Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2015

EF1 tornado, Sciota to Swan Creek, Illinois, December 23, 2015

From Sciota to Swan Creek, this EF1 tornado ran 10.7 miles across McDonough and Warren counties on December 23, 2015, touching down at 4:15 PM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 23, 2015
Touchdown
4:15 PM CST (22:15 UTC)
Lifted
4:30 PM CST (22:30 UTC)
On the ground
15 minutes
Path length
10.7 miles (17.2 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
McDonough and Warren counties
Touchdown point
40.539, -90.783
Lift-off point
40.661, -90.658
Record number
1512231615-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A storm system lifting northeastward during the day on the 23rd brought a warm front into eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois. This allowed unseasonably warm, moist air to flow into northwest Illinois with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing by the late afternoon and early evening. The thunderstorms produced pea sized hail in west central Illinois along with 2 separate tornadoes that traveled from McDonough County into Warren County and another that traveled from Mercer County into Rock Island County. In addition to the thunderstorms, there was also heavy rain and strong gusty gradient winds of 40 to 50 MPH.

An EF-1 tornado, with estimated peak winds of 100 mph, caused damage that consisted of destroyed outbuildings and a snapped off tree along a 8.1 mile path that was 50 yards wide. This tornado traveled into Warren County for another 2.6 miles. The tornado was on the ground for 10.7 miles.

This tornado began in McDonough County southwest of Sciota Illinois and continued for 2.60 miles in Warren County. The tornado traveled a total for 10.7 miles and was 50 yards wide. This was an EF-1 tornado with estimated peak winds of 100 MPH, that destroyed outbuildings and snapped off a tree.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:58 UTC and running to 23:32 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:58 UTC23:32 UTCTornado WatchDVN
22:19 UTC22:36 UTCTornado WarningDVN
00:00 UTC05:26 UTCWind AdvisoryDVN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:37 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

10.3 hours before the tornado, 115 km from the path. December 23, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -42804, lifted condensation level 1366 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 74 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42804 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1366 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
229 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

1.7 hours after it, 115 km from the path. December 24, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-12-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 58 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 980 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2015-12-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
58 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
349 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
980 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
6.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 113 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:38 UTCHAIL 0.251 Sw BascoHancock, ILAND VERY HEAVY RAIN
21:52 UTCHAIL 1GoldenAdams, ILHAIL RANGING FROM PEAS TO QUARTERS REPORTED IN GOLDEN. VISIBILITY LESS THAN 100 FT IN HEAVY RAIN.
22:18 UTCTORNADO3 E BlandinsvilleMcdonough, ILSPOTTER REPORTS SEEING DEBRIS FROM A FUNNEL NORTH OF HIS LOCATION POSSIBLY NEAR ILLINOIS ROUTE 9 WEST OF SCIOTA. LOCATION APPROXIMATED BASED ON DESCRIPTION.
22:19 UTCTORNADO1 N SciotaMcdonough, ILTIME APPROXIMATED. OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED NORTH OF SCIOTA.
22:19 UTCTORNADO1 N SciotaMcdonough, ILDELAYED REPORT. LOCATION AND TIME APPROXIMATED. GRAIN BIN DESTROYED AND A COUPLE OF TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 2000N AND 800E.
22:19 UTCTORNADO1 Sw SciotaMcdonough, ILTIME APPROXIMATED. OUTBUILDING DESTROYED APPROXIMATELY 0.75 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SCIOTA.
22:24 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 E AdairMcdonough, ILLOCATION CORRECTED. TIME APPROXIMATED. EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED POWER POLES AND LINES DOWN IN THE ADAIR AREA.
22:24 UTCTSTM WND DMGAdairMcdonough, ILTIME AND LOCATION APPROXIMATED. EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED POWER POLES AND LINES DOWN IN THE ADAIR AREA.
22:27 UTCTORNADO1 N Good HopeMcdonough, ILSTATE POLICE REPORT TORNADO ON THE GROUND. TIME APPROXIMATED.
00:35 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 48MacombMcdonough, IL

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 23, 2015

30 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 233:27 AM ESTEF0Berkeley, SC0.2100$18,000
December 238:21 AM CSTEF1Van Buren, AR0.275$80,000
December 239:43 AM CSTEF1Carter, MO6.0100$90,000
December 239:56 AM CSTEF1Wayne, MO3.050$5,000
December 2310:08 AM CSTEF1Wayne, MO3.075$50,000
December 2311:15 AM CSTEF0Jackson, IL6.050$5,000
December 2311:23 AM CSTEF1Perry, IL5.0200$175,000
December 2312:30 PM CSTEF1Edwards, IL4.3100$13,000
December 2312:32 PM CSTEF1White, IL1.6100$75,000
December 233:42 PM ESTEF1Johnson, IN0.340$25,000
December 232:54 PM CSTEF3Coahoma, MS61.6800228$2.4 million
December 233:55 PM ESTEF1Hamilton, IN0.7140$50,000
December 232:57 PM CSTEF2Lee, AR4.7100$100,000
December 234:13 PM ESTEF1Decatur, IN0.850$25,000
December 233:39 PM CSTEF0Spencer, IN2.050$3,000
December 234:55 PM ESTEF0Wayne, IN3.330$150,000
December 234:10 PM CSTEF4Holly Springs–Ashland tornado, Mississippi and Tennessee75.11,300936$11 million
December 235:12 PM ESTEF0Darke, OH0.020$6,000
December 234:33 PM CSTEF0Mercer, IL10.650
December 234:34 PM CSTEF1Linn, IA2.350
December 234:43 PM CSTEF1Madison, TN1.250$25,000
December 235:38 PM CSTEF1Dubuque, IA1.125
December 236:43 PM ESTEF1Wayne, MI2.0100$500,000
December 236:16 PM CSTEF1Prentiss, MS3.980$100,000
December 236:17 PM CSTEF2Perry, TN14.95002$1.0 million
December 236:55 PM CSTEF3Wayne, TN48.48007$4.1 million
December 237:00 PM CSTEF2Lauderdale, AL to TN14.94001$100,000
December 238:11 PM ESTEF1Pendleton, KY3.84203$120,000
December 2310:14 PM CSTEF2DeKalb, TN8.4250$400,000
December 2311:25 PM ESTEF0Wood, WV0.225$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.