An upper high over western New Mexico trapped low level monsoonal moisture over the Rio Grande Valley. Afternoon thunderstorms brought heavy rain areas of west El Paso with flooding reported near Redd Road and Doniphan.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
An upper high over western New Mexico trapped low level monsoonal moisture over the Rio Grande Valley. Afternoon thunderstorms brought heavy rain areas of west El Paso with flooding reported near Redd Road and Doniphan.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 19, 11:26 AM MST, 4 hours 39 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1226 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1125 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025 - Moisture will start to diminish beginning tomorrow and through the weekend. This will lead to a decrease in storm coverage each day. - Even drier air pushes in Thursday and Friday with less and less storm coverage focusing over the area mountains. - Temperatures remaining near normal through the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1125 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025 Thunderstorm chances persist at least the next several days but today looks to be the last day with abundant moisture which will bring the best coverage for storms. This mornings sounding had a PW of 1.35" which is above the 90th percentile (well above average). In addition, a tall and skinny CAPE profile is evident with fairly weak winds through much of the low and mid levels which will aid in the flash flooding threat today. Wind gusts from outflows won't be too much of a concern with gusts generally up to 45 mph directly near thunderstorms. Blowing dust may also accompany wind gusts. As high pressure stays over the Four Corners, this will entrain drier continental air which will slowly diminish thunderstorm chances with the decrease in moisture. PW values tomorrow should be around 1.1"-1.2" which is still above average. Localized flooding will still be a concern with storms tomorrow. By Thursday and onward, the best chances for precipitation will be the area mountains with very low to no chances in the desert lowlands. PWs will be near average Thursday, then below average Friday and onward. Decreasing moisture will greatly reduce the flood threat but the threat for gusty outflow winds will increase with gusts generally up to 50 mph. This stubborn high pressure stays over the Four Corners through the weekend which will continue to scour out moisture and will continue to dwindle precipitation chances with the best chances being over the area mountains. Highs stay near normal with lowland temperatures in the 90s with area mountains seeing temperatures in the upper 60s and 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1125 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025 Thunderstorms are popping up over the higher terrain late this morning. Storms will push northeast to southwest through the afternoon and early evening. KELP has a decent chance to see a storm this afternoon as well as KLRU. KTCS has a shot and KDMN has the worst chance to see a storm at terminals. Storms will feature heavy downpours which will cause restrictions in visibilities. In addition, outflow winds up to around 35KT directly near storms and blowing dust could get lofted up. Some hi-res models are suggesting an outflow that pushes east to west reaching KDMN around 6-8PM. KDMN has been notorious this year for BLDU. Winds may loft up dust due to this. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1125 AM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025 Low fire concerns each day through the weekend as min RHs stay above critical thresholds each afternoon. Expect min RH values around 18-30% starting tomorrow and through the weekend. Pretty good overnight recoveries the next couple days. Tonight's max RHs will be 60-80% across the lowlands and 85-100% in the mountains. Thursday morning max RHs will be the same as Wednesday for the mountains but the lowlands will see around 50-70%. Drier air filters in and storm chances dwindle Thursday and onward focusing over the area mountains with very little to no activity in the desert lowlands. Winds will stay fairly light each afternoon with 20 foot winds generally out of the southeast at 4-8mph. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 74 94 75 96 / 30 20 10 10 Sierra Blanca 64 88 64 89 / 20 40 10 20 Las Cruces 67 90 68 92 / 40 20 10 10 Alamogordo 67 89 67 92 / 10 30 10 10 Cloudcroft 49 67 49 70 / 20 60 10 20 Truth or Consequences 69 90 69 92 / 40 20 10 10 Silver City 63 86 63 88 / 50 40 20 30 Deming 70 94 69 96 / 40 20 10 10 Lordsburg 69 94 70 94 / 50 30 20 10 West El Paso Metro 72 91 73 93 / 40 20 10 10 Dell City 67 91 67 93 / 20 20 0 10 Fort Hancock 72 93 71 94 / 30 30 10 20 Loma Linda 66 85 65 87 / 30 20 0 10 Fabens 71 92 71 94 / 30 20 0 10 Santa Teresa 70 91 70 92 / 40 20 10 10 White Sands HQ 72 91 72 94 / 30 30 10 10 Jornada Range 68 90 68 92 / 30 30 10 10 Hatch 69 93 69 94 / 40 20 10 10 Columbus 71 94 72 94 / 40 10 10 0 Orogrande 68 88 67 91 / 20 20 10 10 Mayhill 55 78 54 81 / 20 60 10 30 Mescalero 54 78 53 81 / 20 50 10 20 Timberon 54 75 53 78 / 20 50 10 20 Winston 57 84 57 86 / 50 40 20 30 Hillsboro 63 90 64 92 / 50 30 20 20 Spaceport 67 90 67 92 / 40 20 10 10 Lake Roberts 57 86 57 89 / 50 50 30 50 Hurley 64 88 64 90 / 50 40 10 20 Cliff 66 93 65 95 / 50 40 20 30 Mule Creek 62 89 63 91 / 40 50 20 40 Faywood 65 87 65 89 / 50 40 10 20 Animas 69 94 68 95 / 50 30 20 10 Hachita 67 91 67 93 / 40 20 10 10 Antelope Wells 66 91 67 92 / 50 20 10 0 Cloverdale 65 87 65 89 / 60 30 20 10 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && FORECASTER...37-Slusher
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
421 PM MDT Tue Aug 19 2025
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM Flash Flood 1 SSW La Union 31.95N 106.67W
08/18/2025 Dona Ana NM NWS Employee
Delayed report: Water flow across Visnaga St
due to heavy rainfall. Time estimated based
on radar.
&&
ZAThe El Paso radar (KEPZ), 10 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:03 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Broadcast media reported streets near Redd and Doniphan inundated with water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1290138.