Texas, 2025Drought in Texas, June 1 to 17, 2025
June 1 to 17, 2025 · NWS EWX · 5 events in 5 counties and zones
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties. Burnet, Gonzales, Karnes, Llano, and Williamson all improved from Severe (D2) drought category to Moderate (D1) drought.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 31, 11:13 PM CST, 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 31, 11:13 PM CST, 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1213 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday night)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Sat May 31 2025
Key Messages:
- Isolated severe storms could develop late Sunday afternoon or
evening over northeastern to eastern portions of South-Central Texas
- Warmer than normal temperatures return Sunday
A few daytime showers are perking up over the rain soaked Hill
Country and Edwards Plateau, but model consensus has this
dissipating at the end of the day. Light easterly winds this
afternoon turn light southerly tonight, so an increase in humidity
could come with some low clouds, but high cloudiness may limit the
coverage. Slightly lower dew points over the Hill Country should
lead to most of that area dropping into the 60s tonight. A more
uniform SSE wind over the area Sunday will bring temperatures back
to above normals, and the high moisture content and elevated dew
points will send the heat index into the 100 to 107 range over much
of the area. The winds are expected to remain mostly below 10 mph
Sunday night, so the air will feel muggy and heavy. To the northeast
of the area a cluster of strong to severe storms are possible, and
we are showing a slight chance of that instability slipping into the
N/E counties Sunday afternoon/evening. Given the overachieving
history of the northerly flow aloft trends with the latest rounds,
we'll happily boost PoPs a little higher and a little farther west
than what the NBM has to offer. Large hail and damaging winds are
the main threats. The CAMs consensus suggest that AUS could see
another round, but not SAT. Lows for Sunday night depict at or above
70 degree Min temps for nearly all areas, with just a small pocket
up upper 60s between Rocksprings and Kerrville.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Sat May 31 2025
There are chances for showers and thunderstorms each afternoons and
evenings across South Central Texas from Monday through Thursday.
The upper level wind flow aloft is forecasted to send a couple of
shortwaves across the local area and combine with the west Texas
dryline for storms initiation. The highest precipitation
probabilities (30 to 40 percent) are found around the Rio Grande and
southern Edwards Plateau.
Dry weather conditions are likely across most of South Central Texas
on Friday into next weekend. The subtropical upper level ridge
setups across Texas by Friday and promotes dry and hot weather with
high temperatures in the upper 90s across most areas and up to 105
along the Rio Grande. The warming trend continues into the weekend
with most areas reaching the 100 degree mark and above.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025
VFR flight conditions continue with high level cloud cover on the
decrease into and through today. Winds at the I-35 terminals (KAUS,
KSAT, and KSSF) trend light into early morning before speeds will
slightly increase out of the south-southwest. Late afternoon and
evening sees the sea breeze arrive for a slight uptick in the
winds from the south-southeast. KDRT should see winds below 10 kts
from the east-southeast. An isolated storm or two may be possible
late afternoon/evening across our northeastern most areas; we'll
monitor KAUS to see if a storm nears but probabilities remain too
low to include in this TAF package.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry 96 74 96 74 / 20 10 0 0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 95 73 95 74 / 20 10 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 95 73 95 74 / 10 10 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 95 72 94 73 / 10 10 0 10
Del Rio Intl Airport 100 77 99 78 / 0 0 10 20
Georgetown Muni Airport 94 72 93 74 / 20 10 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 95 72 96 74 / 0 0 0 10
San Marcos Muni Airport 96 72 95 74 / 10 10 0 0
La Grange - Fayette Regional 95 74 94 74 / 20 20 0 0
San Antonio Intl Airport 95 74 95 75 / 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 96 75 97 77 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Short-Term...18
Long-Term...17
Aviation...Brady
Drought, Burnet
- When
- June 1, 12:00 AM CST to June 17, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Burnet forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 30.788, -98.182 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties. Burnet, Gonzales, Karnes, Llano, and Williamson all improved from Severe (D2) drought category to Moderate (D1) drought.
Drought, Gonzales
- When
- June 1, 12:00 AM CST to June 17, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Gonzales forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 29.457, -97.492 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties. Burnet, Gonzales, Karnes, Llano, and Williamson all improved from Severe (D2) drought category to Moderate (D1) drought.
Drought, Karnes
- When
- June 1, 12:00 AM CST to June 17, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Karnes forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 28.906, -97.859 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties. Burnet, Gonzales, Karnes, Llano, and Williamson all improved from Severe (D2) drought category to Moderate (D1) drought.
Drought, Williamson
- When
- June 1, 12:00 AM CST to June 17, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Williamson forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 30.648, -97.601 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties. Burnet, Gonzales, Karnes, Llano, and Williamson all improved from Severe (D2) drought category to Moderate (D1) drought.
Drought, Llano
- When
- June 1, 12:00 AM CST to June 10, 6:00 AM CST
- Where
- Llano forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 30.706, -98.684 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
A large portion of the eastern half of South-Central Texas received above normal rainfall in June. This led to drought improvement in a number of counties. Burnet, Gonzales, Karnes, Llano, and Williamson all improved from Severe (D2) drought category to Moderate (D1) drought.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1271039, 1271040, 1271041, 1271042, 1271043.