Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2018

EF1 tornado, Le Roy to Colfax, Illinois, December 1, 2018

From Le Roy to Colfax, this EF1 tornado ran 0.5 miles across McLean County on December 1, 2018, touching down at 7:42 PM CST and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $110,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 1, 2018
Touchdown
7:42 PM CST (01:42 UTC)
Lifted
7:44 PM CST (01:44 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.5 miles (0.8 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$110,000
County
McLean County
Touchdown point
40.566, -88.671
Lift-off point
40.573, -88.672
Record number
1812011942-01

The damage survey

27 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 114 mph.

  • debris in the field to the east about 200 yds
  • Damage is 200 yards to the west of dat point.
  • debris in the field to the west of n2850 rd
  • Doors to barn were on west and east side. Lots of tree damage in front yard, southwest of barn.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An historic tornado outbreak occurred across Illinois on December 1st, with a total of 29 tornadoes touching down across the central part of the state. This made it the largest December tornado outbreak in the state of Illinois since 1957, and the third largest tornado outbreak across Illinois in any month since 1950. Within the National Weather Service Lincoln County Warning Area (CWA), 20 tornadoes touched down...with the most significant being an EF-3 tornado that tore through the city of Taylorville in Christian County. Despite several communities being directly impacted and experiencing major damage, there were no fatalities reported. The severe weather was caused by a deep area of low pressure that tracked from eastern Kansas into north-central Illinois. Warm air surging northward ahead of the low allowed temperatures to soar into the upper 50s and lower 60s, resulting in a narrow corridor of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) values of 500-1000J/kg ahead of an approaching occluded front. Thanks to ample low-level wind shear, numerous supercell thunderstorms developed within the instability axis by mid to late afternoon. Many of the storms produced tornadoes over the next several hours before the storms gradually weakened by mid-evening.

A tornado touched down one mile south of Moraine View State Park at 7:18 PM CST. It tore off most of the roof of a house and destroyed an attached garage. An outbuilding and several trees were also damaged. The tornado quickly dissipated just east of Moraine View State Park at 7:20 PM CST.

A tornado touched down 3.8 miles southwest of Ellsworth at 7:21 PM CST. It damaged a large outbuilding before quickly dissipating at 7:22 PM CST.

A tornado touched down 3 miles west of Colfax at 7:42 PM CST. It destroyed outbuildings and damaged trees before quickly dissipating 3.1 miles west-northwest of Colfax at 7:44 PM CST.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

29 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:13 UTC, 29 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:17 UTC and running to 02:48 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:17 UTC02:48 UTCTornado WatchILX
00:42 UTC01:15 UTCTornado WarningILX
01:13 UTC01:45 UTCTornado WarningILX
01:47 UTC02:15 UTCTornado WarningILX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:59 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

1.7 hours before the tornado, 47 km from the path. December 2, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2018-12-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 653 joules per kilogram, CIN -11, lifted condensation level 628 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2018-12-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 392 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
653 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Surface CAPE
519 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
628 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
392 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
444 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
6.5
0-3 km lapse rate
6.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

10.3 hours after it, 47 km from the path. December 2, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2018-12-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -87552, lifted condensation level 910 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2018-12-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 38 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87552 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
910 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Bloomington/Norm (BMI), 23 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:45 UTC140° 16 kt991.5
23:50 UTC140° 17 kt991.5
23:55 UTC140° 18 kt991.5
23:56 UTC5654140° 18 kt25991.5
00:00 UTC140° 19 kt991.2
00:05 UTC140° 19 kt991.2
00:10 UTC140° 19 kt991.2
00:15 UTC140° 19 kt991.2
00:20 UTC140° 19 kt991.2
00:25 UTC140° 19 kt991.5
00:30 UTC55.453.6150° 17 kt24991.5VCTS
00:35 UTC140° 19 kt991.5
00:40 UTC150° 16 kt991.9
00:45 UTC140° 15 kt991.5-RA
00:48 UTC55.453.6140° 17 kt23991.5VCTS -RA
00:50 UTC150° 17 kt991.9-RA
00:55 UTC 19 kt991.9-RA
00:56 UTC5654140° 17 kt24991.9-TSRA
01:00 UTC150° 20 kt991.9-RA
01:05 UTC150° 15 kt992.2-RA
01:10 UTC 17 kt992.2-RA
01:15 UTC170° 16 kt992.2RA
01:20 UTC180° 13 kt992.2RA
01:25 UTC200° 13 kt992.2+RA
01:30 UTC220° 12 kt991.9RA
01:35 UTC220° 13 kt992.2+RA
01:40 UTC200° 13 kt992.6+RA
01:45 UTC 14 kt992.6+RA
01:50 UTC190° 8 kt992.2RA
01:55 UTC200° 7 kt992.6RA
01:56 UTC5250200° 7 kt992.6TSRA
02:00 UTC210° 9 kt992.9RA
02:05 UTC220° 11 kt992.9RA
02:06 UTC51.850230° 11 kt992.9VCTS RA
02:10 UTC230° 8 kt992.9+RA
02:15 UTC230° 8 kt992.9-RA
02:20 UTC220° 8 kt992.9-RA
02:23 UTC51.851.8230° 7 kt992.6-RA
02:25 UTC230° 7 kt992.6-RA
02:30 UTC240° 7 kt992.9-RA
02:35 UTC220° 8 kt992.9-RA
02:40 UTC220° 7 kt992.9-RA
02:45 UTC210° 8 kt993.2-RA
02:50 UTC220° 7 kt993.2-RA
02:55 UTC210° 6 kt993.2
02:56 UTC5251210° 5 kt993.2
03:00 UTC190° 6 kt993.2
03:05 UTC200° 8 kt993.6
03:10 UTC210° 6 kt993.6
03:15 UTC200° 6 kt993.6
03:20 UTC200° 8 kt993.6
03:25 UTC210° 7 kt993.6
03:30 UTC220° 6 kt993.6
03:35 UTC230° 6 kt993.9
03:40 UTC220° 10 kt993.9

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 73 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:43 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:00 UTCTORNADO10 S Le RoyDe Witt, IL
01:06 UTCTORNADO 14 Ssw Le RoyMclean, ILPATH LENGGTH 1 MILE, MAX WIDTH 50 YARDS, PEAK WIND SPEED 90 MPH. WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 2 MINUTES, LIFTING 3.5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LE ROY.
01:06 UTCTORNADO4 Ssw Le RoyMclean, ILNWS SURVEY RATES TORNADO AS EF-1.
01:18 UTCTORNADO 23 Ne Le RoyMclean, ILPATH LENGTH 0.7 MILES, MAX WIDTH 100 YARDS, PEAK WIND SPEED 114 MPH. WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 2 MINUTES, LIFTING 3.6 MILES NORTHEAST OF LE ROY. AFFECTED AREA AROUND MORAINE VIEW STATE PARK.
01:20 UTCTORNADO2 Ne Le RoyMclean, ILDEPUTY REPORTED TORNADO ON GROUND NORTH OF 2850E AND 500N HEADING TOWARD ELLSWORTH.
01:21 UTCTORNADO 04 Ssw EllsworthMclean, ILPATH LENGTH 0.1 MILE, MAX WIDTH 25 YARDS, PEAK WIND SPEED 85 MPH. WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 1 MINUTE.
01:22 UTCTORNADO3 Ssw EllsworthMclean, ILNWS STORM SURVEY RATES BRIEF TORNADO AS EF-0.
01:42 UTCTORNADO 13 W ColfaxMclean, ILPATH LENGTH 0.6 MILES, MAX WIDTH 75 YARDS, PEAK WIND SPEED 95 MPH. WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 2 MINUTES. LIFTED 3.1 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF COLFAX.
01:45 UTCTORNADO3 W ColfaxMclean, ILREPORTED DEBRIS AROUND 1975N AND 3070E.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 1, 2018

39 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 112:15 AM CSTEF0Barry, MO0.150$90,000
December 112:30 AM CSTEF1Lawrence, MO0.5501$250,000
December 112:40 AM CSTEF0Christian, MO2.140$190,000
December 112:41 AM CSTEF1Christian, MO1.275$150,000
December 112:47 AM CSTEF1Greene, MO2.560$175,000
December 11:22 AM CSTEF1Webster, MO4.275$90,000
December 11:25 AM CSTEF1Hempstead, AR8.575$300,000
December 11:37 AM CSTEF0Wright, MO0.350
December 11:47 PM CSTEF0Bay, FL2.450
December 11:54 PM CSTEF1Pike, IL1.625
December 12:29 PM CSTEF0Pike, IL0.125
December 12:34 PM CSTEF0Perry, AL0.375
December 12:40 PM CSTEF1Pike, IL0.6110
December 13:00 PM CSTEF1Schuyler, IL1.4100$12,000
December 13:01 PM CSTEF0Morgan, IL1.750
December 13:09 PM CSTEF0Cass, IL0.650$35,000
December 13:18 PM CSTEF0McDonough, IL0.115
December 13:25 PM CSTEF1Cass, IL4.2200$200,000
December 13:41 PM CSTEF0McDonough, IL0.115
December 13:44 PM CSTEF0Mason, IL1.725
December 13:49 PM CSTEF0Autauga, AL0.3100
December 13:51 PM CSTEF1Schuyler, IL15.6450$610,000
December 13:59 PM CSTEF1Macoupin, IL1.450
December 14:09 PM CSTEF1Montgomery, IL8.075
December 14:16 PM CSTEF2Montgomery, IL6.8100
December 14:32 PM CSTEF1Montgomery, IL2.050
December 14:45 PM CSTEF0Fulton, IL5.525$20,000
December 14:47 PM CSTEF0Montgomery, IL3.1200$140,000
December 14:53 PM CSTEF1Mason, IL11.7250$65,000
December 15:01 PM CSTEF3Christian, IL12.590022$119 million
December 15:34 PM CSTEF0Tazewell, IL0.150$80,000
December 15:34 PM CSTEF2Christian, IL8.4400$3.3 million
December 15:53 PM CSTEF1Macon, IL4.3250$325,000
December 16:03 PM CSTEF0Macon, IL0.450$25,000
December 16:16 PM CSTEF1Sangamon, IL4.6100$225,000
December 16:31 PM CSTEF1Macon, IL1.1320$150,000
December 17:06 PM CSTEF1McLean, IL0.250$75,000
December 17:18 PM CSTEF2McLean, IL2.4100$75,000
December 17:21 PM CSTEF0McLean, IL0.125$30,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.