Thunderstorms developed along a stationary front over South Central Texas. Some of these storms produced large hail.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed along a stationary front over South Central Texas. Some of these storms produced large hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 10, 5:24 AM CST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 524 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday) Issued at 222 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 The latest surface analysis shows overall light and somewhat chaotic winds across the region at the present hour, but a weak hint of a boundary should set up later today across the Edwards Plateau and northern Hill Country. Aloft, a deep trough continues to the west and continues to slowly move east. Deep southeasterly flow continues out ahead of the trough axis which continues to lead to an abundance of cloud cover. Wind speeds associated with this trough are quite strong with H50 winds near 60-75 knots. The forecast for the next 36- 36 hours remains somewhat difficult with different sub-events that all may have somewhat of an impact over the next event. Some isolated to scattered coastal showers can be expected in the Coastal Plains through the morning hours, but this is not expected to be too impactful. The first main round of activity is now beginning in the Edwards Plateau as some upper support arrives to the area as we see some showers and isolated storms developing there. This activity is expected to continue to grow upscale for the remainder of the overnight period into the morning hours and is primarily expected to remain contained in the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country in closer proximity to the expected weak boundary through the afternoon hours. The HRRR keeps most of this activity confined in the northern Hill Country and I35 corridor, but the FV3 and ARW do show the boundary sagging a bit farther south with activity in the southern I35 corridor in the late afternoon hours and will have to monitor expected trends with that boundary. MLCAPE and shear values will continue to support at least some threat of a strong to marginally severe thunderstorm from the morning and afternoon activity and this encompasses a large portion of the area due to uncertainties on how far south the storms make it. There should be somewhat of a lull in activity in the early evening through midnight hour. However, as the strongest upper support arrives to the area, expect additional showers and thunderstorms to develop around midnight in the northern Edwards Plateau in closer proximity to the position of an expected surface low. This activity should then spread east through the remainder of the overnight period. Mid-level lapse rates are expected to steepen quite a bit by this time and with ample shear, there should be some supercells within this activity. Given the steep lapse rates and shear large hail will be the primary threat. However, a low tornado risk is there given backed winds at the surface, but instability in the lowest 2km will be lacking or chances would be higher. Rainfall should exit the region by the mid to late morning hours Sunday with drier air then filtering in. Skies should clear out with plenty of sunshine in the afternoon. Highs Sunday will be in the 60s and 70s. Surface winds behind the front in the drier air may approach 20-30 mph in the Rio Grande Plains. Will have to assess any potential need for a Wind Advisory or Red Flag Warning at a later time. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through Friday) Issued at 222 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 The upper trough axis will move east of the region Sunday night and Monday with northwesterly flow moving in behind it bringing dry weather until the latter part of the week. Temperatures behind the front will be back down to near normal Monday and Tuesday. A return of southeasterly flow in the low levels will bring warmer air for Wednesday and Thursday. Thursday another upper level trough will move across Mexico. This will turn the flow to southwesterly. Deep layer moisture will move up the Rio Grande from the Gulf and spread across our CWA. The upper system will provide lift to generate rain showers over the region starting Thursday afternoon and continuing into Friday. The better chances will be Thursday night and daytime Friday. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 521 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 First round of showers and thunderstorms have developed over the Hill Country. This activity is expected to slowly lift to the northeast through the morning and has a better chance of affecting AUS than the San Antonio sites. Will show VCSH then SHRA for San Antonio but TEMPO tsra for AUS later today. Rain should end by the late afternoon before another round of activity is possible overnight. IFR/MVFR ceilings this morning may briefly lift in the late afternoon before returning overnight. West/northwest winds arrive tomorrow morning which should finally clear things out. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 67 56 68 42 / 80 70 50 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 69 56 69 41 / 80 70 50 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 70 58 71 42 / 60 60 30 0 Burnet Muni Airport 64 53 64 39 / 90 80 40 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 77 54 69 42 / 30 30 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 66 54 67 40 / 90 80 60 0 Hondo Muni Airport 72 55 69 39 / 50 50 10 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 70 56 70 41 / 70 60 50 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 70 61 70 43 / 70 50 60 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 70 57 70 41 / 50 50 20 0 Stinson Muni Airport 72 59 73 43 / 50 40 20 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Short-Term...29 Long-Term...05 Aviation...29
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 339 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-110945- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 339 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. Chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected today and tonight. There are low chances of strong to severe storms, as well as, locally heavy downpours. The main risk of severe storms will be large hail, but isolated damaging winds and a tornado are also possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
700 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024
TXZ189-101330-
Kendall TX-
700 AM CST Sat Feb 10 2024
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southern Kendall
County through 730 AM CST
...
At 659 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Boerne, moving northeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Boerne, Fair Oaks Ranch, Kreutzberg, Walnut Grove, Guadalupe River
State Park, Kendalia, Nelson City, Bergheim, Kronkosky State Natural
Area, and Cascade Caverns.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2990 9845 2975 9864 2975 9866 2974 9867
2974 9870 2973 9871 2972 9874 2972 9878
2974 9882 2983 9888 3004 9858
TIME...MOT...LOC 1259Z 234DEG 26KT 2979 9877
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
29The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 73 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 13:03 UTC.
2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm produced quarter size hail near Northview Dr. and Ranger Creek on the northwest side of Boerne.
A thunderstorm produced quarter size hail southeast of Elgin.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1161832, 1161833.