Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2015

EF0 tornado, Marston to Andalusia, Illinois, December 23, 2015

From Marston to Andalusia, this EF0 tornado ran 10.6 miles across Mercer and Rock Island counties on December 23, 2015, touching down at 4:33 PM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
December 23, 2015
Touchdown
4:33 PM CST (22:33 UTC)
Lifted
4:46 PM CST (22:46 UTC)
On the ground
13 minutes
Path length
10.6 miles (17.1 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Mercer and Rock Island counties
Touchdown point
41.315, -90.773
Lift-off point
41.444, -90.662
Record number
1512231633-01

The damage survey

5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DVN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 75 mph.

  • 10 inch diameter tree limbs snapped off. No structural damage.
  • 6 inch diameter tree limbs snapped. End point of tornado.
  • 8 inch diamater tree limbs snapped. No structural damage.
  • Tornado crossed IL State Hwy 94 moving north. No visible damage. Eyewitness account.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A storm system lifting northeastward during the day on the 23rd brought a warm front into eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois. This allowed unseasonably warm, moist air to flow into northwest Illinois with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing by the late afternoon and early evening. The thunderstorms produced pea sized hail in west central Illinois along with 2 separate tornadoes that traveled from McDonough County into Warren County and another that traveled from Mercer County into Rock Island County. In addition to the thunderstorms, there was also heavy rain and strong gusty gradient winds of 40 to 50 MPH.

An EF-0 tornado with estimated peak winds of 75 mph, began in rural Mercer County Illinois and was on the ground for 1.2 miles before continuing into Rock Island County for another 9.6 miles. The tornado snapped 6 to 10 inch tree branches along its path. There was no structural damage visible along the tornado track.

An EF-0 tornado with estimated peak winds of 75 mph, began in rural Mercer County Illinois and was on the ground for 1.2 miles before continuing into Rock Island County for another 9.4 miles. The tornado snapped 6 to 10 inch tree branches along its path. There was no structural damage visible along the tornado track.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:58 UTC and running to 23:32 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
10:40 UTC16:42 UTCFlood WarningDVN
19:58 UTC23:32 UTCTornado WatchDVN
00:00 UTC05:26 UTCWind AdvisoryDVN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:37 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

10.6 hours before the tornado, 32 km from the path. December 23, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -42804, lifted condensation level 1366 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 74 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42804 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1366 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

1.4 hours after it, 32 km from the path. December 24, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-12-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 58 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 980 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-12-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
58 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
349 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
6.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 28 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:45 UTCTORNADO3 Nw ReynoldsRock Island, ILSPOTTER REPORTED DEBRIS
01:24 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 46MolineRock Island, IL

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 23, 2015

30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 233:27 AM ESTEF0Berkeley, SC0.2100$18,000
December 238:21 AM CSTEF1Van Buren, AR0.275$80,000
December 239:43 AM CSTEF1Carter, MO6.0100$90,000
December 239:56 AM CSTEF1Wayne, MO3.050$5,000
December 2310:08 AM CSTEF1Wayne, MO3.075$50,000
December 2311:15 AM CSTEF0Jackson, IL6.050$5,000
December 2311:23 AM CSTEF1Perry, IL5.0200$175,000
December 2312:30 PM CSTEF1Edwards, IL4.3100$13,000
December 2312:32 PM CSTEF1White, IL1.6100$75,000
December 233:42 PM ESTEF1Johnson, IN0.340$25,000
December 232:54 PM CSTEF3Coahoma, MS61.6800228$2.4 million
December 233:55 PM ESTEF1Hamilton, IN0.7140$50,000
December 232:57 PM CSTEF2Lee, AR4.7100$100,000
December 234:13 PM ESTEF1Decatur, IN0.850$25,000
December 233:39 PM CSTEF0Spencer, IN2.050$3,000
December 234:55 PM ESTEF0Wayne, IN3.330$150,000
December 234:10 PM CSTEF4Holly Springs–Ashland tornado, Mississippi and Tennessee75.11,300936$11 million
December 235:12 PM ESTEF0Darke, OH0.020$6,000
December 234:15 PM CSTEF1McDonough, IL10.750
December 234:34 PM CSTEF1Linn, IA2.350
December 234:43 PM CSTEF1Madison, TN1.250$25,000
December 235:38 PM CSTEF1Dubuque, IA1.125
December 236:43 PM ESTEF1Wayne, MI2.0100$500,000
December 236:16 PM CSTEF1Prentiss, MS3.980$100,000
December 236:17 PM CSTEF2Perry, TN14.95002$1.0 million
December 236:55 PM CSTEF3Wayne, TN48.48007$4.1 million
December 237:00 PM CSTEF2Lauderdale, AL to TN14.94001$100,000
December 238:11 PM ESTEF1Pendleton, KY3.84203$120,000
December 2310:14 PM CSTEF2DeKalb, TN8.4250$400,000
December 2311:25 PM ESTEF0Wood, WV0.225$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.