What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 6, 9:24 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1.) Showers and storms expected today ahead of a cold front that will track through the region tonight with potentially severe level storms. 2.) Heat will build through the week as another upper level ridge builds into the Great Lakes.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 6, 9:24 AM EST, 2 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1024 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes to the forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1.) Showers and storms expected today ahead of a cold front that will
track through the region tonight with potentially severe level
storms.
2.) Heat will build through the week as another upper level ridge
builds into the Great Lakes.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
UPDATE...
Increased POPS to likely and categorical across the western and
southern counties through early afternoon as an MCS propagates
southeastward across the area. This complex is not being modeled
well at all by the CAMS, but it appears to be an old MCV that
regenerated a new line of convection due to downstream heating.
Strong warm air advection is rapidly raising dew points into the
mid 60s this morning, and with plenty of sunshine ahead of the
line and the increasing low-level moisture, expect it to
continue southeastward across the area. Surface based CAPE is
marginal (around 1000 J/Kg), but with around 30 knots of
effective bulk shear oriented normal to the line, there will be
a marginal threat for severe winds at times from about Findlay
to Mt. Vernon.
This morning complex results in a high amount of uncertainty
regarding the redevelopment of convection ahead of the cold
front this afternoon and evening. It is possible that a trailing
outflow boundary causes all new convection to develop south of
our CWA for the late afternoon and evening, so this will be
reevaluated with this afternoon's forecast package.
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Showers moving through Michigan and southern Ontario due to a
prefrontal surface trough and the emergence of a low level jet will
likely begin to dip southward into our CWA over the next several
hours. These will be largely low QPF producers and scattered in
nature, and not every location will receive rain this morning. As we
get into the daytime hours, flow aloft becomes cyclonic, and with
daytime heating, expecting not only a significant increase in the
instability, but a lowering of the CAPE as well. Column RH could lag
a bit, but do not expect that to be an inhibiting factor to
convection today. Models now showing an increase in the 0-6km bulk
shear compared to last night with 50kts, and could now see this
development becoming a line or cluster of storms moving mainly
northwest to southeast through the CWA. Expecting mainly damaging
winds as a the threat, and this potentially severe convection should
initiate after 18Z when insolation has had time to destabilize after
morning cloud cover exits.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
High pressure in the wake of the cold front Sunday and Monday in
slightly cooler weather and convective chances returning Tuesday
thanks to a relatively high amplitude upper level trough axis moving
through. Another more persistent upper level ridge will move in for
the rest of the forecast period, through the end of the week, and
will mark a period where very warm temperatures should build in
along with higher dewpoints that eclipse 70F for much of the CWA
Thursday and Friday. Will need to watch the apparent temperatures
for the end of next week with those higher dewpoints and
temperatures in place.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Initial push of showers and thunderstorms will continue to move
east across the region this morning. Have maintained TEMPO
groups for TSRA across most TAF sites through ~15Z/Sat. There
will be a brief break in precipitation late this morning into
early this afternoon. Thunderstorms will redevelop this
afternoon along a line south of Lake Erie as a cold front pushes
south across the region. Maintained PROB30 for lakeshore TAF
sites as convection may develop just south of them. Elsewhere,
have TEMPO groups to time out non-VFR impacts in thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening.
Any showers and/or thunderstorms that develop and move over a
terminal will be capable of producing MVFR ceilings and/or
visibilities. Any afternoon/evening thunderstorm may reach
severe limits and cause strong wind gusts and large hail.
Southwest winds have decreased slightly early this morning to
8-12 knots but they are expected to increase later this morning
to 10-15 knots with gusts 20-25 knots. Locally higher wind gusts
possible in strong to severe thunderstorms. Winds will turn
westerly while decreasing to 8 knots or less tonight.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible in patchy fog early Sunday morning.
Periods of non-VFR likely in occasional showers and
thunderstorms Monday night through Wednesday.
&&
.MARINE...
Southwest winds increase to 15-20 knots ahead of the passage of
a cold front this evening. Wave heights are expected to build
to 3-6 feet across the open waters and in the nearshore zones
of the eastern basin. Have issued a Small Craft Advisory and
Beach Hazards Statement though this evening. As the cold front
moves south across the region showers and thunderstorms will be
possible this afternoon and evening. High pressure builds
overhead behind the cold front allowing for northerly winds to
decrease to 10 knots or less on Sunday. Easterly flow increases
to 10-15 knots on Monday before southerly flow returns on
Tuesday.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ012-
089.
PA...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for PAZ001.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
LEZ147>149.
&&
DISCUSSION...Garuckas/26
AVIATION...13
MARINE...13Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 6, 10:59 AM EST, 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1159 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>011-013-014-017>023-027-028-033-
036-037-PAZ002-003-071600-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-
Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-
Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Southern Erie-
1159 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds are the main threat with these storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
OHZ029>032-038-047-071600-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Holmes-Knox-
1159 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 277 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northeast Ohio.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
OHZ012-089-PAZ001-071600-
Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
1159 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Beach Hazards Statement.
There is a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. Damaging winds are the main threat with these storms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 6, 10:16 AM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1116 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OHZ027-028-036-037-061600-
Crawford OH-Wyandot OH-Marion OH-Morrow OH-
1116 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MARION...SOUTHEASTERN WYANDOT...
CENTRAL MORROW AND SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES THROUGH NOON EDT...
At 1115 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Upper Sandusky to near North Lewisburg.
Movement was east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Marion, Bucyrus, Upper Sandusky, Mount Gilead, Galion, Crestline,
Cardington, Ashley, Prospect, La Rue, Morral, Waldo, Marseilles,
Nevada, Caledonia, New Bloomington, Edison, Green Camp, Fulton, and
North Robinson.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4036 8293 4041 8292 4044 8308 4044 8325
4051 8325 4051 8342 4068 8342 4071 8346
4084 8331 4086 8273 4071 8273 4071 8270
4035 8289
TIME...MOT...LOC 1515Z 271DEG 43KT 4079 8334 4025 8361
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
SaundersSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 10:17 AM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1117 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OHZ027-028-036-037-061545-
Crawford OH-Wyandot OH-Marion OH-Morrow OH-
1117 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MARION...SOUTHEASTERN WYANDOT...
MORROW AND SOUTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES THROUGH 1145 AM EDT...
At 1116 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Upper Sandusky to near North Lewisburg.
Movement was east at 50 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Marion, Bucyrus, Upper Sandusky, Mount Gilead, Galion, Crestline,
Cardington, Ashley, Prospect, La Rue, Morral, Waldo, Marseilles,
Nevada, Caledonia, New Bloomington, Edison, Green Camp, Fulton, and
North Robinson.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4036 8293 4041 8292 4044 8308 4044 8325
4051 8325 4051 8342 4068 8342 4071 8346
4084 8331 4086 8273 4071 8273 4071 8267
4035 8284
TIME...MOT...LOC 1516Z 271DEG 43KT 4079 8329 4025 8357
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
SaundersSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 10:44 AM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1144 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
OHZ029-030-037-047-061615-
Richland OH-Ashland OH-Morrow OH-Knox OH-
1144 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN RICHLAND...SOUTHERN
ASHLAND...MORROW AND KNOX COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM EDT...
At 1144 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Lexington to Polaris. Movement was east at
70 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Mansfield, Mount Vernon, Mount Gilead, Ontario, Lexington,
Loudonville, Fredericktown, Gambier, Utica, Bellville, Centerburg,
Danville, Chesterville, Sparta, Waterford, Butler, Perrysville,
Lucas, Marengo, and Fulton.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4024 8248 4027 8248 4027 8274 4035 8275
4036 8292 4071 8276 4071 8273 4076 8272
4077 8213 4067 8213 4067 8222 4057 8222
4057 8218 4024 8220
TIME...MOT...LOC 1544Z 278DEG 61KT 4069 8268 4015 8295
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
SaundersLocal storm report, Jun 6, 11:27 AM EST, 23 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1227 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1155 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 NNW Sparta 40.40N 82.71W
06/06/2026 Morrow OH 911 Call Center
Report of large tree down on power lines
along State Route 314 north of Sparta.
&&
AKSpecial weather statement, Jun 6, 11:35 AM EST, 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1235 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
PAZ003-061700-
Crawford PA-
1235 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CRAWFORD COUNTY
THROUGH 100 PM EDT...
At 1235 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Harmonsburg, or near Meadville, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Meadville, Cochranton, Geneva, and Conneaut Lakeshore.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4149 8002 4149 8004 4158 8031 4166 8026
4166 7998
TIME...MOT...LOC 1635Z 277DEG 22KT 4160 8026
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
SaundersLocal storm report, Jun 6, 11:40 AM EST, 10 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1240 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1157 AM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 NE Sparta 40.41N 82.67W
06/06/2026 Morrow OH Public
Report of multiple trees down on State Route
19 northeast of Sparta.
&&
AK