Approximately one to one and a half inches of precipitation was recorded across the county this month. This was one to three inches below normal leading to the county being classified in the D2 Severe Drought category.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
Approximately one to one and a half inches of precipitation was recorded across the county this month. This was one to three inches below normal leading to the county being classified in the D2 Severe Drought category.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 12, 11:22 PM CST, 38 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 1122 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Dry conditions, above normal temperatures and breezy winds will foster near critical to critical fire weather conditions over portions of eastern Colorado and southwest Nebraska during the afternoon hours on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. - Well above normal temperatures will persist through Wednesday. A modest cooling trend will follow, on Thursday and Friday. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1100 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 Clear and quiet conditions are expected for the rest of the night with lows in the low to mid 50s. On Tuesday, some increasing high clouds through the day ahead of an upper trough in the Great Basin. Near critical fire weather conditions will develop in northeast Colorado due to gusty south winds and relative humidity in the low to mid teens, but fuels are marginal with green up well underway. Similar to yesterday, an isolated storm or two may develop in northeast Colorado due to weak surface convergence near the lee trough, mainly in Yuma County. Environment is forecast to be weakly unstable with SBCAPE 500-800 j/kg and weakly sheared at around 20kts. Would expect only a brief wind gust or perhaps small pea to dime sized hail near any stronger updraft that may develop, quickly dissipating by late afternoon with loss of surface heating. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 118 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 A surface trough is approaching the Kansas/Colorado line which is leading to a gradient between breezy winds and winds around 10-15 mph. Ahead of this trough wind gusts of 30-40 mph have been observed. High temperatures remain forecast in the low to mid 80s across the area. This afternoon, a couple of high based, dry thunderstorms may develop along the axis of the trough in eastern Colorado. Wind gusts of 45-55 mph may be possible during the dissipation stage of these storms but dry lightning may be the main hazard as a source of potential fire starts. Any storms that do develop are forecast to dissipate as the sun sets as we lose heating. Overnight, a 40-45 knot LLJ is forecast to develop which should continue to keep the breezy winds overnight so have increased overnight lows a few degrees. Interestingly enough, high resolution guidance does not support this and has winds falling to around 10 mph. I'm currently leaning towards the breezy winds continuing as this seems to be more climatological for the area, if the winds don't continue then low temperatures may be around 5 degrees to warm. Tuesday, longwave troughing becomes more prevalent along with a developing dryline approaching the Kansas/Colorado state line. At this time Tuesday, looks to be the warmest day of the forecast period as high temperatures reach the upper 80s to low 90s across the area. Some near critical to critical fire weather conditions are forecast across the Colorado counties but based on feedback from fuel contacts Kit Carson and Cheyenne are considered "green" from green up and the recent rains; Yuma county has mixed fuels with northern portions being the relative worst as they missed out on most of last weeks rains. Am also seeing a conditional threat for isolated strong to potentially severe storms Tuesday afternoon. Overall forcing is again weak but depending on how sharp of a gradient develops along the dry line a few dry circulations could serve as a way for storm development. Should storms develop, large hail up to half dollars given 2000-2500 j/kg MUCAPE and very high lapse rates around 9- 10C/KM. Bulk shear at this time looks a little weaker around 20 knots so a messier storm mode would be favored which would also help mitigate updraft strength. Hail would be the most likely hazard but confidence in storm development is around 10-15% at this time. Locations around the Tri-State border (Yuma, Cheyenne (KS), Dundy) based on forecast dryline bulges looks to have the relative higher potential for storm development. Wednesday, a surface low across SW Kansas is forecast to develop and will assist in dragging the dry line further to the east. If this is slower in occurring then can't rule out some thunderstorm potential along and east of Highway 25 as some ensemble members do have the low slower in developing so this will need to be something to watch. Temperatures will also be highly dependent on the placement of this low as well as it will dictate the positioning of a cold front on the back side of the low. A further west or slower low would support warmer temperatures versus a further east low or quicker low would support cooler temperatures with highs in the 70s. The low placement will also dictate if we have fire weather concerns as well in the counties that still have favorable fuels. Locales closer to the center of the low would see light and variable winds versus elsewhere would see wind gusts around 30-40 mph. Wednesday evening, a shortwave and associated vorticity max along with the cold front looks to come off of the Front Range. This may lead to some thunderstorm development through the evening hours. There is some variation on where the better forcing ends up as it may be north of the forecast area but severe wind gusts of 60-70 mph may be possible with the activity. If the front can speed up then there may be some blowing dust concerns as well, but there still does remain quite a bit of discrepancy with the timing so overall confidence in that hazard is low at this time. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 118 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 To start the extended period, the surface low is forecast to eject into the northern Plains. Breezy to strong winds are forecast to continue Thursday as well in wake of the low. The strongest winds at this time appear to be north of Interstate 70 where wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible. Humidity values are again forecast to fall into the mid to upper teens so may again need to keep an eye for fire weather but may be dependent on how much rainfall falls to night before. A reprieve in the wind is forecast to occur Friday as we become semi zonal flow develops. Still on the "cooler" side of the low high temperatures look to be near normal in the 70s across the area and overall dry conditions forecast with no clear cut forcing for anything seen at this time. Saturday and through the remainder of the extended period a more active pattern may develop. Deep troughing is forecast to develop across western CONUS along with an increase in moisture from the southeast. An increase in thunderstorm and potentially severe potential may increase as well. However, a multitude of variable may enhance or decrease any severe potential so will continue to monitor this set up over the next several days. High temperatures however do look to be more seasonable in the 70s to low 80s across the area. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1100 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 VFR expected to prevail at both KGLD and KMCK through the TAF period. Low level wind shear can be expected at both terminals through the overnight with strong low level jet, ending Tuesday morning as the inversion breaks. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...None. CO...None. NE...None. && UPDATE...024 SHORT TERM...Trigg LONG TERM...Trigg AVIATION...024
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 536 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-132345- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 536 PM MDT Mon May 12 2025 /636 PM CDT Mon May 12 2025/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... Dry conditions, above normal temperatures and breezy winds will foster near critical to critical fire weather conditions over portions of eastern Colorado and southwest Nebraska during the afternoon hours on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. Vincent
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The monthly precipitation for the county ranged from one to one and a half inches. This was one to three inches below the normal amount of three to four inches of precipitation for the month.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, May 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1265732.