Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2011
EF1 tornado, (Lal)Lakeland Muni A to Armour, Florida, March 31, 2011
From (Lal)Lakeland Muni A to Armour, this EF1 tornado ran 0.8 miles across Polk County on March 31, 2011, touching down at 12:04 PM EDT and reaching 30 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- March 31, 2011
- Touchdown
- 12:04 PM EDT (16:04 UTC)
- Lifted
- 12:05 PM EDT (16:05 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.8 miles (1.3 km)
- Path width
- 30 yards (27 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $500,000
- County
- Polk County
- Touchdown point
- 27.986, -82.023
- Lift-off point
- 27.986, -82.009
- Record number
- 1103311004-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A stalled frontal boundary was in place across central Florida. As the boundary began to lift north drawing in abundant warm moist air over the area, an upper level disturbance moved over the area and a squall line developed and quickly moved across the northern half of the area. Several areas of damaging winds and a tornado resulted from this fast moving line on March 30th. The warm front continued to lift north over northern Florida as a developing low pressure system shifted into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. As this system moved across northern Florida, the cold front pushed into the local area and another series of squall lines moved across the area through the day on March 31st. Several tornadoes and areas of damaging winds occurred across the greater Tampa Bay area.
Seven people were injured during the Sun N Fun Festival activities. There were 50 planes that were damaged or destroyed, with several planes overturned. Five campsites were destroyed with several other camp site tents collapsed or blown down. Light towers and other ground equipment also received damage.
Amateur radio operators reported a tornado on the ground north of Mulberry, and numerous trees and powerlines were downed north of Bartow. No damage was reported to structures as the tornado moved through a rural area north of the cities.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
13 minutes of warning. NWS TBW issued a tornado warning for this county at 15:51 UTC, 13 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 16:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 10:00 UTC and running to 16:47 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 UTC | 16:47 UTC | Tornado Watch | TBW |
| 11:30 UTC | 12:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW |
| 12:57 UTC | 13:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | TBW |
| 13:29 UTC | 13:48 UTC | Tornado Warning | TBW |
| 13:37 UTC | 15:30 UTC | Flood Advisory | TBW |
| 15:35 UTC | 16:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW |
| 15:51 UTC | 16:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | TBW |
| 15:57 UTC | 16:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW |
| 16:13 UTC | 16:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | TBW |
| 16:16 UTC | 17:15 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | TBW |
| 16:23 UTC | 16:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW |
| 16:47 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | TBW |
| 17:25 UTC | 19:30 UTC | Flood Advisory | TBW |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 12:30 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 12:00Z
4.1 hours before the tornado, 49 km from the path. March 31, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 728 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -58 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 149 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 787 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 69 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 543 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 606 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 8.9
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.7 K/km
The surface observations
Lakeland Regional (LAL), 0 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:50 UTC | 75.2 | 68 | 180° 6 kt | 1008.5 | VCSH | |
| 15:50 UTC | 73.4 | 68 | 350° 7 kt | 1008.1 | VCSH | |
| 16:50 UTC | 64.4 | 62.6 | 220° 14 kt | 1009.5 | TSRA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 49 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 16:02 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:14 UTC | TORNADO | 5 N Kathleen | Polk, FL | NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TORNADO NORTH OF KATHLEEN. |
| 13:30 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 9 N Gibsonia | Polk, FL | VISUAL ON FUNNEL. NOT ON GROUND AT TIME. |
| 15:20 UTC | TORNADO | 5 W Brandon | Hillsborough, FL | UNCONFIRMED TORNADO. REPORTS OF TWO OVERTURNED VEHICLES. |
| 15:31 UTC | TSTM WND GST 61 | Macdill Air Force Base | Hillsborough, FL | 53 KNOT WIND GUST AT KMCF ASOS. |
| 15:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ese Tampa | Hillsborough, FL | NUMEROUS ROOFS MISSING AROUND TAMPA PORT AUTHORITY. STORAGE CONTAINERS ROUGHLY 40 FEET LONG TURNED OVER. |
| 15:40 UTC | TORNADO | 5 W Brandon | Hillsborough, FL | UNCONFIRMED TORNADO. REPORTS OF TWO OVERTURNED VEHCILES. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 15:41 UTC | TSTM WND GST 44 | 2 Ese Ruskin | Hillsborough, FL | AT NWS OFFICE IN RUSKIN. |
| 15:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Sw Brandon | Hillsborough, FL | DAMAGE ON BLOOMINGDALE AVENUE FROM GORTNO LAKE EASTWARD TO KINGS AVENUE. ONE TRUCK OVERTURNED. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. TREE ON HOME. SIGNS DOWN. MULTIPLE REPORTS. |
| 15:55 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 3 W Plant City | Hillsborough, FL | |
| 16:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Lakeland Linder Airport | Polk, FL | HANGER COLLAPSE WITH PEOPLE INSIDE. PLANES FLIPPED OVER AT SUN N FUN EVENT. |
| 16:05 UTC | TSTM WND GST 66 | Lakeland Highlands | Polk, FL | HOME WEATHER STATION. |
| 16:05 UTC | NON-TSTM WND DMG | Lakeland Linder Airport | Polk, FL | HANGER COLLAPSE WITH PEOPLE INSIDE. PLANES FLIPPED OVER AT SUN N FUN EVENT. |
| 16:06 UTC | TORNADO | Mulberry | Polk, FL | TORNADO SPOTTED ON GROUND IN MULBERRY. |
| 16:10 UTC | TORNADO | 1 N Bartow | Polk, FL | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN JUST NORTH OF BARTOW. |
| 16:15 UTC | TSTM WND GST 73 | Winter Haven Airport | Polk, FL | 63 KNOT WIND GUST AT KGIF ASOS. |
| 16:25 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 Nw Lake Wales | Polk, FL | RAIN WRAPPED FUNNEL CLOUD NORTH OF HIGHWAY 60 IN LAKE WALES. CORRECTED LAT LON. |
| 16:25 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 5 E Cypress Gardens | Polk, FL | RAIN WRAPPED FUNNEL CLOUD NORTH OF HIGHWAY 60 IN LAKE WALES. |
| 16:25 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Cypress Gardens | Polk, FL | TWO LARGE TREES UPROOTED AT APARTMENT COMPLEX. SPOTTER ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 60 MPH FOR APPROXIMATELY 30 SECONDS. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 31, 2011
8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 8:27 AM EDT | EF0 | Hillsborough, FL | 4.3 | 30 | |||
| March 31 | 8:38 AM EDT | EF0 | Hillsborough, FL | 5.6 | 30 | $20,000 | ||
| March 31 | 9:12 AM EDT | EF0 | Polk, FL | 5.5 | 50 | |||
| March 31 | 11:04 AM EDT | EF1 | Pinellas, FL | 0.1 | 30 | $750,000 | ||
| March 31 | 11:19 AM EDT | EF1 | Pinellas, FL | 1.0 | 60 | $5,000 | ||
| March 31 | 11:30 AM EDT | EF1 | Hillsborough, FL | 1.6 | 100 | $2.3 million | ||
| March 31 | 11:40 AM EDT | EF1 | Hillsborough, FL | 5.2 | 100 | $1.6 million | ||
| March 31 | 12:06 PM EDT | EF0 | Polk, FL | 9.4 | 60 | $5,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.