Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2015
EF0 tornado, Marston to Andalusia, Illinois, December 23, 2015
From Marston to Andalusia, this EF0 tornado ran 10.6 miles across Mercer and Rock Island counties on December 23, 2015, touching down at 4:33 PM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- December 23, 2015
- Touchdown
- 4:33 PM CST (22:33 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:46 PM CST (22:46 UTC)
- On the ground
- 13 minutes
- Path length
- 10.6 miles (17.1 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Counties
- Mercer and Rock Island counties
- Touchdown point
- 41.315, -90.773
- Lift-off point
- 41.444, -90.662
- Record number
- 1512231633-01
The damage survey
5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DVN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 75 mph.
- 10 inch diameter tree limbs snapped off. No structural damage.
- 6 inch diameter tree limbs snapped. End point of tornado.
- 8 inch diamater tree limbs snapped. No structural damage.
- Tornado crossed IL State Hwy 94 moving north. No visible damage. Eyewitness account.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A storm system lifting northeastward during the day on the 23rd brought a warm front into eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois. This allowed unseasonably warm, moist air to flow into northwest Illinois with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing by the late afternoon and early evening. The thunderstorms produced pea sized hail in west central Illinois along with 2 separate tornadoes that traveled from McDonough County into Warren County and another that traveled from Mercer County into Rock Island County. In addition to the thunderstorms, there was also heavy rain and strong gusty gradient winds of 40 to 50 MPH.
An EF-0 tornado with estimated peak winds of 75 mph, began in rural Mercer County Illinois and was on the ground for 1.2 miles before continuing into Rock Island County for another 9.6 miles. The tornado snapped 6 to 10 inch tree branches along its path. There was no structural damage visible along the tornado track.
An EF-0 tornado with estimated peak winds of 75 mph, began in rural Mercer County Illinois and was on the ground for 1.2 miles before continuing into Rock Island County for another 9.4 miles. The tornado snapped 6 to 10 inch tree branches along its path. There was no structural damage visible along the tornado track.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:58 UTC and running to 23:32 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:40 UTC | 16:42 UTC | Flood Warning | DVN |
| 19:58 UTC | 23:32 UTC | Tornado Watch | DVN |
| 00:00 UTC | 05:26 UTC | Wind Advisory | DVN |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:37 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z
10.6 hours before the tornado, 32 km from the path. December 23, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -42804 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1366 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 74 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 229 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.8 K/km
Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z
1.4 hours after it, 32 km from the path. December 24, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 58 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -5 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 349 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 980 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.8 K/km
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 28 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:33 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 UTC | TORNADO | 3 Nw Reynolds | Rock Island, IL | SPOTTER REPORTED DEBRIS |
| 01:24 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 46 | Moline | Rock Island, IL |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 23, 2015
30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 23 | 3:27 AM EST | EF0 | Berkeley, SC | 0.2 | 100 | $18,000 | ||
| December 23 | 8:21 AM CST | EF1 | Van Buren, AR | 0.2 | 75 | $80,000 | ||
| December 23 | 9:43 AM CST | EF1 | Carter, MO | 6.0 | 100 | $90,000 | ||
| December 23 | 9:56 AM CST | EF1 | Wayne, MO | 3.0 | 50 | $5,000 | ||
| December 23 | 10:08 AM CST | EF1 | Wayne, MO | 3.0 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| December 23 | 11:15 AM CST | EF0 | Jackson, IL | 6.0 | 50 | $5,000 | ||
| December 23 | 11:23 AM CST | EF1 | Perry, IL | 5.0 | 200 | $175,000 | ||
| December 23 | 12:30 PM CST | EF1 | Edwards, IL | 4.3 | 100 | $13,000 | ||
| December 23 | 12:32 PM CST | EF1 | White, IL | 1.6 | 100 | $75,000 | ||
| December 23 | 3:42 PM EST | EF1 | Johnson, IN | 0.3 | 40 | $25,000 | ||
| December 23 | 2:54 PM CST | EF3 | Coahoma, MS | 61.6 | 800 | 2 | 28 | $2.4 million |
| December 23 | 3:55 PM EST | EF1 | Hamilton, IN | 0.7 | 140 | $50,000 | ||
| December 23 | 2:57 PM CST | EF2 | Lee, AR | 4.7 | 100 | $100,000 | ||
| December 23 | 4:13 PM EST | EF1 | Decatur, IN | 0.8 | 50 | $25,000 | ||
| December 23 | 3:39 PM CST | EF0 | Spencer, IN | 2.0 | 50 | $3,000 | ||
| December 23 | 4:55 PM EST | EF0 | Wayne, IN | 3.3 | 30 | $150,000 | ||
| December 23 | 4:10 PM CST | EF4 | Holly Springs–Ashland tornado, Mississippi and Tennessee | 75.1 | 1,300 | 9 | 36 | $11 million |
| December 23 | 5:12 PM EST | EF0 | Darke, OH | 0.0 | 20 | $6,000 | ||
| December 23 | 4:15 PM CST | EF1 | McDonough, IL | 10.7 | 50 | |||
| December 23 | 4:34 PM CST | EF1 | Linn, IA | 2.3 | 50 | |||
| December 23 | 4:43 PM CST | EF1 | Madison, TN | 1.2 | 50 | $25,000 | ||
| December 23 | 5:38 PM CST | EF1 | Dubuque, IA | 1.1 | 25 | |||
| December 23 | 6:43 PM EST | EF1 | Wayne, MI | 2.0 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 23 | 6:16 PM CST | EF1 | Prentiss, MS | 3.9 | 80 | $100,000 | ||
| December 23 | 6:17 PM CST | EF2 | Perry, TN | 14.9 | 500 | 2 | $1.0 million | |
| December 23 | 6:55 PM CST | EF3 | Wayne, TN | 48.4 | 800 | 7 | $4.1 million | |
| December 23 | 7:00 PM CST | EF2 | Lauderdale, AL to TN | 14.9 | 400 | 1 | $100,000 | |
| December 23 | 8:11 PM EST | EF1 | Pendleton, KY | 3.8 | 420 | 3 | $120,000 | |
| December 23 | 10:14 PM CST | EF2 | DeKalb, TN | 8.4 | 250 | $400,000 | ||
| December 23 | 11:25 PM EST | EF0 | Wood, WV | 0.2 | 25 | $100,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.