Thunderstorms formed on the higher terrain of eastern New Mexico on the afternoon of the 12th. A few of these storms moved into the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle during the evening hours where instability was sufficient to sustain convective development.
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The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
Thunderstorms formed on the higher terrain of eastern New Mexico on the afternoon of the 12th. A few of these storms moved into the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle during the evening hours where instability was sufficient to sustain convective development. These storms were able to produce a severe wind gust near Dimmitt (Castro County).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 12, 5:10 PM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 610 PM CDT Tue Jul 12 2022 .AVIATION... Indications are that thunderstorm activity near HRX should remain well to the NW of PVW though there are some indications on satellite that wind shear may be somewhat greater than models project thus helping to prolong the storms and help them move toward the southeast toward PVW. At this point, it looks like either way, LBB and CDS should remain in the clear. VFR is expected next 24 hours outside of convective activity. Check density altitude. Rides below 10000 should slowly improve after 00Z. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 244 PM CDT Tue Jul 12 2022/ SHORT TERM... Slightly cooler this afternoon behind this morning's cold front with 2 PM temperatures in the upper 90s over southeastern portions of the forecast area and the low to mid-90s elsewhere. Showers and thunderstorms have started to form over the higher terrain of northeastern New Mexico. These storms will move east and southeast through the afternoon, and the bulk of the showers and thunderstorms will remain to our north. However, a few storms are expected to move into the southern Panhandle and northern South Plains late this afternoon into the late evening hours. Storms will move into an environment with MUCAPE values 1000-1500 j/kg, DCAPE values ~1500 J/kg, and PWAT values near the 90th percentile. This will bring the potential of winds up to 60 mph and locally heavy rainfall. Storms should start to decrease in intensity shortly after sunset. Clouds will slowly diminish tonight across the north, bringing mostly clear skies by sunrise. The upper high will shift a little east tomorrow, resulting in increased thicknesses and higher afternoon temperatures over the area. This will bring highs back into the mid to upper 90s for areas on the Caprock and highs of 100-105F elsewhere. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to form off the higher terrain again tomorrow afternoon and move towards the region. These storms are expected to remain near the NM/TX state line over the southwestern Texas Panhandle and western South Plains but could move as far east as I-27/US-87. With environmental conditions being similar to today, storms will once again have the potential of producing strong to severe winds and localized heavy rainfall. GKendrick LONG TERM... Story for the long term forecast will be the increase of upper level ridging across the forecast area. This will lead to increasing thicknesses through Friday resulting in a slight uptick in afternoon high temperatures as well. High temperatures Friday will be near the century mark for locations on the Caprock with around 105 degrees possible east of the escarpment. Precipitation chances will dwindle Thursday and Friday as well as the center of the ridge remains nearly overhead shifting the better monsoonal moisture west of the forecast area. The pattern will change a bit on Saturday as a shortwave traverses the northern periphery of the ridge. This will shunt the ridge center westward during the day and allow what remains of the feature to clip the forecast area. This will result in afternoon high temperatures being similar to Friday however precipitation chances may return to portions of the forecast area during the evening and overnight as convection that develops along the higher terrain of northeastern New Mexico into southeastern Colorado is steered across the Texas Panhandle. Monsoonal moisture appears to linger over the forecast area on Sunday which should help to lower high temperatures a few degrees and keep a threat for afternoon/evening thunderstorms around. The forecast area will dry out once again early next week with temperatures climbing back into the 100s area wide. /WCI && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 99/99/26
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lubbock TX 236 PM CDT Tue Jul 12 2022 TXZ021>044-131945- Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd- Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum- Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall- 236 PM CDT Tue Jul 12 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Thunderstorms this afternoon and evening may produce locally heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorms are expected to develop again Wednesday afternoon and evening and will be capable of producing locally heavy rainfall and strong wind gusts. No hazardous weather is expected beyond Wednesday.
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 91 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:02 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet site near Dimmitt measured a wind gust of 64 mph. Additionally, an NWS cooperative weather observer reported that a portable toilet was blown over.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
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NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1027953.