What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 7, 4:57 AM CST, 33 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
- Scattered showers and storms are expected through the afternoon with local heavy rainfall and flooding possible.
- Near to above normal temperatures heading into next week with a potential for triple digit heat.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 7, 4:57 AM CST, 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
557 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
- Scattered showers and storms are expected through the afternoon
with local heavy rainfall and flooding possible.
- Near to above normal temperatures heading into next week with a
potential for triple digit heat.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Through Sunday)
Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Unfortunately confidence is not high on how widespread
precipitation will be today. Despite the upper low moving over
the Plains, the high moisture content in the airmass over the
area, and areas with little or no convective inhibition, the
convection yesterday and into this morning has been less
widespread than anticipated with a very unfortunate minimum in the
precipitation that has fallen in OKC/Norman, or more broadly in
the Ringling to OKC to Stillwater to Ponca City corridor. Given
these trends, have lowered POPs in some areas from the NBM POPs
for today. Things are also complicated with the current Flood
Watch. Highest precipitation potential will be in southeastern
Oklahoma. But even in areas with less widespread precipitation
expected, these showers and storms have been very efficient at
producing heavy rainfall with our high precipitable water values -
as we saw last evening in the Weatherford area. Therefore am
reluctant to trim the watch too much at this point with such high
PW values over the area. Have at least trimmed the western
portion of the watch, and will likely be able to remove some more
counties later in this shift. The day shift will likely be able
to trim more from west to east through the day as the upper trough
and the potential for showers/storms shifts east through the day.
In general, the shower and storm potential will diminish from west
to east through the day with some clearing skies behind the upper
trough axis. With that, high temperatures will be warmer today in
the west, but similar highs to yesterday are expected in the east.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday night through Tuesday night)
Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
Some lingering showers may persist in the east this evening before
the upper trough moves far enough east to push the convection east
of our forecast area. In the wake of this exiting trough, upper
ridging builds into the southern and central Plains and we will
see the return of hot afternoon temperatures. The ridging even on
Monday now looks strong enough to support triple digit
temperatures in northwest Oklahoma and the wheat belt of north
central Oklahoma. Heights actually decrease a little on Tuesday as
the ridge axis shifts to the Mississippi Valley and a trough
approaches the High Plains from the southern and central Rockies.
This will likely lower high temperatures slightly Tuesday compared
to Wednesday, although triple digit highs are still possible in
the wheat belt.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 212 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
The mid/upper level flow flattens and becomes more zonal mid week.
But with sunny skies, above average high temperatures are still
expected Wednesday and Thursday. A large-scale trough projected to
move across the northern and central plains Thursday will help
push a cold front down the plains into Oklahoma on Thursday
decreasing high temperatures and providing the next significant
rain chances on Thursday night.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 556 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
The primary aviation weather issued this morning are areas of MVFR
and locally IFR ceilings, and the scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the area. The storms will be most likely
across southern Oklahoma approaching KDUA, with some potential of
scattered storms near the central and north central Oklahoma
sites. The precipitation chances will decrease from west to east
across the area through the day. Areas of low ceilings across the
area will also lift through the day with clearing skies spreading
from west to east. There are areas of low visibility (AOB 1/2SM)
across the northeastern Texas panhandle, central and eastern
Oklahoma panhandle and southwest Kansas. There is some potential
for low visibility to develop at KWWR over the next couple of
hours, but the potential is too low to mention explicitly in the
KWWR TAF.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 85 74 93 75 / 50 10 0 0
Hobart OK 91 74 98 75 / 20 10 0 0
Wichita Falls TX 91 74 95 74 / 60 0 0 0
Gage OK 91 74 102 77 / 10 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 83 73 92 77 / 50 40 20 10
Durant OK 87 76 91 77 / 70 10 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through this afternoon for OKZ012-013-018>020-
024>032-038>048-050>052.
TX...Flood Watch through this afternoon for TXZ086-088>090.
&&
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM....26
AVIATION...26In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 7, 4:10 AM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
510 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
TXZ084-085-087-088-071045-
Foard TX-Knox TX-Wilbarger TX-Baylor TX-
510 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southeastern Foard,
northeastern Knox, southwestern Wilbarger and northwestern Baylor
Counties through 545 AM CDT...
At 510 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Vera, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lake Kemp.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3369 9957 3383 9962 3388 9925 3370 9922
TIME...MOT...LOC 1010Z 263DEG 21KT 3373 9947
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MDUSpecial weather statement, Jun 7, 4:28 AM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
528 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
OKZ045-TXZ090-071100-
Jefferson OK-Clay TX-
528 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern
Jefferson and central Clay Counties through 600 AM CDT...
At 528 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles southeast of Petrolia to near Bellevue
to 5 miles west of Newport. Movement was east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Henrietta, Ryan, Petrolia, Terral, Bellevue, Sugden, Newport,
Bluegrove, Oscar, Joy, Vashti, and Shannon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3376 9826 3399 9828 3412 9809 3412 9773
3394 9773 3394 9776 3388 9780 3385 9787
3389 9798 3347 9798 3347 9829
TIME...MOT...LOC 1028Z 266DEG 32KT 3393 9810 3364 9805 3346 9810
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MDUSpecial weather statement, Jun 7, 4:31 AM CST, 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
531 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
TXZ088-089-071100-
Archer TX-Baylor TX-
531 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of western Archer and
Baylor Counties through 600 AM CDT...
At 531 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lake Kemp to 4 miles northwest of Westover
to 4 miles southeast of Lake Kickapoo. Movement was east at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Seymour, Holliday, Lake Kemp, Mabelle, Lake Diversion, Dundee,
Mankins, Westover, and Lake Kickapoo.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3348 9913 3373 9948 3383 9948 3384 9922
3383 9870 3348 9870
TIME...MOT...LOC 1031Z 256DEG 29KT 3371 9923 3355 9906 3358 9878
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MDUSpecial weather statement, Jun 7, 5:00 AM CST, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
600 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
OKZ045-046-050-071130-
Love OK-Carter OK-Jefferson OK-
600 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southeastern
Jefferson, northwestern Love and southwestern Carter Counties through
630 AM CDT...
At 559 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles north of Oscar to 5 miles northwest of
Rubottom. Movement was northeast at 35 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lone Grove, Wilson, Ringling, Leon, Grady, Rubottom, Burneyville,
Oscar, Cornish, Courtney, and Petersburg.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3382 9744 3389 9745 3391 9747 3392 9750
3390 9759 3395 9759 3399 9767 3394 9773
3394 9776 3389 9778 3390 9780 3386 9783
3386 9790 3417 9791 3417 9724 3387 9725
3389 9731 3385 9733 3388 9733 3382 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 1059Z 237DEG 30KT 3408 9780 3400 9752
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MDUSpecial weather statement, Jun 7, 5:01 AM CST, 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
601 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
TXZ088-089-071130-
Archer TX-Baylor TX-
601 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Archer and eastern
Baylor Counties through 630 AM CDT...
At 601 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles east of Mabelle to 7 miles northeast of
Olney. Movement was east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Archer City, Holliday, Megargel, Lake Diversion, Dundee, Mankins,
Westover, Lake Kickapoo, and northeastern Lake Kemp.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3340 9897 3382 9919 3382 9867 3353 9842
3340 9842
TIME...MOT...LOC 1101Z 267DEG 13KT 3370 9902 3346 9869
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MDUSpecial weather statement, Jun 7, 5:26 AM CST, 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Norman OK
626 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
TXZ085-086-088>090-071200-
Clay TX-Wichita TX-Archer TX-Wilbarger TX-Baylor TX-
626 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southwestern Clay,
Archer, southwestern Wichita, southeastern Wilbarger and northeastern
Baylor Counties through 700 AM CDT...
At 625 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles north of Lake Diversion to 11 miles
southwest of Windthorst. Movement was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Southwestern Wichita Falls, Archer City, Iowa Park, Holliday,
Scotland, Windthorst, Lake Diversion, Dundee, Mankins, Lake Kickapoo,
southwestern Lake Arrowhead, Lakeside City, Pleasant Valley, and
Shannon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3397 9914 3397 9861 3347 9821 3347 9842
3340 9842 3340 9885
TIME...MOT...LOC 1125Z 261DEG 24KT 3390 9902 3344 9855
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
MDU