Scattered thunderstorms developed on the afternoon of the second producing severe wind gusts across the South Plains and extreme southern Texas Panhandle. A strong short wave trough moved across southern Arizona into New Mexico bringing robust large scale ascent to West Texas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed on the afternoon of the second producing severe wind gusts across the South Plains and extreme southern Texas Panhandle. A strong short wave trough moved across southern Arizona into New Mexico bringing robust large scale ascent to West Texas. Very strong surface heating with temperatures warming into the 90s created a deeply mixed boundary layer. Thunderstorms developed early in the afternoon with a quick erosion of a cap, however, the warm surface temperatures kept cloud bases very high. As a result, numerous severe outflow winds were observed from this thunderstorm activity. Several locations around the South Plains incurred damage from the intense winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 2, 12:22 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 122 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Numerous thunderstorms expected to persist through this evening with large hail and damaging wind gusts possible with the strongest storms. - A strong cold front arrives by Tuesday afternoon, with additional severe thunderstorms possible mainly off the Caprock. - Daily chances for thunderstorms, some severe, will continue this week and into the weekend. - Some storms on Thursday will pose the risk of flash flood, primarily across areas off the Caprock. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 119 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Early afternoon water vapor channel imagery depicts a closed mid/upper level circulation over the AZ/NM border with widespread ascent already noted over eastern NM. The initially closed circulation will open and accelerate eastward through the rest of the afternoon in phase with a deepening upper trough centered over MT, which will in turn result in a notable strengthening of southwest flow aloft over West Texas. Surface troughing has already begun to deepen along the TX/NM state line, but low level confluence is still expected to remain quite weak through the rest of the afternoon. Strong forcing for ascent will overspread the region shortly as the H5 jet noses overhead, and given a generally uncapped atmosphere, we expect thunderstorms to be fairly widespread the rest of this afternoon through this evening. The presence of only weak low level confluence and a general lack of any focusing surface features is expected to limit the degree to which convection can organize, but scattered to numerous clusters of storms are still likely given the strong forcing, with this activity first spreading over the Caprock by late afternoon, then moving over the SE TX Panhandle and Rolling Plains this evening. Forecast soundings still highlight a well-mixed lower atmosphere which will result in the majority of this convection being high-based with DCAPE values up to 1500 J/kg supporting a primary hazard of severe wind gusts up to 75 mph, though fairly steep midlevel lapse rates will support the potential for hail up to golf ball size as well within the stronger updrafts. In general, storm coverage will decrease from west to east during the late evening hours as initial storm activity exits into OK. However, there is some hi-res consensus that a second round of mainly elevated storms will develop overnight as the core of the upper level trough tracks overhead. Given the cooling midlevel temperatures and continued strong forcing, large hail will be possible with this overnight storm activity, mainly on the Caprock. Tuesday begins quiet, with ample low level moisture still expected to be in place in the wake of the departing overnight storms. As the upper level trough responsible for the today/tonight storm activity becomes absorbed into the broader troughing over the north-central CONUS, strong zonal flow is progged to continue over West Texas throughout the day. A strong cold front will progress southward through the TX Panhandle during the morning hours and is expected to reach our northern zones by midday before exiting into the Permian Basin by early evening. Prior to FROPA, pre-frontal surface troughing and the associated veering of surface flow to a more westerly direction should result in a quick warm up with temperatures still expected to reach into the 80s. Forecast soundings also depict fairly deep boundary layer mixing with most areas on the Caprock likely to see dewpoints fall to the low 50s or lower. Off the Caprock, deeper moisture will remain in place which results in the potential for robust thunderstorm development during the early to mid-afternoon Tuesday along the southward-advancing front. The environment off the Caprock will be supportive for severe storms to develop along the front, with MLCAPEs generally above 2000 J/kg and modest bulk shear magnitudes just above 20 kt pointing to a primary hazard of large to very large hail with this activity. The drier low level airmass will keep the severe threat much lower for areas on the Caprock, but an isolated strong storm or two will still be possible as far west of the I-27 corridor with dry conditions expected elsewhere. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 119 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 A shortwave trough will progress eastward through the Central Plains during the early part of the extended, while a cutoff low continues to dig south into portions of the Baja Peninsula. By late week, this cutoff low is expected to phase into the main flow, leading to an amplified trough pattern across portions of the western CONUS. As this occurs, upper level flow will gradually shift to a more southwesterly direction, promoting continued chances for thunderstorms for nearly each afternoon this week across the South Plains. A few morning thunderstorms on Wednesday will linger, primarily across portions of the southeastern Rolling Plains as the FROPA exits south of the FA. We then begin to dry out through the late morning and afternoon with a much cooler day in store in the upper 70s to low 80s with post frontal northerly winds through the early afternoon. Chances for thunderstorms look slim for Wednesday, given cooler temperatures in addition to the lack of forcing and instability present on forecast soundings. By Thursday, the upper level trough will track closer into the region, enhancing large scale ascent over the region as the associated H5 50+ knot jet moves into portions of the Texas Panhandle. Meanwhile at the surface, moisture will be on the rise with moist return flow expected to return as early as Wednesday evening with dewpoints progged in the 50s and 60s east of a sharpening dryline Thursday afternoon. Confidence in the eastward progression of the dryline remains a bit unclear at this point in time, however; most models continue to hint at it becoming fixated along the TX/NM border by the early afternoon, with area of convergence being a focus point for initiation. Forecast soundings across the FA depict little to no capping inversion and with temperatures expected to warm to convective Ts by the early afternoon, so long as morning cloud clover does not linger, we should see the erosion of the cap fairly early. As storms develop they will may quickly become severe with SBCAPE values up to 3000 J/kg in addition to bulk shear magnitudes of 40 knots. There will also be the risk of flash flooding with stronger storm cores, with PWATs above seasonal normals in around 1.75" across areas east of I-27 corridor. The flash flooding threat looks to be greatest during the late evening and overnight as the LLJ begins to ramp up and potentially grows upscale into a convective system. Through the end of the week and into the weekend we will continue to warm back up into the 80s and 90s as a dome of high pressure centers to the south of the FA. A few perturbations rippling through the flow the generally west-southwest flow may continue to influence daily chances for thunderstorms with ensembles continuing to hint at this probability. However, confidence in this remains low therefore we will opt to ride with the NBM at this point in time until things become more clear with the evolution of the upper level pattern. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1225 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Convective impacts are expected at all terminals this afternoon through this evening as scattered to numerous TSRA develop near the TX/NM state line and spread eastward. TSRA are most likely at KLBB/KPVW after 21z and at KCDS after 23z. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty on how quickly storms exit to the east, but thunder is generally less likely after 02-04z. In and near TS, expect strong and erratic winds along with some hail with vis likely to fall to MVFR within TS cores. Outside of convection, VFR is expected to prevail, however there is a low chance of MVFR CIGs near sunrise on Tuesday especially at KCDS. && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....12 AVIATION...30
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 207 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 TXZ021>044-031915- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 207 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected this afternoon through this evening across the entire region. Some storms may become severe and will be capable of producing wind gusts up to 75 mph along with hail up to golf ball size. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for the far southern Texas Panhandle, the South Plains, and most of the Rolling Plains until 9 PM CDT. Additional isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible late tonight, with hail up to golf ball size possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Chances for thunderstorms, some severe, are forecast across portions of the Caprock and Rolling Plains Tuesday. After a brief reprieve Wednesday, chances for severe storms are forecast to return Thursday and last through the weekend across the entire area. Localized flash flooding will be possible Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed.
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 91 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:43 UTC.
9 thunderstorm wind, 2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Dimmitt measured severe wind gusts from 1345 CST through 1354 CST with a peak gust of 67 mph.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Tulia measured severe wind gusts from 1416 CST through 1420 CST. A peak gust of 58 mph was measured at 1416 and 1420 CST. The strong winds picked up a shed and dropped into a nearby home.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Happy measured a wind gust of 59 mph.
An Automated Surface Observing System at Lubbock International Airport measured a wind gust of 58 mph. Significant tree damage occurred nearby at the Hillcrest Country Club.
A local government official reported damage to trees and roofs in the city of Idalou from thunderstorm winds.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Abernathy measured a wind gust of 58 mph.
A trained spotter estimated wind gusts up to 60 mph.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site in Anton measured a wind gust of 63 mph.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Tahoka measured severe wind gusts from 1827 CST through 1833 CST. A peak gust of 70 mph was measured at 1828 CST. This wind downed a light pole in the town of Tahoka and toppled a center pivot north of Tahoka.
Local broadcast media relayed a report of half dollar size hail near Tahoka. This hail became wind driven and stripped crops and trees in and around Tahoka.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1254642, 1254644, 1254645, 1254646, 1254647, 1254649, 1254650, 1254652, 1254654, 1254656, 1254658.