Three days of heavy rain from a slow moving frontal system caused the Coquille River at Coquille to briefly and slightly rise above minor flood stage.
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The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.
Three days of heavy rain from a slow moving frontal system caused the Coquille River at Coquille to briefly and slightly rise above minor flood stage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 25, 9:19 AM PST, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
919 AM PST Tue Feb 25 2025
.DISCUSSION...The effects of this past weekend's atmospheric
river and subsequent upper level trough passage on Monday are
tapering off on schedule. Gusty southwest winds over the higher
terrain and east of the Cascades have begun to diminish with peak
gusts of 55 mph, not quite to warning levels, recorded within the
past few hours at Summer Lake and Summit RAWS observation sites
in Lake County. The Coquille River at Coquille also is expected to
have just peaked within the past couple hours about a quarter of
a foot below flood stage.
A few light showers are tapering off from the coast to the
Cascades as a couple of shortwaves move through in a southwest to
west flow aloft. Snow levels will remain around 3500 feet, with
the risk ending by 10 AM this morning. Less than 2 inches of new
snow is expected from Crater Lake northward.
Clouds will diminish through the day with high pressure building
east into the western states this afternoon into Wednesday. This
will bring dry weather with seasonably cold mornings and warmer
than normal afternoons through Friday. Highs are not expected to
reach records, but readings up to 5 degrees above normal at the
coast and of 10 to 15 degrees above normal are expected inland.
Also starting tonight into Wednesday morning, and continuing
through Saturday morning, this will bring areas of late night into
early morning valley low clouds and fog with the highest
probability for Douglas and Josephine counties (including Roseburg
and Grants Pass). But, early morning patches are also possible in
Jackson County, especially along Bear Creek into Medford.
Our area is expected to remain between splitting troughs late
Thursday into early Friday with a widespread increase in high
clouds. Timing differences have diminished but are still mostly in
a range of around 12 hours apart. The southern branch of the next
splitting trough looks to bring precipitation with snow levels
around 6500 feet to the coast as early as Saturday morning, but
more likely later Saturday into Sunday.
Model differences then increase and are about evenly split regarding
whether the trough will linger over the area into early next week
or progress eastward. In either case, a seasonably active pattern
is most likely during next week.
&&
.AVIATION...25/12Z TAFs...VFR conditions are expected through most
ofthe TAF period. Stable conditions will set up this evening and
tonight. This in combination with recent moisture could set the
table up for low clouds and fog for many of the interior westside
valleys/ This includes Medford and Roseburg towards the end of the
TAF period, and this has been introduced in the TAF's. -Petrucelli
&&
.MARINE...Updated 850 AM PST Tuesday, February 25, 2025...Very steep
seas will continue today. Seas will gradually diminish this
afternoon through Wednesday, but will remain steep into Wednesday
morning.
There will be a brief period between Wednesday afternoon into
Thursday morning where seas will drop below 10 feet, then westerly
swell will increase again Thursday afternoon with small craft
conditions likely for all of the waters that could last into Friday
morning. -Petrucelli/Spilde
&&
.BEACH HAZARDS...Updated 900 AM PST Tuesday, February 25, 2025...
Largest breaking wave heights of 22 to 26 ft are expected through
early this afternoon from Port Orford northward, where the high surf
warning has been replaced with an advisory. Breaking waves near 22
feet south of Port Orford will subside below advisory levels in the
next hour or so. The large breaking waves will cause hazardous beach
conditions and could inundate beaches and low lying structures.
Beach erosion will be possible, and exposed infrastructure may be
damaged. -Spilde/Petrucelli
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Surf Warning until 10 AM PST this morning for ORZ021.
High Surf Advisory until 10 AM PST this morning for ORZ022.
CA...None.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Hazardous Seas Warning until 10 AM PST this
morning for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 AM PST
Wednesday for PZZ350-356-370-376.
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Coquille River at Coquille rose above minor flood stage of 21.0 ft. at 25/1115 PST, peaked in minor flood stage at 25/1215 PST at 21.04 ft. It then fell below flood stage at 25/1430 PST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, February 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1229543.