Above normal rainfall during the last week of the month over the Coastal Plains helped Fayette and Karnes Counties improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1) Drought category.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.
Above normal rainfall during the last week of the month over the Coastal Plains helped Fayette and Karnes Counties improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1) Drought category.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 30, 11:07 PM CST, 53 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 1107 PM CST Sat Nov 30 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday night) Issued at 221 PM CST Sat Nov 30 2024 A low amplitude mid to upper level ridge lies to the west of Texas and the flow is from the northwest. High pressure at the surface is resulting in light and variable winds across our CWA. The airmass has warmed and moistened over the last 24 hours. Isentropic lift is responsible for cloudy skies over the southern and eastern parts the area. The upper ridge will flatten as it moves toward the east during this period. A cold front will move through Central Texas tonight and into our CWA Sunday where it will stall and dissipate. This will lead to the warming continuing tonight and Sunday. Lows and highs will both be around five degrees from today. With the front stalling over the area low temperatures Monday will be a little cooler over the east and warmer over the west. Along with the warmer temperatures over the west there may be enough isentropic lift to generate some rain showers. However, model agreement is not great. We've introduced only slight chance POPs for our southwestern counties. Seems likely that the dry solutions will win out. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 221 PM CST Sat Nov 30 2024 An inverted surface trough/low located near or just off the lower Texas coast into the long term is forecast to lift gradually north than northeastward along/near the Texas coast through Tuesday and Wednesday. This surface low helps to induce and enhance isentropic forcing across the region. The isentropic lift trends weakest on Monday before peaking between late Tuesday into Wednesday. As a result, Monday remains mostly rain free outside from a low end (20 percent) chance across our southwestern most counties. Clouds are expected to increase with skies turning overcast from southwest to northeast from Monday into Monday night. Medium chances (30 to 60 percent) for light to moderate shower activity is forecast from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. This activity will pivot eastward with time into and through Wednesday. The highest rain chances and amounts will likely favor the coastal plains closer to the location of the surface low. The daytime highs into early to midweek trend near to slightly below average, with Tuesday likely trending as the coolest day. However, the overnight lows become milder as a result of the cloud cover and with the higher dew points/moisture. A more complex and uncertain forecast develops from Thursday into the start of next weekend as the model spread increases in regards to several different inter-connected weather features. One is the timing of the an upper level trough to the west, another is the dissipating surface low and it's remaining pooling moisture, and third is the arrival of the next few fronts. The most recent model suite (12Z) has trended toward a slower or more cutoff progression of the upper level system to the west while bringing a possible surface front into or near the region sometime from Thursday into Thursday night. A secondary front may be a factor towards Saturday as well. While lingering surface moisture may help to induce the returning of some light shower chances through isentropic forcing, this latest model suite (12Z) had come in notably drier than past runs (especially the 00Z suite) with the lack of the overlap of stronger upper level energy above the surface front(s). Given the amount of uncertainty, have elected to not deviate from the latest NBM forecast from Thursday and beyond. This forecast will consist of daily low end rain chances (15-35 percent). && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1104 PM CST Sat Nov 30 2024 The pocket of MVFR cigs over SAT/SSF this evening looks dug in, and the 00Z NAM time section suggests it will not go anywhere overnight. Most of the model data fails to see even the current conditions, so will blindly call for the CIGs to hold steady overnight and mix out when winds are expected to back to the NE with the development of coastal troughing to the SE. The rest of the skies should be VFR with some scattered cigs just above MVFR possible at DRT/AUS. Light winds should prevail at all sites, with a slow trend toward a coastal low and weak backdoor cold front turning winds to NE along I-35 during the day Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 43 69 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 41 69 41 68 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 46 71 46 70 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 39 68 41 67 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 44 71 54 65 / 0 0 10 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 39 68 39 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 46 70 50 67 / 0 0 10 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 43 69 43 68 / 0 0 0 0 La Grange - Fayette Regional 46 69 41 69 / 0 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 48 69 50 67 / 0 0 0 10 Stinson Muni Airport 50 70 52 68 / 0 0 10 10 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Short-Term...18 Long-Term...04 Aviation...18
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 652 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-011300- Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera- Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde- Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala- Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit- 652 AM CST Sat Nov 30 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.. .DAY ONE...Today And Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Above normal rainfall during the last week of the month over the Coastal Plains helped Fayette and Karnes Counties improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1) Drought category.
Above normal rainfall during the last week of the month over the Coastal Plains helped Fayette and Karnes Counties improve from Severe (D2) Drought category to Moderate (D1) Drought category.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2024Every state in 2024This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, December 2024
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1224277, 1224278.