The D3 Extreme Drought expanded in coverage, and some counties worsened to D4 Exceptional Drought. Precipitation amounts ranged from a tenth of an inch to around five inches, with the highest amounts occurring in Wallace County.
Every event with a place to put it; 13 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
The D3 Extreme Drought expanded in coverage, and some counties worsened to D4 Exceptional Drought. Precipitation amounts ranged from a tenth of an inch to around five inches, with the highest amounts occurring in Wallace County. The departure from normal precipitation ranged from as low as three inches below to as high as three inches above normal.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 31, 9:45 PM CST, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 945 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 240 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 Upper ridge centered near the Four Corners will be the dominant feature through the short term period. Weak northwest flow atop the ridge axis still in place across the northern plains, which has allowed a weak cold front to drop into Nebraska this afternoon. Convergence near a prefrontal trough will result in isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms later this afternoon in northeast Colorado, with storms slowly moving ESE early this evening into the Nebraska/Kansas border area before dissipating after sunset. Forecast soundings and mesoanalysis show MLCAPE in that area of 500-1000 j/kg and DCAPE of around 1700 j/kg, with effective shear of around 25-30kts. So, main hazard near any storm this evening will be wind, with a gust to 60 mph or so possible, and perhaps some small, sub-severe hail to pea size. Overnight temperatures will drop into the 60s. Fog appears it will remain in southwest Kansas, but might see some patchy fog reach Greeley or Wichita counties in Kansas and Cheyenne County in Colorado. Confidence is very low and decided not to include a mention of fog in the weather grids at this time. Very little changes in the overall pattern for Monday and Tuesday. Cold front will lift north, but will see the lee trough linger in northeast Colorado/southwest Nebraska. Only isolated shower or thunderstorms are expected with afternoon heating near the Tri border area of Kansas/Colorado/Nebraska, even less coverage compared to today. A similar environment will be in place with an isolated risk for gusty winds through early evening. Temperatures will warm into the upper 90s to around 100 with lows Monday night in the mid 60s to around 70. Tuesday will be a near repeat, but with another day of heating temperatures will warm to the upper 90s to middle 100s. Shortwave trough coming over the ridge Tuesday evening will drag a weak cold front into the area, with widely scattered showers and thunderstorms from late afternoon through late evening. Instability will be quite limited, but with DCAPE again reaching around 1500 j/kg cannot rule out wind gusts of 60 mph or higher as the storms move through, particularly if a line develops as suggested by the latest run of the NAMnest. On Wednesday the ridge does retrograde slightly with northeast surface winds behind the front. Temperatures will cool slightly but still be above normal with highs in the low to mid 90s. Afternoon storms will develop along and south of the Palmer Divide where upslope is maximized, so best storm chances will be south of the area. However, may see a stray storm or two graze western and southern regions, but most areas will be dry. Lows Wednesday night will be in the 60s. .LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 1258 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 The latest guidance runs of the GFS and ECMWF continue to show strong upper level ridging at 500mb stretching from the Rockies into the Plains region. Surface to 850mb troughing along the Front Range during much of this time, will provide decent southerly flow(gusts up to 20-30 mph at the surface). 850mb temps during the afternoon/early evening hours will range in the +30c to +34c range. All of the above adds up to a continued mainly hot and dry period across the entire region with near to above normal temperatures. The aforementioned Front Range trough will begin to shift slowly east towards the Plains over next weekend. Some rw/trw activity is possible along and behind the trough/front, enhanced some by a weak shortwave moving along the northern periphery of the upper ridge. Main threats with any potential storms will be wind and locally heavy rainfall. Inverted-v soundings still present in guidance, along with high pw values. With storms potentially being elevated, still can't rule out hail potential, but could be diminished by the dry lower levels that could melt it as it falls. For temps, high temperatures are expected to range mainly in the 90s each day. The warmest day in the extended will be on Saturday when mid to upper 90s are expected, with a few spots even hitting the 100F mark. Lows during this time will mainly range in the 60s, with some areas east of Highway 25 only getting to the lower 70s. The forecasted high temperatures are expected to be several degrees away from tying or breaking any potential records. With humidity expected to be 20 percent or lower during the afternoon/early evening hours, heat indices are expected to remain at or below going high temperature forecasts. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night) Issued at 945 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 KGLD...VFR conditions are expected through the period. A southwest wind up to 10kts at taf issuance will back to the south-southeast at similar speeds from 18z through the rest of the period. No precipitation is expected. KMCK...VFR conditions are expected through the period. A light and variable wind at taf issuance will continue through late Monday morning before establishing a southerly direction at speeds up to 10kts through sunset. After about 03z, a southeast wind up to 10kts is expected. Will have to watch the 02z-03z timeframe for the possibility of a shower or thunderstorm. Given the low confidence and isolated nature no mention will be in the taf forecast. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...024 LONG TERM...JN AVIATION...99
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 900 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-011200- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 900 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022 /1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 31 2022/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT... No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... Heat index values of 100 to 103 degrees are expected Tuesday afternoon along and east Kansas Highway 25. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
649 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022
COZ090-010100-
Yuma County CO-
649 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Yuma
County through 700 PM MDT...
At 646 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles north of Yuma, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Yuma
County, including the following locations... Clarkville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Goodland.
&&
LAT...LON 4038 10247 4000 10262 4010 10280 4035 10279
4035 10278 4043 10278
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 286DEG 16KT 4023 10278
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TTSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
659 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022
COZ090-010115-
Yuma County CO-
659 PM MDT Sun Jul 31 2022
...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northwestern Yuma
County through 715 PM MDT...
At 659 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Yuma, moving east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern Yuma
County, including the following locations... Heartstrong.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Goodland.
&&
LAT...LON 4020 10245 3992 10257 4005 10279 4035 10279
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 284DEG 24KT 4016 10274
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
TriggThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
13 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Precipitation ranged from half an inch to three inches, with the highest amounts occurring in the northwest part of the county. This was two inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a quarter to one and a half inches. This was one to three inches below normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a half to three inches. This was three inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from one to three inches. This was two inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from one to three inches. This was two inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a quarter to three inches, with highest amounts in the southeast part of the county. This was three inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a half to three inches, with highest amounts in the northeast part of the county. This was two inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a half to three inches, with highest amounts in the west part of the county. This was three inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a half to two inches. This was three inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from a half to three inches. This was three inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from half an inch to three inches. This was two inches below to near normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from one to five inches, with the highest amounts in the southwest part of the county. This was two inches below to three inches above normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
Precipitation ranged from one to five inches, with the highest amounts in the northwest part of the county. This was two inches below to two inches above normal. Normal precipitation ranges from two to three inches.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, August 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1053809, 1053815, 1053816, 1053817, 1053818, 1053819, 1053820, 1053821, 1053822, 1053823, 1053811, 1053812, 1053813.