Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2011
EF2 tornado, Confidnece to St Elmo, Illinois, February 28, 2011
From Confidnece to St Elmo, this EF2 tornado ran 0.1 miles across Fayette County on February 28, 2011, touching down at 12:33 AM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF2
- Date
- February 28, 2011
- Touchdown
- 12:33 AM CST (06:33 UTC)
- Lifted
- 12:34 AM CST (06:34 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.1 miles (0.1 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Fayette County
- Touchdown point
- 38.996, -88.807
- Lift-off point
- 38.996, -88.806
- Record number
- 1102280033-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A quasi-stationary frontal boundary was the main focusing mechanism for a round of significant severe weather over the forecast area. A strong shortwave moved along the boundary triggering widespread showers and thunderstorms. Numerous reports of large hail, damaging winds and 22 tornadoes occurred with this system.
A tornado touched down in Confidence, Illinois approximately 8 miles southwest of St. Elmo or 9.5 miles east-southeast of Vandalia. The tornado touched down near the intersection of County Road 1750E and County Road 1275N. In this location it damaged a residence, trees, and outbuildings. A convergent pattern was found in the debris. The tornado then continued east northeast and damaged several residences and farm buildings along County Road 1275N. One residence was shifted 22 feet off the foundation and another was shifted 6 feet off the foundation. Lumber from the roof was driven into the siding and into the foundation at a third residence. The tornado then skipped through a wooded area north of County Road 1275N before lifting west of Illinois Route 185. The maximum damage was rated EF2 with a maximum wind speed around 120 mph. The total length of this tornado was approximately 1.3 miles with a maximum width of 90 yards.
A tornado briefly touched down approximately 1 mile southeast of St. Elmo at a farm building located a tenth of a mile south of Interstate 70 and two tenths of a mile north of County Road 1900N along County Road 2250E. The south facing wall of a large metal farm storage building was blown out with debris scattered over one half mile into an adjacent field. Several 2x4s were driven several feet into the ground. A billboard just south of the farm building supported by 16 wooden posts, each 5 to 10 inches in diameter. All of these posts were snapped but there was no damage to the power poles directly across the road. Since the billboard was found on the road directly in front of the posts rather than farther downstream, it appears that straight line winds caused damage to the billboard while the tornado was responsible for damage to the farm building. The maximum damage was rated EF1 with a maximum wind speed around 95 mph. The total length of this tornado was approximately two tenths of a mile with a maximum width of 10 yards.
A tornado briefly touched down near the Fayette and Effingham county line approximately two tenths of a mile south of County Road 1800N. Two large farm buildings were destroyed and debris was thrown 1 mile to the east into Effingham County. Other farm buildings also sustained damage. There were four spots on the property with evidence that heavy debris, including a cinderblock, was thrown a substantial distance to the northwest. Several 2x4s were driven several feet into the ground. The tornado did not go into Effingham county. The maximum damage was rated EF2 with a maximum wind speed around 115 mph. The total length of this tornado was a tenth of a mile with a maximum width of 50 yards.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
26 minutes of warning. NWS LSX issued a tornado warning for this county at 06:07 UTC, 26 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 06:45 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 03:40 UTC and running to 07:46 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03:40 UTC | 07:46 UTC | Tornado Watch | LSX |
| 05:43 UTC | 06:25 UTC | Tornado Warning | LSX |
| 06:07 UTC | 06:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | LSX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:58 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z
6.6 hours before the tornado, 130 km from the path. February 28, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 124 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -220 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 494 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 76 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 210 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.7 K/km
Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z
5.4 hours after it, 130 km from the path. February 28, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 553 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 108 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -183 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 2.0 K/km
The radar
The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 125 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:33 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:20 UTC | TORNADO | Shobonier | Fayette, IL | CITIZENS REPORT OF TORNADO DAMAGE TO TWO HOMES...NO INJURIES. |
| 06:25 UTC | TSTM WND GST 53 | Alma | Marion, IL | |
| 06:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Central City | Marion, IL | POWER FLASHES SEEN...POWER LINES DOWN...MEDIUM SIZED LIMBS DOWN |
| 06:30 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 3 N Brownstown | Fayette, IL | WIND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 60 MPH. |
| 06:33 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sw Altamont | Effingham, IL | POWER POLES BENT OVER AND DAMAGE TO A POLE BARN |
| 06:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Altamont | Effingham, IL | POWER POLES BENT OVER AND TREE LIMBS DOWN |
| 06:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | St. Elmo | Fayette, IL | DAMAGE TO A ROOF...UNOCCUPIED MOBILE HOME BLOWN OVER AND PORCH MISSING FROM HOUSE. |
| 06:36 UTC | WALL CLOUD | Centralia | Marion, IL | ROTATING WALL CLOUD PASSED NORTH OF CENTRALIA IL. SPOTTER OBSERVED POWER FLASHES ON THE GROUND BUT COULD NOT SEE A FUNNEL CLOUD. |
| 06:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Watson | Effingham, IL | A 12X12 FOOT ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A SMALL UTILITY SHED. |
| 06:45 UTC | TSTM WND GST 55 | 3 W Xenia | Clay, IL | |
| 06:45 UTC | TSTM WND GST 55 | 8 N Xenia | Clay, IL | |
| 06:48 UTC | TSTM WND GST 50 | Effingham | Effingham, IL | |
| 06:55 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 N Flora | Clay, IL | FIVE POWER POLES SNAPPED ALONG US-45 NORTH OF FLORA. |
| 06:55 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Orchardville | Wayne, IL | DAMAGE SWATH EXTENDED FROM ORCHARDVILLE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 161 TO 1 MILE NORTHEAST OF MOUNT ERIE, APPROXIMATELY 24 MILES. A COUPLE OF BARNS AND GARAGES WERE BLOWN OVER OR DESTROYED. A COUPLE OF BUILDINGS WERE DAM |
| 07:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Greenville | Bond, IL | MOST OF TOWN IS WITHOUT POWER...SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES IN CENTRALIA AS WELL AS PARTS OF CLINTON AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES |
| 07:01 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Orchardville | Wayne, IL | BUILDING DAMAGE AT THE ORCHARDVILLE CHURCH. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of February 28, 2011
25 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 28 | 12:03 AM CST | EF0 | Washington, IL | 2.8 | 50 | |||
| February 28 | 12:08 AM CST | EF2 | Washington, IL | 2.3 | 100 | |||
| February 28 | 12:27 AM CST | EF2 | Fayette, IL | 1.3 | 90 | |||
| February 28 | 12:32 AM CST | EF1 | Fayette, IL | 0.1 | 10 | |||
| February 28 | 1:36 AM CST | EF1 | Gibson, IN | 23.3 | 250 | $150,000 | ||
| February 28 | 1:51 AM CST | EF2 | Gibson, IN | 22.0 | 550 | $600,000 | ||
| February 28 | 3:10 AM EST | EF0 | Pike, IN | 1.9 | 200 | $150,000 | ||
| February 28 | 3:19 AM EST | EF2 | Dubois, IN | 14.2 | 225 | 1 | $500,000 | |
| February 28 | 3:29 AM CST | EF1 | Clark, IN to KY | 3.0 | 100 | $7,000 | ||
| February 28 | 4:43 AM EST | EF1 | Oldham, KY | 1.2 | 75 | |||
| February 28 | 4:59 AM EST | EF3 | Henry, KY | 2.3 | 150 | 1 | $500,000 | |
| February 28 | 6:00 AM EST | EF1 | Fairfield, OH | 2.4 | 75 | $100,000 | ||
| February 28 | 6:49 AM EST | EF1 | Lincoln, KY | 8.7 | 250 | $100,000 | ||
| February 28 | 7:37 AM EST | EF1 | Wolfe, KY | 0.3 | 100 | $75,000 | ||
| February 28 | 12:18 PM CST | EF2 | Franklin, TN | 16.1 | 600 | 1 | 4 | $40,000 |
| February 28 | 12:18 PM CST | EF1 | Madison, AL | 3.9 | 200 | $30,000 | ||
| February 28 | 1:00 PM CST | EF0 | Marion, TN | 0.0 | 20 | $20,000 | ||
| February 28 | 2:25 PM EST | EF1 | Hamilton, TN | 2.2 | 90 | $1.3 million | ||
| February 28 | 2:30 PM EST | EF1 | Hamilton, TN | 2.6 | 150 | $5.0 million | ||
| February 28 | 3:53 PM CST | EF0 | Talladega, AL | 0.3 | 50 | $8,000 | ||
| February 28 | 5:02 PM EST | EF0 | Greenville, SC | 1.5 | 50 | |||
| February 28 | 5:05 PM CST | EF0 | Autauga, AL | 8.9 | 200 | $77,000 | ||
| February 28 | 5:28 PM CST | EF0 | Chambers, AL | 1.9 | 30 | $45,000 | ||
| February 28 | 5:37 PM CST | EF1 | Lowndes, AL | 5.0 | 200 | $60,000 | ||
| February 28 | 7:24 PM EST | EF1 | Newberry, SC | 3.4 | 100 | $120,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.