Tornadoes · United States · Georgia · 2023

EF2 tornado, Blakely to Nicholasville, Georgia, June 14, 2023

From Blakely to Nicholasville, this EF2 tornado ran 18.9 miles across Early County on June 14, 2023, touching down at 2:04 PM EDT and reaching 700 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $250,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
June 14, 2023
Touchdown
2:04 PM EDT (18:04 UTC)
Lifted
2:41 PM EDT (18:41 UTC)
On the ground
37 minutes
Path length
18.9 miles (30.4 km)
Path width
700 yards (640 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$250,000
County
Early County
Touchdown point
31.357, -84.945
Lift-off point
31.424, -84.635
Record number
2306141204-01

The damage survey

46 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TAE, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 122 mph.

  • updated given knowledge of many trees gone
  • updated given knowledge of many trees down
  • Oaks topped. Possible inflow.
  • Significant damage to well-constructed metal storage building. Bent steel structural posts along with numerous snapped pines in surrounding area.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

The middle part of June was unusually stormy across the area. Numerous rounds of strong to severe storms impacted the region with multiple squall lines that produced severe winds as well as supercells that produced large hail and tornadoes. Heavy rain also occurred over a multi-day period, which saturated the ground and led to some instances of flash flooding. ||The synoptic pattern featured well above average 250 mb zonal wind anomalies, which were traceable back to an active subtropical jet stream. Greater than average instability was also present, in part due to anomalously warm Gulf of Mexico SSTs. This combination of above average shear from the active subtropical jet and above average instability from the warmer than average SSTs provided a synoptic environment favorable for severe weather as upper level shortwaves moving through the area. This pattern persisted for many days, leading to an unusually large amount of severe weather.

A tornado touched down just east of the intersection of Odom Lane and Cedar Springs Lane south of Blakely. Several snapped pine trees were found, consistent with EF-1 damage. The tornado then crossed Georgia Highway 39 where several large branches were broken off. The top bar of a chain-link fence was pulled out and a wooden fence was also blown down in this area south of Blakely. The tornado then moved eastward, roughly paralleling south of Damascus Street, snapping and uprooting both hardwood and softwood trees. The tornado crossed Waller Road south of Damascus Street, causing significant roof damage to a single-family home as well as uprooting and snapping several trees nearby. A large area of snapped pine trees was spotted south of Damascus Street between Waller Road and Sandy Bottom Road. The tornado then turned slightly to the northeast, crossing the intersection of Damascus Street and Sandy Bottom Road. Here, the damage was consistent with EF-2 intensity. Significant roof damage was done to a single-family home and numerous hardwood and softwood trees were snapped in the area. The tornado continued northeastward toward Giles-Hightower Road near the intersection of Mays Ford Road. A barn's walls collapsed here along with many other snapped and uprooted trees. Tree damage continued to the northeast south of Mays Ford Road, generally consistent with EF-1 damage. More tree damage was observed along Old Damascus Road and Georgia Highway 45. The tornado turned a bit more northeastward and crossed Georgia Highway 216 where more snapped and uprooted trees were found. Another area of EF-2 damage was then observed along Quail Country Road in far northeast Early County. Large sheds were completely destroyed here with large swaths of pine trees snapped. A double-wide manufactured home lost its roof and a couple exterior walls. Damage cost was estimated.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

7 minutes of warning. NWS TAE issued a tornado warning for this county at 17:57 UTC, 7 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 18:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 16:22 UTC and running to 22:41 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
07:37 UTC00:00 UTCFlood WatchTAE
16:22 UTC22:41 UTCTornado WatchTAE
17:05 UTC17:30 UTCTornado WarningTAE
17:17 UTC18:00 UTCTornado WarningTAE
17:25 UTC18:00 UTCTornado WarningTAE
17:57 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningTAE
18:34 UTC18:48 UTCTornado WarningTAE
22:21 UTC23:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAE
22:41 UTC03:05 UTCTornado WatchTAE
23:02 UTC00:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAE
23:34 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAE
23:42 UTC00:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAE
00:13 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAE
04:13 UTC04:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAE

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 16:26 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), 12:00Z

6.1 hours before the tornado, 120 km from the path. June 14, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2023-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1769 joules per kilogram, CIN -67, lifted condensation level 756 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2023-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 32 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1769 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2095 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
756 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), 00:00Z

5.9 hours after it, 120 km from the path. June 15, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2023-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2345 joules per kilogram, CIN -1, lifted condensation level 1176 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 00:00Z on 2023-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 67 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2345 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3494 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1176 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.6
Supercell composite
9.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Blakely (BIJ), 10 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
16:15 UTC84.271.6190° 11 kt151011.2
16:35 UTC8671.6190° 7 kt151011.2
16:55 UTC82.471.6200° 7 kt1011.5TS
17:15 UTC80.671.6160° 3 kt1010.5-TSRA
17:35 UTC78.871.6170° 4 kt1010.5-TSRA
17:55 UTC75.269.80° 0 kt1011.5+TSRA
18:15 UTC73.471.620° 10 kt181010.8+TSRA
18:35 UTC7771.60° 0 kt1010.2TSRA
18:55 UTC78.873.40° 0 kt1009.8
19:15 UTC84.275.2200° 8 kt1008.5VCTS
19:35 UTC82.471.6210° 11 kt211008.5TSRA
19:55 UTC82.471.6220° 13 kt211007.8-VCTSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 64 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:01 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:05 UTCHAIL 1.75BlakelyEarly, GAHail estimated around golf ball size in Blakely.
18:05 UTCHAIL 2.5BlakelyEarly, GA
18:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGLeesburgLee, GAReports of trees down in Lee county.
18:36 UTCTORNADO1 Nne NicholasvilleEarly, GADamage reported in the area of Quail Country Road.
18:54 UTCTORNADO3 N Elmodel WmaBaker, GASpotter reported tornado at this location.
19:11 UTCHAIL 2.755 Ne Red Store CrossroaDougherty, GABaseball sized hail reported on Calvary Road.
19:49 UTCHAIL 11 Se CrossroadsQuitman, GAReport from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).
19:57 UTCHAIL 12 Se SpringvaleRandolph, GAReport from mPING: Quarter (1.00 in.).
21:00 UTCHAIL 1.75AlbanyDougherty, GAreport of golf ball sized hail in Albany.
21:00 UTCHAIL 32 N Pecan CityDougherty, GA2-3 inch hail stones falling on the Albany Marine Corps logistic base.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in GeorgiaEvery tornado in Georgia since 1950Warnings in force in Georgia nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 14, 2023

11 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 1411:37 AM EDTEF1Quitman, GA3.650
June 1410:40 AM CDTEF1Henry, AL2.1160$250,000
June 1412:09 PM CDTEF1Barbour, AL3.9350
June 1412:43 PM CDTEF2Cass, TX8.9500$2.0 million
June 142:54 PM EDTEF1Baker, GA3.6150$1,000
June 143:45 PM EDTEF0Turner, GA0.150
June 145:40 PM EDTEF1Randolph, GA1.4300$50,000
June 145:40 PM EDTEF1Randolph, GA3.3425$50,000
June 146:35 PM EDTEF0Berrien, GA0.150
June 147:08 PM EDTEF0Bulloch, GA0.2250
June 147:27 PM EDTEF1Effingham, GA7.0280

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.