A cold front brought two rounds of showers and thunderstorms to South-Central Texas. As the front moved southward it produced a few storms with large hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
A cold front brought two rounds of showers and thunderstorms to South-Central Texas. As the front moved southward it produced a few storms with large hail. The next morning it moved back northward as a warm front and produced heavy rain that led to minor flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 7, 11:58 AM CST, 3 hours 53 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1158 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Potential for strong to severe thunderstorms; highest threat to mainly concentrate along and south of I-10/HWY 90 into this evening. - Potential for locally heavy rainfall through this evening - Additional rain/storm chances during midweek with potential for isolated strong to severe storms and locally heavy rainfall && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tonight) Issued at 1124 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 Overall evolution of today's system has not changed from the previous forecast. What has changed is timing and location of severe weather potential. A cold front is diving across south central Texas over the course of the day today and will bring strong to severe thunderstorms to portions of the area. The cold front mentioned above has already moved through the northern counties of the service area due to a stronger driving cold airmass. Temperatures in central Texas have dropped into the 40s and 50s as of 10am and will likely not reach much into the 60s for highs. The result of the strong airmass has allowed the cold front to surge southwards approximately 3-4 hours ahead of schedule. Hi- res solutions have latched onto this sooner timing and now show the cold front moving into the I-35 corridor between noon and 3pm before reaching the Coastal Plains between 3pm and 6pm. The front is then anticipated to stagnate/stall over the Rio Grande Valley/Coastal Plains well into the overnight hours. Additional thunderstorms are possible along this stalled front into the overnight hours before diminishing after midnight. Despite the earlier timing, hazard potential haven't changed much as we still anticipate some thunderstorms being capable of producing hail up to 2", damaging wind gusts of 60 mph, and localized heavy rainfall. Location of these hazards has shifted south with the faster timing of the front. With the earlier timing of the front, expectation of severe weather for the northern counties of the Hill Country and southern Edwards Plateau has diminished as the front has already moved through them and storms that form will be elevated. Being elevated, the risk of damaging wind gusts is much lower however, an isolated storm capable of producing up to 1" hail can't be fully ruled out as of yet for those areas behind the front. The I-35 corridor will be transition zone of where we might be able to warm enough to get some of the better instability for thunderstorms to work with before the front pushes through. Once the front pushes through then severe concerns will diminish. Our thinking and hi-res models are in agreement, is that the better location for severe weather capable of meeting our hazards mentioned able will generally be along and south of I-10 and Hwy 90. Hi-res models show this are having MLCAPE of 1500 to 2000 J/kg, and a higher MLCAPE value closer to 2500 over Maverick County this afternoon. Shifting to the heavy rain threat, PWATs across the area remain very high for early March with the Del Rio sounding this morning showing 1.33". This amount of atmospheric moisture will allow for rainfall to be fairly efficient, and storm motions briefly become nearly parallel to the front with time. This would allow for some training of storms particularly across the Coastal Plains. Hi-res model continue to show the area seeing generally less than 1 inch with isolated higher totals of 2 to 4 inches in areas where training develops. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through next Saturday) Issued at 1124 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 The upper low that helped to send our cold front on Saturday will continue to cutoff over western Mexico/southern California on Sunday. The stalled front is anticipated to modify, but could allow for isolated rain chances through the remainder of the weekend. Closed off low re-integrates with upper flow by Tuesday to Wednesday of the upcoming week. There remains some uncertainty as with the model consensus which kept a scattered depiction of rain chances on Tuesday with better chances of widespread rainfall on Wednesday. There remains potential for isolated strong to severe thunderstorms for portions of the Hill Country and the northern I-35 corridor on Tuesday into Wednesday. PWATS continue to be advertised well above climatology for early March which maintains the potential for locally heavy rainfall during this timeframe. As the upper low departs, so do our rain chances for the remainder of the forecast. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1148 AM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 MVFR conditions are forecast for all area sites through at least midday Sunday. A cold front is moving across the local area and extends from KAUS to KERV to north of KDRT. This boundary is forecast to push to the southeast for the rest of this afternoon and evening. There is a slight chance for thunderstorms across the I-35 terminals from 19Z to 21Z. Moderate northerly winds of 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots are forecast along and behind the front. Stays breezy this evening through Sunday morning. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 55 72 62 83 / 50 30 20 30 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 54 72 60 83 / 60 30 20 30 New Braunfels Muni Airport 55 71 61 82 / 60 40 20 30 Burnet Muni Airport 52 70 60 80 / 30 20 20 20 Del Rio Intl Airport 56 68 61 81 / 30 50 30 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 52 72 60 82 / 50 20 20 30 Hondo Muni Airport 54 71 60 81 / 50 50 40 30 San Marcos Muni Airport 55 72 61 83 / 60 40 20 30 La Grange - Fayette Regional 57 74 63 83 / 70 40 10 30 San Antonio Intl Airport 56 71 63 81 / 50 50 40 30 Stinson Muni Airport 58 72 63 83 / 60 50 30 30 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...36 LONG TERM....36 AVIATION...17
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
118 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
TXZ184-202-203-072000-
Uvalde TX-Kinney TX-Edwards TX-
118 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Kinney, western
Uvalde and south central Edwards Counties through 200 PM CST...
At 118 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 10 miles southeast of Carta Valley to near
Standart. Movement was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Brackettville, Spofford, Laguna, Blewett, Barksdale, Montell, Dabney,
Cline, Anacacho, Standart, Alamo Village, Laughlin AFB Aux Field,
Kickapoo Cavern State Park, Turkey Mountain, and Fort Clark Springs.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 2909 10065 2963 10065 2991 10004 2977 10003
2975 10002 2972 10003 2971 10006 2968 10002
2966 10003 2964 10001 2963 10002 2962 10001
2916 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 258DEG 24KT 2971 10054 2935 10054
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
62Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
218 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
TXZ184-072045-
Edwards TX-
218 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Edwards County through 245 PM CST...
At 218 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles northeast of Alamo Village, or 22 miles north of Brackettville,
moving northeast at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Barksdale.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2972 10003 2971 10006 2968 10002 2966 10003
2963 10001 2962 10002 2962 10033 2965 10038
2985 10009
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 246DEG 17KT 2963 10029
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
62Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
235 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
TXZ185-203-072115-
Uvalde TX-Real TX-
235 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northern Uvalde and
southeastern Real Counties through 315 PM CST...
At 235 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of Laguna, or 12 miles northwest of Uvalde, moving
northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Reagan Wells, Concan, Garner State Park, and Rio Frio.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 2926 9990 2937 10001 2970 9973 2956 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 225DEG 23KT 2937 9988
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
62Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
313 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
TXZ187-203-204-072200-
Uvalde TX-Medina TX-Bandera TX-
313 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Medina,
southwestern Bandera and northeastern Uvalde Counties through 400 PM
CST...
At 312 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Concan, or 18 miles south of Vanderpool, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Tarpley, Utopia, Concan, and Hill Country State Natural Area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2936 9964 2952 9975 2982 9931 2949 9911
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 240DEG 28KT 2948 9962
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TranThe Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 88 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:50 UTC.
2 hail, 1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced ping pong ball size hail south of Pipe Creek. One of our media partners relayed a picture of the hail on social media.
A thunderstorm produced quarter size hail along Hwy 173 approximately six miles south of Bandera.
Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that led to flooding in southeastern San Antonio. A few low water crossings were closed in the vicinity of the intersection of I-37 and I-410.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1325737, 1325738, 1325740.