 Ese MacombMcdonough, ILMeasured by a private weather station.
09:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 604 Ese MacombMcdonough, ILMeasured by a private weather station.
09:36 UTCTORNADO5 N Prairie CityWarren, ILA brief tornado developed early Thursday morning, just northwest of Avon in Warren County Illinois. The tornado caused significant damage at two farmsteads, which included destroyed outbuildings and machine sheds, damage
10:15 UTCRAIN 0.97Galesburg AirportKnox, ILAWOS station KGBG Galesburg Arpt.
11:00 UTCRAIN 1.63AltonaKnox, ILCO-OP Observer station AOAI2 Altona.
11:15 UTCRAIN 0.98Galesburg AirportKnox, ILAWOS station KGBG Galesburg Arpt.
12:00 UTCRAIN 1.031 Nw KnoxvilleKnox, ILCocorahs station IL-KX-9 Knoxville 0.7 NW.
12:00 UTCRAIN 1.194 N VictoriaKnox, ILCocorahs station IL-KX-22 Altona 4.7 ESE.
12:00 UTCRAIN 1.511 W GalesburgKnox, ILCO-OP Observer station GBGI2 Galesburg.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 14, 2024

24 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 147:28 AM CDTEF0Jersey, IL8.7100
March 147:44 AM CDTEF0Jersey, IL3.975
March 147:46 AM CDTEF0Jersey, IL2.8200
March 147:46 AM CDTEF0Saint Louis, MO0.150
March 147:58 AM CDTEF0Macoupin, IL2.1100
March 141:58 PM EDTEF2Jefferson, IN to KY18.05002$320,000
March 141:44 PM CDTEF0McIntosh, OK2.7350$10,000
March 143:40 PM CDTEF0Christian, MO1.050$15,000
March 145:40 PM CDTEF1Mercer, IN to OH9.3450$250,000
March 147:00 PM EDTEF1Mercer, OH15.91,050$750,000
March 147:09 PM EDTUnratedHancock, OH1.350
March 147:29 PM EDTEF3Indian Lake tornado, OH31.31,000327$6.0 million
March 147:30 PM EDTEF1Hancock, OH3.3100$75,000
March 147:34 PM EDTEF2Delaware, IN4.5175$4.0 million
March 146:50 PM CDTEF3Winchester tornado, Indiana and Ohio41.3700139$26 million
March 147:54 PM EDTEF2Crawford, OH10.3250$450,000
March 146:59 PM CDTEF0Collin, TX0.215$25,000
March 148:24 PM EDTEF2Union, OH19.5600$550,000
March 147:32 PM CDTEF1Jefferson, IL0.5150$700,000
March 147:57 PM CDTEF2Garland, AR8.51,000
March 149:01 PM EDTEF1Delaware, OH35.4600$1.5 million
March 148:11 PM CDTEF1Wayne, IL2.875$120,000
March 1410:32 PM CDTEF0Breckinridge, KY0.520
March 1411:00 PM CDTEF1McCurtain, OK0.5200$50,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.