Tornadoes · United States · Colorado · 2015

EF1 tornado, Stonington, Colorado, May 7, 2015

This EF1 tornado ran 0.3 miles across Baca County on May 7, 2015, touching down at 4:59 PM MDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $3,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 7, 2015
Touchdown
4:59 PM MDT (22:59 UTC)
Lifted
5:01 PM MDT (23:01 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.3 miles (0.4 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$3,000
County
Baca County
Touchdown point
37.084, -102.114
Lift-off point
37.082, -102.110
Record number
1505071659-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PUB, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 95 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe storms produced large hail across parts of southeast Colorado. Slow moving storms produced a large amount of hail, which caused flooding and accidents on Colorado Springs area roadways, and flooding also occurred due to clogging of drains. A severe storm produced a short-lived tornado and killed three horses in southeast Baca County.

A short-lived tornado struck a windmill in open country of southeast Baca County.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

0 minutes of warning. NWS PUB issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:59 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:14 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:17 UTC and running to 01:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:17 UTC01:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPUB
21:11 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUB
21:53 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUB
22:27 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUB
22:59 UTC23:14 UTCTornado WarningPUB

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:46 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 12:00Z

11.0 hours before the tornado, 209 km from the path. May 7, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1621 joules per kilogram, CIN -88, lifted condensation level 788 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 187 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1621 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1958 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
788 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
3.7
0-3 km lapse rate
6.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 00:00Z

1.0 hours after it, 209 km from the path. May 8, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 54 joules per kilogram, CIN -182, lifted condensation level 1788 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 48 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-182 J/kg
Surface CAPE
506 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1788 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
7.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 204 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:56 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:59 UTCTORNADO18 Se WalshBaca, CORECEIVED FROM NWS DDC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in ColoradoEvery tornado in Colorado since 1950Warnings in force in Colorado nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 7, 2015

9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 73:45 PM CDTEF0Haskell, KS0.550
May 74:00 PM CDTEF0Gray, KS0.350
May 74:00 PM CDTEF0Gray, KS0.250
May 74:01 PM CDTEF0Gray, KS0.250
May 74:02 PM CDTEF1Gray, KS0.250$40,000
May 76:45 PM CDTEF1Wise, TX3.42001$250,000
May 76:36 PM MDTEF0Weld, CO0.150
May 77:45 PM CDTEF1Denton, TX12.7500$200,000
May 79:00 PM CDTEF0Wise, TX0.350

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.