Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2011

EF2 tornado, Confidnece to St Elmo, Illinois, February 28, 2011

From Confidnece to St Elmo, this EF2 tornado ran 0.1 miles across Fayette County on February 28, 2011, touching down at 12:33 AM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
February 28, 2011
Touchdown
12:33 AM CST (06:33 UTC)
Lifted
12:34 AM CST (06:34 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.1 miles (0.1 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Fayette County
Touchdown point
38.996, -88.807
Lift-off point
38.996, -88.806
Record number
1102280033-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A quasi-stationary frontal boundary was the main focusing mechanism for a round of significant severe weather over the forecast area. A strong shortwave moved along the boundary triggering widespread showers and thunderstorms. Numerous reports of large hail, damaging winds and 22 tornadoes occurred with this system.

A tornado touched down in Confidence, Illinois approximately 8 miles southwest of St. Elmo or 9.5 miles east-southeast of Vandalia. The tornado touched down near the intersection of County Road 1750E and County Road 1275N. In this location it damaged a residence, trees, and outbuildings. A convergent pattern was found in the debris. The tornado then continued east northeast and damaged several residences and farm buildings along County Road 1275N. One residence was shifted 22 feet off the foundation and another was shifted 6 feet off the foundation. Lumber from the roof was driven into the siding and into the foundation at a third residence. The tornado then skipped through a wooded area north of County Road 1275N before lifting west of Illinois Route 185. The maximum damage was rated EF2 with a maximum wind speed around 120 mph. The total length of this tornado was approximately 1.3 miles with a maximum width of 90 yards.

A tornado briefly touched down approximately 1 mile southeast of St. Elmo at a farm building located a tenth of a mile south of Interstate 70 and two tenths of a mile north of County Road 1900N along County Road 2250E. The south facing wall of a large metal farm storage building was blown out with debris scattered over one half mile into an adjacent field. Several 2x4s were driven several feet into the ground. A billboard just south of the farm building supported by 16 wooden posts, each 5 to 10 inches in diameter. All of these posts were snapped but there was no damage to the power poles directly across the road. Since the billboard was found on the road directly in front of the posts rather than farther downstream, it appears that straight line winds caused damage to the billboard while the tornado was responsible for damage to the farm building. The maximum damage was rated EF1 with a maximum wind speed around 95 mph. The total length of this tornado was approximately two tenths of a mile with a maximum width of 10 yards.

A tornado briefly touched down near the Fayette and Effingham county line approximately two tenths of a mile south of County Road 1800N. Two large farm buildings were destroyed and debris was thrown 1 mile to the east into Effingham County. Other farm buildings also sustained damage. There were four spots on the property with evidence that heavy debris, including a cinderblock, was thrown a substantial distance to the northwest. Several 2x4s were driven several feet into the ground. The tornado did not go into Effingham county. The maximum damage was rated EF2 with a maximum wind speed around 115 mph. The total length of this tornado was a tenth of a mile with a maximum width of 50 yards.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

26 minutes of warning. NWS LSX issued a tornado warning for this county at 06:07 UTC, 26 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 06:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 03:40 UTC and running to 07:46 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
03:40 UTC07:46 UTCTornado WatchLSX
05:43 UTC06:25 UTCTornado WarningLSX
06:07 UTC06:45 UTCTornado WarningLSX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:58 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

6.6 hours before the tornado, 130 km from the path. February 28, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 124 joules per kilogram, CIN -220, lifted condensation level 494 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 76 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
124 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-220 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
494 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
76 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
210 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

5.4 hours after it, 130 km from the path. February 28, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 553 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -183 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 108 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
108 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 125 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
06:20 UTCTORNADOShobonierFayette, ILCITIZENS REPORT OF TORNADO DAMAGE TO TWO HOMES...NO INJURIES.
06:25 UTCTSTM WND GST 53AlmaMarion, IL
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGCentral CityMarion, ILPOWER FLASHES SEEN...POWER LINES DOWN...MEDIUM SIZED LIMBS DOWN
06:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 603 N BrownstownFayette, ILWIND GUSTS OF AT LEAST 60 MPH.
06:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sw AltamontEffingham, ILPOWER POLES BENT OVER AND DAMAGE TO A POLE BARN
06:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGAltamontEffingham, ILPOWER POLES BENT OVER AND TREE LIMBS DOWN
06:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGSt. ElmoFayette, ILDAMAGE TO A ROOF...UNOCCUPIED MOBILE HOME BLOWN OVER AND PORCH MISSING FROM HOUSE.
06:36 UTCWALL CLOUDCentraliaMarion, ILROTATING WALL CLOUD PASSED NORTH OF CENTRALIA IL. SPOTTER OBSERVED POWER FLASHES ON THE GROUND BUT COULD NOT SEE A FUNNEL CLOUD.
06:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGWatsonEffingham, ILA 12X12 FOOT ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF A SMALL UTILITY SHED.
06:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 553 W XeniaClay, IL
06:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 558 N XeniaClay, IL
06:48 UTCTSTM WND GST 50EffinghamEffingham, IL
06:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N FloraClay, ILFIVE POWER POLES SNAPPED ALONG US-45 NORTH OF FLORA.
06:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGOrchardvilleWayne, ILDAMAGE SWATH EXTENDED FROM ORCHARDVILLE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 161 TO 1 MILE NORTHEAST OF MOUNT ERIE, APPROXIMATELY 24 MILES. A COUPLE OF BARNS AND GARAGES WERE BLOWN OVER OR DESTROYED. A COUPLE OF BUILDINGS WERE DAM
07:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGGreenvilleBond, ILMOST OF TOWN IS WITHOUT POWER...SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES IN CENTRALIA AS WELL AS PARTS OF CLINTON AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
07:01 UTCTSTM WND DMGOrchardvilleWayne, ILBUILDING DAMAGE AT THE ORCHARDVILLE CHURCH.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 28, 2011

25 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 2812:03 AM CSTEF0Washington, IL2.850
February 2812:08 AM CSTEF2Washington, IL2.3100
February 2812:27 AM CSTEF2Fayette, IL1.390
February 2812:32 AM CSTEF1Fayette, IL0.110
February 281:36 AM CSTEF1Gibson, IN23.3250$150,000
February 281:51 AM CSTEF2Gibson, IN22.0550$600,000
February 283:10 AM ESTEF0Pike, IN1.9200$150,000
February 283:19 AM ESTEF2Dubois, IN14.22251$500,000
February 283:29 AM CSTEF1Clark, IN to KY3.0100$7,000
February 284:43 AM ESTEF1Oldham, KY1.275
February 284:59 AM ESTEF3Henry, KY2.31501$500,000
February 286:00 AM ESTEF1Fairfield, OH2.475$100,000
February 286:49 AM ESTEF1Lincoln, KY8.7250$100,000
February 287:37 AM ESTEF1Wolfe, KY0.3100$75,000
February 2812:18 PM CSTEF2Franklin, TN16.160014$40,000
February 2812:18 PM CSTEF1Madison, AL3.9200$30,000
February 281:00 PM CSTEF0Marion, TN0.020$20,000
February 282:25 PM ESTEF1Hamilton, TN2.290$1.3 million
February 282:30 PM ESTEF1Hamilton, TN2.6150$5.0 million
February 283:53 PM CSTEF0Talladega, AL0.350$8,000
February 285:02 PM ESTEF0Greenville, SC1.550
February 285:05 PM CSTEF0Autauga, AL8.9200$77,000
February 285:28 PM CSTEF0Chambers, AL1.930$45,000
February 285:37 PM CSTEF1Lowndes, AL5.0200$60,000
February 287:24 PM ESTEF1Newberry, SC3.4100$120,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.