Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2016

EF2 tornado, Oak Knoll to Duette, Florida, January 17, 2016

From Oak Knoll to Duette, this EF2 tornado ran 9.2 miles across Manatee County on January 17, 2016, touching down at 3:35 AM EST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed 2 people and injured 4, and did $150,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
January 17, 2016
Touchdown
3:35 AM EST (08:35 UTC)
Lifted
3:48 AM EST (08:48 UTC)
On the ground
13 minutes
Path length
9.2 miles (14.8 km)
Path width
300 yards (274 m)
Deaths
2
Injuries
4
Property damage
$150,000
County
Manatee County
Touchdown point
27.538, -82.219
Lift-off point
27.642, -82.126
Record number
1601170235-01

The damage survey

6 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TBW, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 130 mph.

  • 2000 square-foot barn destroyed

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong and deepening area of low pressure across the northern Gulf pushed a strong line of thunderstorms across the Florida peninsula. Numerous supercell thunderstorms were observed and a few produced strong tornadoes along and near the coast.

The NWS Storm Survey found a single-wide mobile home destroyed and rolled over. Seven people were inside the home, two adults were killed with four injured. The tornado also destroyed a 2000 square foot barn. The damage was in a very rural, isolated area and the Manatee County Sheriffs surveyed the storm track by helicopter and found numerous trees down along the path.

The deaths

2 direct deaths are recorded for this tornado, each with what Storm Data knows of it.

AgeSexWhereKind
58MMobile/Trailer HomeDirect
51FMobile/Trailer HomeDirect

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

7 minutes of warning. NWS TBW issued a tornado warning for this county at 08:28 UTC, 7 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 09:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 05:49 UTC and running to 10:47 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
05:49 UTC10:47 UTCTornado WatchTBW
07:52 UTC08:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
07:56 UTC08:30 UTCTornado WarningTBW
08:27 UTC09:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
08:28 UTC09:00 UTCTornado WarningTBW
08:33 UTC09:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
08:45 UTC08:54 UTCTornado WarningTBW
08:56 UTC09:10 UTCTornado WarningTBW
09:00 UTC21:00 UTCLake Wind AdvisoryTBW
09:03 UTC11:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryTBW
09:15 UTC09:45 UTCTornado WarningTBW

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:48 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 00:00Z

8.6 hours before the tornado, 26 km from the path. January 17, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2016-01-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1 joules per kilogram, CIN -140, lifted condensation level 1407 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2016-01-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 64 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-140 J/kg
Surface CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1407 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 12:00Z

3.4 hours after it, 26 km from the path. January 17, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-01-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -87180, lifted condensation level 1048 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-01-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 91 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87180 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1048 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
91 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 26 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 08:36 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
08:45 UTCTORNADO3 N DuetteManatee, FL*** 1 INJ *** MANATEE COUNTY 911 REPORTS STRUCTURE COLLAPSE IN DUETTE WITH AN UNKNOWN NUMBER OF INJURIES OF VARYING DEGREES. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
09:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nne ArcadiaDesoto, FLMULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN ALONG HAMMOCK ROAD. TIME BASED ON RADAR.
09:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Ese WauchulaHardee, FL*** 1 INJ *** HARDEE COUNTY 911 REPORTED A POWERLINE IS DOWN ON COLIN ROAD AND A RESIDENT CAME IN CONTACT WITH A LIVE WIRE. DEGREE OF INJURY IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.
09:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 E WauchulaHardee, FLTREES DOWN AND BLOCKING THE ROAD ON CECIL DURRANCE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
10:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw FrostproofPolk, FLREPORTS FROM HOMEOWNER OF AWNING BLOWN OFF OF HOME. WINDS ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of January 17, 2016

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
January 173:10 AM ESTEF2Sarasota, FL1.13502$12 million
January 177:13 AM ESTEF1Martin, FL0.875$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.