Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2013

EF1 tornado, Belknap, Illinois, October 31, 2013

This EF1 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Johnson County on October 31, 2013, touching down at 7:56 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $30,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
October 31, 2013
Touchdown
7:56 PM CDT (00:56 UTC)
Lifted
7:58 PM CDT (00:58 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.7 miles (1.1 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$30,000
County
Johnson County
Touchdown point
37.332, -88.970
Lift-off point
37.336, -88.959
Record number
1310311856-01

The damage survey

8 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • trees snapped. width 50 yards.
  • large tree snapped at base. other smaller trees snapped.
  • trees snapped on both sides of the road. width 50 yards
  • trees uprooted. limbs high up on trees snapped. one residence has tarp over part of roof. Other residence has shingle damage.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes occurred ahead of a cold front. Thunderstorms increased in coverage over southeast Missouri and then spread east-northeast into southern Illinois and western Kentucky during the late afternoon and evening. A surface low pressure wave over the Ozark Mountain region accelerated eastward in advance of a compact upper-level shortwave over the southern Plains. A mid-level dry slot overspread the surface warm sector, where dew points were in the low to mid 60's. Extremely strong wind shear compensated for weak instability. Strong forcing along the front and a moist low level air mass contributed to a forced line of storms, including some without lightning.

Hardwood trees were uprooted. Shingles were blown off two residences. Another residence had a tarp over the roof. Part of the roof was lifted off a small barn. Several hardwood tree trunks were snapped. Peak winds were estimated near 105 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

6 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:50 UTC, 6 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:05 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 22:25 UTC and running to 01:33 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:25 UTC01:33 UTCTornado WatchPAH
00:27 UTC01:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
00:50 UTC01:05 UTCTornado WarningPAH
01:03 UTC01:22 UTCTornado WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:04 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

0.9 hours before the tornado, 250 km from the path. November 1, 2013.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2013-11-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 29 joules per kilogram, CIN -124, lifted condensation level 569 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2013-11-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 684 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 71 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-124 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
684 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
787 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

11.1 hours after it, 250 km from the path. November 1, 2013.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2013-11-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -95111, lifted condensation level 882 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2013-11-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 64 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-95111 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
882 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Metropolis IL (M30), 25 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:15 UTC6964210° 14 kt20997.6-RA
23:35 UTC6964.4210° 16 kt24998-RA
23:55 UTC6964.4200° 14 kt24998
00:15 UTC68.5464.22210° 12 kt19998.3
00:35 UTC6964220° 12 kt21998.6
00:55 UTC6963.5210° 14 kt25998.6
01:15 UTC69.6263.5220° 13 kt24999
01:35 UTC61.755.76290° 14 kt291000.3RA
01:55 UTC59.1858.64280° 4 kt1001RA
02:15 UTC5958.64270° 4 kt1001.4RA
02:35 UTC5959250° 5 kt1001.7-RA
02:55 UTC5959250° 5 kt1002.4

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 34 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:56 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:30 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGMetropolisMassac, ILLARGE TREE ON RESIDENCE. SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. 18TH STREET AND GIBBONS STREET. IT IS UNCLEAR IF THE TREE WAS SOUND...ROTTED OR WEAKENED.
00:20 UTCTORNADO 0East Cape GirardeauAlexander, ILNWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY CONFIRMS EF0 TORNADO EAST CAPE GIRARDEAU IL. 80 MPH PEAK WIND.
00:20 UTCTORNADOEast Cape GirardeauAlexander, ILNWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY CONFIRMS EF0 TORNADO EAST CAPE GIRARDEAU IL. 80 MPH PEAK WIND.
00:24 UTCTSTM WND GST 40CarbondaleJackson, ILALONG WITH WIND REPORTS OF PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.
00:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 505 N GorevilleWilliamson, IL50 MPH WINDS REPORTED NEAR DEVILS KITCHEN. STORM TOTAL FOR RAINFALL WAS 3.25 INCHES.
00:50 UTCTORNADO1 S Creal SpringsWilliamson, IL...UNCONFIRMED...REPORTED BY OFF DUTY 911 OPERATOR. REPORTED WINDS AND RAINS INCREASED AND HEARD THE SOUND OF A FREIGHT TRAIN.
00:51 UTCTORNADO1 S Creal SpringsWilliamson, ILNWS DAMAGE SURVEY CONFIRMS A EF1 TORNADO 1 S CREAL SPRINGS TO 4 E STONEFORT 751-804 PM. PEAK WIND 100 MPH. PATH WIDTH 175 YDS. PATH LENGTH 10 MILES. 3 BARNS AND 2 HOMES DAMAGED. NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED AND SNAPPED. POWER
00:59 UTCTSTM WND DMGStonefortSaline, ILSIGNS BLOWN OFF OF SUPPORT POLES.
00:59 UTCTSTM WND DMGStonefortSaline, ILUPDATE AT 0930 PM. 4 HOMES HAVE ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL TREES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN. SIGNS BLOWN OFF OF SUPPORT POLES.
01:05 UTCTORNADOCarrier MillsSaline, IL...UNCONFIRMED...TORNADO REPORTED AT CARRIER MILLS HEADING EAST. LATE REPORT.
01:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGStonefortSaline, ILROOF TORN OFF OF HOME IN THE COMMUNITY.
01:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 622 W HarrisburgSaline, IL
01:20 UTCTORNADO 0East Cape GirardeauAlexander, ILNWS STORM DAMAGE SURVEY CONFIRMS EF0 TORNADO EAST CAPE GIRARDEAU IL. 80 MPH PEAK WIND.
01:24 UTCTSTM WND GST 40CarbondaleJackson, ILALONG WITH WIND REPORTS OF PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.
01:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 505 N GorevilleWilliamson, IL50 MPH WINDS REPORTED NEAR DEVILS KITCHEN. STORM TOTAL FOR RAINFALL WAS 3.25 INCHES.
01:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGMetropolisMassac, ILLARGE TREE FELL AGAINST HOUSE AT 18TH AND GIBBONS IN METROPOLIS.TREE SEVERELY DAMAGED TRUSSES SEPARATING FRONT WALL OF HOUSE FROM SIDE WALL.
01:50 UTCTORNADO1 S Creal SpringsWilliamson, IL...UNCONFIRMED...REPORTED BY OFF DUTY 911 OPERATOR. REPORTED WINDS AND RAINS INCREASED AND HEARD THE SOUND OF A FREIGHT TRAIN.
01:51 UTCTORNADO1 S Creal SpringsWilliamson, ILNWS DAMAGE SURVEY CONFIRMS A EF1 TORNADO 1 S CREAL SPRINGS TO 4 E STONEFORT 751-804 PM. PEAK WIND 100 MPH. PATH WIDTH 175 YDS. PATH LENGTH 10 MILES. 3 BARNS AND 2 HOMES DAMAGED. NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED AND SNAPPED. POWER
01:59 UTCTSTM WND DMGStonefortSaline, ILUPDATE AT 0930 PM. 4 HOMES HAVE ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL TREES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN. SIGNS BLOWN OFF OF SUPPORT POLES.
02:05 UTCTORNADOCarrier MillsSaline, IL...UNCONFIRMED...TORNADO REPORTED AT CARRIER MILLS HEADING EAST. LATE REPORT.
02:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGStonefortSaline, ILROOF TORN OFF OF HOME IN THE COMMUNITY.
02:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 622 W HarrisburgSaline, IL
02:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGMetropolisMassac, ILLARGE TREE FELL AGAINST HOUSE AT 18TH AND GIBBONS IN METROPOLIS.TREE SEVERELY DAMAGED TRUSSES SEPARATING FRONT WALL OF HOUSE FROM SIDE WALL.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2013 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of October 31, 2013

32 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
October 317:00 AM CDTEF1Jasper, TX1.350$50,000
October 319:39 AM CDTEF1Orange, TX5.9200$100,000
October 319:46 AM CDTEF1Calcasieu Parish, LA7.1150$30,000
October 3110:00 AM CDTEF1Beauregard Parish, LA7.9150$400,000
October 3110:00 AM CDTEF0Beauregard Parish, LA2.575
October 3110:14 AM CDTEF0Allen Parish, LA0.875
October 3110:30 AM CDTEF0Calcasieu Parish, LA1.430$10,000
October 3111:21 AM CDTEF0Evangeline Parish, LA0.575$3,000
October 3111:41 AM CDTEF0Acadia Parish, LA0.570$1,000
October 316:11 PM CDTEF1Ripley, MO4.2150$100,000
October 316:30 PM CDTEF1Butler, MO0.250$80,000
October 316:48 PM CDTEF1Butler, MO5.775$100,000
October 316:54 PM CDTEF1Bollinger, MO1.5200$70,000
October 317:02 PM CDTEF1Stoddard, MO14.3100$75,000
October 317:05 PM CDTEF1Cape Girardeau, MO3.9150$130,000
October 317:20 PM CDTEF0Alexander, IL1.2200$100,000
October 317:24 PM CDTEF2Stoddard, MO1.9100$800,000
October 317:35 PM CDTEF1Alexander, IL6.550$20,000
October 317:37 PM CDTEF1Craighead, AR3.7300$500,000
October 317:40 PM CDTEF1New Madrid, MO3.050$175,000
October 317:51 PM CDTEF1Williamson, IL9.9175$110,000
October 318:05 PM CDTEF1Mississippi, MO to KY7.6200$105,000
October 318:25 PM CDTEF1Carlisle, KY8.3200$203,000
October 318:30 PM CDTEF0Ballard, KY0.270$15,000
October 318:39 PM CDTEF1McCracken, KY2.1225$100,000
October 318:48 PM CDTEF0McCracken, KY1.040$15,000
October 318:50 PM CDTEF1McCracken, KY0.540$35,000
October 319:03 PM CDTEF0Marshall, KY0.550$35,000
October 3111:30 PM EDTEF1Montgomery, OH0.6508$2.0 million
October 3111:38 PM EDTEF0Miami, OH0.330$70,000
October 3112:40 AM EDTEF0Franklin, OH0.350$300,000
October 311:07 AM EDTEF1Licking, OH1.350$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.