Texas, 2025

Drought in Texas, September 1 to 30, 2025

September 1 to 30, 2025 · NWS EWX · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category. Bastrop, Gonzales, Hays, and Travis Counties went from Abnormally Dry (D0) to D2. Guadalupe, Wilson, Caldwell, Comal, and Karnes went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in Extreme (D3) Drought and Atascosa, Frio, and Kinney stayed in D2. At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado, Blanco, San Marcos, lower San Antonio, and Atascosa Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) to below normal on the upper Nueces River. The Edwards Aquifer rose 0.1 feet but was 33.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 0.9 feet and was 81.5 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.2 feet and was 9.7 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 0.8 feet and was 17.7 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, De Witt, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 5:41 PM CST, 6 hours 19 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Locally heavy rain possible across most areas of south central Texas Sunday afternoon into Monday. Localized flooding possible.
  • A Flood Watch is in effect for most of south central Texas noon Sunday through noon Monday.
  • We dry out through the week with rain chances returning next weekend
Area forecast discussion, Aug 31, 5:41 PM CST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
641 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Flood Watch remains in effect until noon Monday. We are seeing
an outflow boundary push through the area and so far we are not
seeing many showers and storms form before it. Currently it has
made it past New Braunfels and continues moving south down the
I-35 Corridor. Most areas behind this boundary are likely to not
see as much heavy rain potential as the airmass behind it stabilizes
including Williamson, Burnett, and Lee counties. We now expect
areas ahead of the boundary to still see heavy rainfall as
instability remains which includes the Edwards Plateau and
Western Hill Country and any areas south.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Locally heavy rain possible across most areas of south central Texas
  Sunday afternoon into Monday. Localized flooding possible.

- A Flood Watch is in effect for most of south central Texas
  noon Sunday through noon Monday.

- We dry out through the week with rain chances returning next
  weekend

&&

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
Current radar imagery as of noon today shows showers and some
storms backbuilding off a frontal boundary thats off a main
complex near college station that continues to slide to the
south and east. Meanwhile the frontal boundary continues to
slide south across the area. Expect showers and storms to erupt
off this boundary as it continues its crawl across the area.
PWATs sitting anywhere from 1.7 up to 2 inches will make for any
storms to be very efficient rainfall producers ahead of the
front. As such a flood watch remains in effect for all our
counties except Maverick and Dimmit counties until noon
tomorrow. Widespread 1 to 2 inches with pockets of 3 to 5 inches
and isolated spots up to 8 inches of rainfall is possible
anywhere in the watch area. It's still too difficult to
pinpoint just where exactly the heaviest rainfall will occur as
we are expecting several rounds of rainfall through Monday as
the front stalls over the area and continues igniting showers
and storms. WPC has expanded their level 2 of 4 risk (Slight)
for excessive rainfall for today into tomorrow morning for
almost our entire area except southern Maverick and Dimmit
counties and keeps us in a level 1 of 4 risk (Marginal) for the
entire area for Monday into Tuesday. Looking at latest
guidance, most depict this first round to continue pushing off
to the east mainly affecting northern areas of the CWA including
the Austin Metro. We should see more storms fire along the
boundary this evening as they slowly move from the hill country
into the I-35 Corridor. Some model guidance shows yet another
round of storms and possible heavy rain forming overnight and
continuing into monday morning. Time will tell with what happens
but locally heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds from 40-50mph
will be possible in any of the stronger storms. Remember to
stay weather aware and closely monitor weather conditions
throughout this holiday weekend.

Temperatures will be cooler in areas that remain in the cloud
cover and rain with most seeing mid to upper 80s today with low
90s for Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
Dry weather returns on Tuesday and remains through Friday. Rain
chances return just in time for next weekend as we could see
moisture from a tropical system or a disturbance move over
mexico and impact our area however its far too early for any
specifics at this time. Temperatures will be a slightly below
normal values for most locations on Tuesday with a slow warming
trend forecast for the rest of the work week.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
Showers and thunderstorms are moving through the San Antonio
area. Storms will reduce visibility and produce wind gusts of
30-35 kts. Storms should move through the area by 02Z.
Thunderstorms are also in the vicinity of DRT and will reduce
visibility and produce wind gusts of 25-30 kts. Storms will be
through there by 03Z. Outside of convection conditions will be
VFR at all terminals. MVFR ceilings will develop in Austin and
San Antonio overnight. Convection will redevelop during the
daytime Monday with gusty winds being the most likely impact.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              73  90  72  95 /  30  40  10   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  73  89  71  94 /  40  40  10  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     73  91  71  96 /  60  50  20  10
Burnet Muni Airport            71  86  69  91 /  30  40  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           76  90  74  96 /  70  80  30  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        72  88  69  93 /  30  40  10   0
Hondo Muni Airport             72  90  71  95 /  60  60  20  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        72  90  71  96 /  50  50  10  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   73  89  72  93 /  40  50  10  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       74  91  74  95 /  60  60  20  10
Stinson Muni Airport           76  92  75  96 /  60  60  20  10

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Monday morning for Atascosa-Bandera-
Bastrop-Bexar-Blanco-Burnet-Caldwell-Comal-De Witt-Edwards-
Fayette-Frio-Gillespie-Gonzales-Guadalupe-Hays-Karnes-Kendall-
Kerr-Kinney-Lavaca-Lee-Llano-Medina-Real-Travis-Uvalde-Val
Verde-Williamson-Wilson-Zavala.

&&

UPDATE...
SHORT TERM...Magnussen
LONG TERM...Magnussen
AVIATION...05

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 31, 7:40 PM CST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
840 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     Flash Flood      1 E Hill Country Villag 29.58N 98.48W
08/31/2025                   Bexar              TX   Broadcast Media

            Video on X showed southbound Hwy 281 flooded
            near Paseo del Norte. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

BF
Local storm report, Aug 31, 7:48 PM CST, 4 hours 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
848 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     Flash Flood      1 E Hill Country Villag 29.58N 98.48W
08/31/2025                   Bexar              TX   Broadcast Media

            Corrects previous flash flood report from 1
            E Hill Country Village. Video on X showed
            southbound Hwy 281 flooded near Paseo del
            Norte. Time estimated from radar.

&&

BF
Local storm report, Aug 31, 7:55 PM CST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
855 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 PM     Flash Flood      1 NE Olmos Park         29.48N 98.48W
08/31/2025                   Bexar              TX   Local Official

            Bexar flood shows Devine Road closed at
            Olmos Creek due to water over the road.

&&

BF
Local storm report, Aug 31, 7:59 PM CST, 4 hours 1 minute before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
859 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0814 PM     Flash Flood      2 WSW Kirby             29.44N 98.42W
08/31/2025                   Bexar              TX   Local Official

            Bexar flood shows Creekview Drive closed at
            Pershing Creek due to water over the road.

&&

BF
Local storm report, Aug 31, 8:02 PM CST, 3 hours 58 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
902 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     Flash Flood      4 SE Hill Country Villa 29.54N 98.46W
08/31/2025                   Bexar              TX   Local Official

            Bexar flood reports East Bitters Road was
            closed at Salado Creek due to water over the
            road.

&&

BF
Local storm report, Aug 31, 8:06 PM CST, 3 hours 54 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
906 PM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0831 PM     Flash Flood      6 NW Elmendorf          29.31N 98.41W
08/31/2025                   Bexar              TX   Local Official

            Bexar flood reports Blue Wing Road is closed
            due to water over the road near Salado
            Creek.

&&

BF

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Atascosa

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Atascosa forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.894, -98.527 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category. Bastrop, Gonzales, Hays, and Travis Counties went from Abnormally Dry (D0) to D2. Guadalupe, Wilson, Caldwell, Comal, and Karnes went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in Extreme (D3) Drought and Atascosa, Frio, and Kinney stayed in D2. At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado, Blanco, San Marcos, lower San Antonio, and Atascosa Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) to below normal on the upper Nueces River. The Edwards Aquifer rose 0.1 feet but was 33.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 0.9 feet and was 81.5 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.2 feet and was 9.7 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 0.8 feet and was 17.7 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, De Witt, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Bexar

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Bexar forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.449, -98.520 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category. Bastrop, Gonzales, Hays, and Travis Counties went from Abnormally Dry (D0) to D2. Guadalupe, Wilson, Caldwell, Comal, and Karnes went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in Extreme (D3) Drought and Atascosa, Frio, and Kinney stayed in D2. At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado, Blanco, San Marcos, lower San Antonio, and Atascosa Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) to below normal on the upper Nueces River. The Edwards Aquifer rose 0.1 feet but was 33.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 0.9 feet and was 81.5 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.2 feet and was 9.7 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 0.8 feet and was 17.7 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, De Witt, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Frio

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Frio forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
28.868, -99.108 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category. Bastrop, Gonzales, Hays, and Travis Counties went from Abnormally Dry (D0) to D2. Guadalupe, Wilson, Caldwell, Comal, and Karnes went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in Extreme (D3) Drought and Atascosa, Frio, and Kinney stayed in D2. At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado, Blanco, San Marcos, lower San Antonio, and Atascosa Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) to below normal on the upper Nueces River. The Edwards Aquifer rose 0.1 feet but was 33.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 0.9 feet and was 81.5 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.2 feet and was 9.7 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 0.8 feet and was 17.7 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, De Witt, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Kinney

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Kinney forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.350, -100.418 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category. Bastrop, Gonzales, Hays, and Travis Counties went from Abnormally Dry (D0) to D2. Guadalupe, Wilson, Caldwell, Comal, and Karnes went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in Extreme (D3) Drought and Atascosa, Frio, and Kinney stayed in D2. At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado, Blanco, San Marcos, lower San Antonio, and Atascosa Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) to below normal on the upper Nueces River. The Edwards Aquifer rose 0.1 feet but was 33.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 0.9 feet and was 81.5 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.2 feet and was 9.7 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 0.8 feet and was 17.7 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, De Witt, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

Drought, Medina

When
September 1, 12:00 AM CST to September 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Medina forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
29.356, -99.110 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

September rainfall was less than 50% of normal across most of South-Central Texas and drought conditions worsened in most counties. De Witt and Fayette Counties saw the worst change from no drought to Severe (D2) Drought category. Bastrop, Gonzales, Hays, and Travis Counties went from Abnormally Dry (D0) to D2. Guadalupe, Wilson, Caldwell, Comal, and Karnes went from Moderate (D1) Drought to D2. Bexar and Medina Counties remained in Extreme (D3) Drought and Atascosa, Frio, and Kinney stayed in D2. At the end of the month, the seven-day average streamflow was much below (<10%) normal on the upper Colorado, lower Guadalupe, Medina, and upper San Antonio Rivers; below (10%-24%) normal on the lower Colorado, Blanco, San Marcos, lower San Antonio, and Atascosa Rivers; and normal (25%-75%) to below normal on the upper Nueces River. The Edwards Aquifer rose 0.1 feet but was 33.4 feet below normal. Medina Lake dropped 0.9 feet and was 81.5 feet below conservation elevation. Lake Travis dropped 2.2 feet and was 9.7 feet below normal. Canyon Lake dropped 0.8 feet and was 17.7 feet below normal. Most water providers encouraged conservation while San Antonio and Universal City imposed stage 3 restrictions and New Braunfels and Austin had stage 2. Of the counties in D2 or worse drought, Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, De Witt, Fayette, Medina, Frio, Gonzales, Guadalupe, and Travis had outdoor burn bans in effect at the end of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2025

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1294853, 1294854, 1294855, 1294856, 1294857.