Another month of above normal precipitation helped to improve all areas of Far West Texas to Moderate(D1) drought or better.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EPZ wrote it up.
Another month of above normal precipitation helped to improve all areas of Far West Texas to Moderate(D1) drought or better.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 10:19 PM MST, 1 hour 41 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1119 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 ...UPDATED FOR THE 06Z TAF CYCLE... .AVIATION...06Z TAF CYCLE... We remain mostly under VFR conditions. Again MVFR to IFR conditions are possible near SHRA/TSRA due to VIS and CIG reductions. The best chances for storms continue to be west of the Continental Divide and over area mountains, including the Gila region/Black Range, and the Sacramento Mountains after 18Z. Storms will be very isolated across the lowlands, thus confidence of storms at TAF sites this afternoon is rather low. Winds remain generally light from the south, except near showers and thunderstorms where gusty outflow winds are expected. && 29 .PREV DISCUSSION...222 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022... .SYNOPSIS... A few isolated showers may remain overnight, but most locations will be dry. Best chances for thunderstorms on Tuesday will be area mountains and west of the Rio Grande. A better chance for scattered to numerous storms will exist Wednesday and Thursday, especially for area mountains and near the Continental Divide. Heavy rain and isolated instances of flooding will be possible under the most robust and persistent thunderstorms. Temperatures each afternoon will be in the 95 to 100 degree range through this upcoming week. && .DISCUSSION... .SHORT TERM...Tonight and Monday... Drier air was pushing into the region this afternoon and aloft an area of upper level high pressure that had generally been to our east will now come and center itself on New Mexico. These two weather elements will serve to limit our thunderstorm chances tonight and Monday. This morning's precipitable water value (PW) was around 1.27, but drier air continues to push into the area, so that by Monday morning, our PW's will be below one inch, except for the Bootheel of New Mexico where higher moisture values will continue. Our dewpoints will also be lower with lowland dewpoints in the 40's tonight and on Monday. With the drier air in place and the ridge aloft we will be hard pressed to get many thunderstorms outside of area mountains. We could see a few lowland thunderstorms this evening, but not nearly as many as we have seen the last couple of days. Our low temperatures Monday morning will run a few degrees above average. More of the same on Monday as the ridge aloft and drier air near the surface will continue across the region. Thunderstorms on Monday will start later and mainly be confined to area mountains. High temperatures will run above average, with much of the lowlands being close or a little above the triple digit mark. && .LONG TERM... Not too much in the way of convective activity Monday evening into early Tuesday, although light isolated showers and thunderstorms in addition to cloud cover may be possible. Nevertheless, Tuesday afternoon activity will be isolated in nature most locations, with the best chance for scattered storms across area mtns and west of the Rio. Temperatures will be in the upper 90s with locally heavy rain the primary concern. Mid-week (Wed-Thurs) there could be a few minor disturbances rotating around southern portions of the high pressure system to the northeast to facilitate a few increases in convective activity, but also models hinting at maybe a sfc trough/convergence zone as well. The addition of above normal moisture helps too. PWs 1.2 to 1.3", dewpoints in the 50s, and sfc temps in the upper 90s will foster modest instability, values 500 to 1500 J/KG give or take. Looks like a decent setup on the condition that storms initiate across the mtns and produce outflows across the lowlands. Flooding, some hail, and gusty winds will all be concerns. Thereafter, Friday (may be a little more active than the weekend) into the weekend, typical monsoon thunderstorms remain daily, with the best chances remaining west of the Rio Grande, where the most abundant moisture source will be shoved as the high pressure aloft elongates over the Plains. Nevertheless, at least isolated storms will be possible most locations. Temperatures remain more or less 95 to 100 degrees across the lowlands through much of the period, with the only gusty winds from thunderstorm outflow/downdraft. && .FIRE WEATHER... We will see lower rain chances for the next few days. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will still be possible in the mountains but lowlands thunderstorms will be far and few between. Min RH's the next could of days will range from the mid teens in the lowlands to near 40% in the mountains on Monday and a little higher on Tuesday. For the middle and end of the coming week, the moisture will push back into the region, to increase our rain chances. Min RH's will stay above 20% for the end of the week into the weekend. Winds will stay well below critical levels this week and ventilation rates will range from fair to good. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 75 101 76 98 / 0 0 0 10 Sierra Blanca 69 94 70 93 / 0 0 0 10 Las Cruces 71 100 72 98 / 10 0 10 20 Alamogordo 72 97 72 95 / 10 20 10 20 Cloudcroft 53 72 53 71 / 10 40 20 40 Truth or Consequences 71 96 72 93 / 20 20 20 40 Silver City 64 88 66 86 / 20 30 20 50 Deming 69 98 71 96 / 0 0 10 30 Lordsburg 69 95 70 93 / 20 10 10 40 West El Paso Metro 75 99 76 98 / 0 0 0 10 Dell City 69 98 70 97 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Hancock 71 101 72 98 / 0 0 0 10 Loma Linda 69 93 70 91 / 0 0 0 20 Fabens 72 99 74 97 / 0 0 0 0 Santa Teresa 72 98 74 96 / 0 0 0 10 White Sands HQ 75 97 75 96 / 10 0 10 20 Jornada Range 72 97 72 96 / 10 10 10 20 Hatch 72 98 72 96 / 10 10 10 30 Columbus 72 98 73 96 / 0 0 10 20 Orogrande 72 98 73 95 / 10 10 0 20 Mayhill 59 83 59 82 / 10 30 10 40 Mescalero 58 83 58 82 / 10 40 20 40 Timberon 58 83 58 80 / 10 30 10 30 Winston 63 87 64 85 / 20 40 20 50 Hillsboro 69 94 69 91 / 10 20 10 40 Spaceport 70 96 71 94 / 10 10 10 30 Lake Roberts 59 86 61 84 / 20 40 20 60 Hurley 66 94 68 91 / 10 20 10 40 Cliff 61 96 63 93 / 20 30 10 50 Mule Creek 64 90 66 88 / 30 30 10 50 Faywood 68 93 68 90 / 10 20 10 40 Animas 67 96 69 94 / 20 10 20 40 Hachita 67 95 69 93 / 20 10 10 30 Antelope Wells 66 94 67 93 / 20 20 20 40 Cloverdale 61 88 63 87 / 30 20 20 50 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 15-Brice/35-DeLizio/29-Crespo
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM 1245 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-011845- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1245 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Drier air and high pressure aloft will limit our thunderstorm activity this afternoon and tonight. With lower rain chances we will see higher temperatures, with afternoon high temperatures a few degrees above average, which will put some lowland locations close to the triple digit mark. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday We will continue to see lower rain chances and warmer high temperatures on Monday and Tuesday. Then moisture will begin to creep back into the area to raise our rain chances for the end of the week and help get high temperatures back a little below average. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
The month started with Extreme(D3) drought over the east and Moderate(D1) drought across the western half of the zone. By August 23rd, the entire zone was in Abnormally Dry(D0) drought.
August started with Extreme(D3) drought over the east and Severe(D2) drought across the west. By August 23rd, the eastern half of the zone improved to Moderate(D1) drought with Abnormally Dry(D0) drought over the west.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1052844, 1052845.