Moderate drought conditions have developed across portions of the Concho Valley during the month of September. Moderate to severe drought conditions across southwest portions of Crockett County improved during the month of September.
Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
Moderate drought conditions have developed across portions of the Concho Valley during the month of September. Moderate to severe drought conditions across southwest portions of Crockett County improved during the month of September.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 11:52 PM CST, 8 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1252 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025 ...New LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Flood Watch continues for the Concho Valley, the Heartland, the northern Edwards Plateau and the northwest Hill Country through 7AM this morning. - Pockets of heavy rainfall are possible through Monday morning along and near a stationary frontal boundary. - Marginal risk of heavy rainfall across portions of the northern Edwards Plateau and northwest Hill Country on Monday. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 236 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 ...Slight risk of excessive rainfall across central and southern portions of west central Texas tonight... Satellite and radar images indicate showers and thunderstorms continue to develop along a stationary frontal boundary draped across the southern and eastern portions of the CWA this afternoon. In addition...isolated showers and thunderstorms continue to develop north of the frontal boundary across portions of the Big Country extending southward into the Concho Valley and the Heartland. Some of these storms are producing heavy rainfall and as additional showers and storms develop, the areas that have received heavy rainfall continue to receive additional rainfall. With a slight risk of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance across the central and southern portions of west central Texas tonight...have extended the flood watch through Monday morning for everywhere but the Big Country as the focus for heavy rainfall should be confined across the southern half of the CWA tonight. Expect rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches in general with isolated amounts of up to 5 inches possible as indicated by the 12Z HREF 90 to 99 percentile probabilities of total precipitation through 7 am Monday. Low to mid level moisture is expected to decrease across the Big Country tonight but remain high elsewhere. Rain chances will diminish across the northern counties tonight as a result and will diminish across the rest of west central Texas on Monday except across the extreme southern counties where low to mid level moisture is expected to remain high. In addition...WPC has a marginal risk of excessive rainfall across portions of the northern Edwards Plateau and northwest Hill Country on Monday. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Sunday) Issued at 1252 AM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025 Rain chances will be much lower for the mid to late week timeframe as a drier airmass moves into west central Texas on Tuesday. Temperatures look to be near seasonal norms (low 90s) for Tuesday and Wednesday. However, stronger thermal ridging looks to set up for Thursday and Friday and should lead to highs in the upper 90s both days. Going into the weekend, models are in good agreement in showing an upper-level trough centered just north of the Great Lakes will dip southward into the central and eastern US. Another surface front looks to drop into Texas from the northeast on Saturday and stall. Global models diverge somewhat regarding how far south the front will go and the overall rain chances. The GFS no longer shows a tropical depression moving in from the east Pacific but still remains much wetter than the European, which doesn't bring the front as far into Texas. LREF probabilities show low (<25%) chances of rainfall exceeding 1 inch in 24 hours Saturday through Sunday. For now, rain chances were kept to around 20% for Saturday and Sunday with near-seasonal temperatures. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 641 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 Ongoing showers and thunderstorms will continue through about 03Z before diminishing. MVFR ceilings and visibilities are still possible with occasional thunder through this time. Overnight, MVFR ceilings could develop after 09Z, depending on how much clearing occurs after storms dissipate. Additional chances for storms are possible through about 18Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 91 67 93 65 / 10 0 0 0 San Angelo 89 65 93 64 / 20 0 0 0 Junction 89 63 93 65 / 40 0 10 0 Brownwood 89 65 92 64 / 30 0 0 0 Sweetwater 92 67 94 64 / 10 0 0 0 Ozona 87 65 92 65 / 30 0 10 0 Brady 87 65 90 64 / 30 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for Brown-Coke-Coleman- Concho-Crockett-Irion-Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-Sterling-Sutton-Tom Green. && SHORT TERM...61 LONG TERM....SK AVIATION...SK
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Moderate to severe drought conditions across southwest portions of Crockett County improved with only a sliver of moderate drought conditions remaining across extreme southwest portions of the county during the month of September.
Moderate drought conditions developed across most of Coke County during the month of September.
Moderate drought conditions developed across most of Runnels County during the month of September.
Moderate drought conditions developed across western portions of Coleman County during the month of September.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1295153, 1295154, 1295155, 1295156.