Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2011

EF0 tornado, Socrum to Providence, Florida, March 31, 2011

From Socrum to Providence, this EF0 tornado ran 5.5 miles across Polk County on March 31, 2011, touching down at 9:12 AM EDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
March 31, 2011
Touchdown
9:12 AM EDT (13:12 UTC)
Lifted
9:17 AM EDT (13:17 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
5.5 miles (8.9 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Polk County
Touchdown point
28.198, -82.050
Lift-off point
28.211, -81.960
Record number
1103310712-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A stalled frontal boundary was in place across central Florida. As the boundary began to lift north drawing in abundant warm moist air over the area, an upper level disturbance moved over the area and a squall line developed and quickly moved across the northern half of the area. Several areas of damaging winds and a tornado resulted from this fast moving line on March 30th. The warm front continued to lift north over northern Florida as a developing low pressure system shifted into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. As this system moved across northern Florida, the cold front pushed into the local area and another series of squall lines moved across the area through the day on March 31st. Several tornadoes and areas of damaging winds occurred across the greater Tampa Bay area.

There were numerous reports and a video on television of a tornado north of Kathleen that became a funnel cloud as it was north of Gibsonia. No significant damage was reported.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

15 minutes of warning. NWS TBW issued a tornado warning for this county at 12:57 UTC, 15 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 13:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 10:00 UTC and running to 16:47 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:00 UTC20:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
10:00 UTC16:47 UTCTornado WatchTBW
11:30 UTC12:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
12:57 UTC13:30 UTCTornado WarningTBW
13:29 UTC13:48 UTCTornado WarningTBW
13:37 UTC15:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryTBW
15:35 UTC16:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
15:51 UTC16:30 UTCTornado WarningTBW
15:57 UTC16:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
16:13 UTC16:45 UTCTornado WarningTBW
16:16 UTC17:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningTBW
16:23 UTC16:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBW
16:47 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WatchTBW
17:25 UTC19:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryTBW

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 12:30 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 12:00Z

1.2 hours before the tornado, 68 km from the path. March 31, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2011-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 728 joules per kilogram, CIN -58, lifted condensation level 787 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2011-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 543 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 69 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
728 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Surface CAPE
149 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
787 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
543 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
606 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
8.9
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Lakeland Regional (LAL), 24 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
11:50 UTC71.664.4310° 10 kt1009.1VCSH
12:50 UTC69.862.60° 4 kt1007.8VCSH
13:50 UTC73.466.2180° 12 kt1007.8VCSH
14:50 UTC75.268180° 6 kt1008.5VCSH

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 13:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
10:58 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 E New Port RicheyPasco, FLTREES DOWN NEAR RIVER RIDGE BLVD AND TALL PINES BLVD. REPORTED BY PASCO COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se Land O' LakesPasco, FLDAMAGE TO CARPORTS AND POOL CAGES IN LAKE PADGETT ESTATES NEIGHBORHOOD OF LAND O LAKES.
11:02 UTCHAIL 0.5Wesley ChapelPasco, FLPEA TO MARBLE SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY SPOTTER.
12:21 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 Sw OdessaHillsborough, FLREPORTED BY PUBLIC.
12:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S LutzHillsborough, FLSOME TREE DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
12:55 UTCTORNADO3 Ene LutzHillsborough, FLNUMEROUS REPORTS OF TORNADO AND FUNNEL THAT MOVED FROM ODESSA TO NEAR LUTZ TO NEAR INTERSTATE 75 JUST SOUTH OF THE PASCO COUNTY LINE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
13:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGHillsborough River StatHillsborough, FLSEVERAL TREES DAMAGED IN PARK. REPORTED AS NO BIG DEAL.
13:14 UTCTORNADO5 N KathleenPolk, FLNUMEROUS REPORTS OF TORNADO NORTH OF KATHLEEN.
13:30 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD9 N GibsoniaPolk, FLVISUAL ON FUNNEL. NOT ON GROUND AT TIME.
14:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGBrooksvilleHernando, FLNUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN IN AND AROUND THE BROOKSVILLE AREA. SOME REPORTS TO 911 MAY BE FROM YESTERDAYS SEVERE WEATHER. CORRECTED WEATHER TYPE.
14:05 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGBrooksvilleHernando, FLNUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREE DAMAGE AND POWER LINES DOWN IN AND AROUND THE BROOKSVILLE AREA. SOME REPORTS TO 911 MAY BE FROM YESTERDAYS SEVERE WEATHER.
15:20 UTCTORNADO5 W BrandonHillsborough, FLUNCONFIRMED TORNADO. REPORTS OF TWO OVERTURNED VEHICLES.
15:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ese TampaHillsborough, FLNUMEROUS ROOFS MISSING AROUND TAMPA PORT AUTHORITY. STORAGE CONTAINERS ROUGHLY 40 FEET LONG TURNED OVER.
15:40 UTCTORNADO5 W BrandonHillsborough, FLUNCONFIRMED TORNADO. REPORTS OF TWO OVERTURNED VEHCILES. TIME ESTIMATED.
15:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sw BrandonHillsborough, FLDAMAGE ON BLOOMINGDALE AVENUE FROM GORTNO LAKE EASTWARD TO KINGS AVENUE. ONE TRUCK OVERTURNED. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN. TREE ON HOME. SIGNS DOWN. MULTIPLE REPORTS.
15:55 UTCHAIL 0.753 W Plant CityHillsborough, FL
16:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGLakeland Linder AirportPolk, FLHANGER COLLAPSE WITH PEOPLE INSIDE. PLANES FLIPPED OVER AT SUN N FUN EVENT.
16:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 66Lakeland HighlandsPolk, FLHOME WEATHER STATION.
16:05 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGLakeland Linder AirportPolk, FLHANGER COLLAPSE WITH PEOPLE INSIDE. PLANES FLIPPED OVER AT SUN N FUN EVENT.
16:06 UTCTORNADOMulberryPolk, FLTORNADO SPOTTED ON GROUND IN MULBERRY.
16:10 UTCTORNADO1 N BartowPolk, FLTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN JUST NORTH OF BARTOW.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 31, 2011

8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 318:27 AM EDTEF0Hillsborough, FL4.330
March 318:38 AM EDTEF0Hillsborough, FL5.630$20,000
March 3111:04 AM EDTEF1Pinellas, FL0.130$750,000
March 3111:19 AM EDTEF1Pinellas, FL1.060$5,000
March 3111:30 AM EDTEF1Hillsborough, FL1.6100$2.3 million
March 3111:40 AM EDTEF1Hillsborough, FL5.2100$1.6 million
March 3112:04 PM EDTEF1Polk, FL0.830$500,000
March 3112:06 PM EDTEF0Polk, FL9.460$5,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.