Evening thunderstorms produce wind damage near Zolfo Springs in Hardee County.
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The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.
Evening thunderstorms produce wind damage near Zolfo Springs in Hardee County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 2:01 PM EST, 4 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 301 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022 Broad anticyclonic flow is evident across the Florida peninsula in mid-level water vapor satellite imagery as an upper level ridge has settled over the Florida peninsula. This has prompted a flow change for much of the southern two-thirds of the state, with a more dominant ESE steering flow now evident. Meanwhile, WSW flow remains across the northern third, including much of the Nature Coast. This is even evident in the visible satellite imagery, with the Cu field also flowing in an anticyclonic direction around the high. This shift is largely in response to an upper-level low retrograding westward across portions of Hispaniola and the Bahamas, altering the position and intensity the subtropical ridge. As this low continues propagating westward, eventually over Florida during the course of the next few days, ESE flow is expected to become increasingly dominant. The main change this brings is a return to more afternoon and evening storms as opposed to earlier ones. However, a surge in tropical moisture in association with the low (and the added ascent boost) may yield more widespread coverage of storms, and the timing may end up being a little muddied, as added moisture and instability may favor storms at any time. However, visible satellite imagery also shows a fair amount of dry air entrainment into the upper-level low currently. If this drier mid-level air advects over, this could potentially limit the amount of storms. However, low-level moisture may negate this limitation. What is likely regardless, though, is an added boost to the storms that do form, especially if the mid-levels cool some in response as well. Right now, indications are not strong for this potential, but it is something to watch for. Otherwise, mostly warm rain processes dominate with a "tall and skinny" CAPE profile yielding efficient rainfall-producing storms with frequent lightning and some gusty winds, but little threat for severe weather. Tried to capture this in the current forecast. Once the low arrives in the vicinity of the FL peninsula, it is expected to hit a wall. Strong riding across the western half of the country and the subtropical ridge should squeeze the feature. By the weekend, whatever energy the system had is likely to be completely swallowed up by the dominant weather features of the mid-latitudes, allowing the subtropical ridge to build back overhead. Once this happens, models are suggesting a more southerly then perhaps WSW flow may return for early next week. This may again yield a shift in convective timing to favor more morning storms near the coast. However, there is not completely solid agreement yet for this. Overall - and despite pattern shifts and deviations in timing and coverage for storms - a fairly typical summertime pattern continues. Highs run in the upper 80s at the coast to lower 90s inland, with heat indices around 100 degrees away from thunderstorms. None of the expected weather systems this week yield much change in the forecast in that sense. Conditions are what one would expect for July. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022 Slow convective initiation continues, with only KPIE and KSRQ potentially seeing some VCSH for the next couple hours. Conditions favor thunderstorm development in the vicinity of most terminals over the next few hours and lasting until shortly after sunset with winds now shifting westerly as the sea breeze moves inland. Despite the wind shift, the winds steering storms are expected to allow them to drift westward towards terminals. Once storms subside, conditions should remain quiet overnight and through the first part of tomorrow, before the potential for storms returns for terminals later in the day. && .MARINE... Issued at 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022 A more easterly steering flow is setting up across the FL peninsula, despite more westerly onshore winds across coastal waters. This may allow thunderstorms that develop over land to drift across coastal waters, creating locally hazardous marine conditions as this occurs. Winds and seas are also expected to increase towards the weekend as an upper-level low moves towards Florida, creating a tighter pressure gradient and a higher potential for storms. While no headlines are currently anticipated, conditions will have to be monitored for later in the week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 257 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022 Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected each day, with ample RH values to keep any fire weather concerns low through the forecast period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 80 93 78 93 / 30 70 50 70 FMY 77 93 74 93 / 50 70 30 70 GIF 77 94 74 93 / 40 70 30 70 SRQ 77 91 74 91 / 30 70 50 70 BKV 75 92 71 91 / 30 70 50 70 SPG 80 90 78 91 / 30 70 50 70 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 6 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 6 For Additional Information On Sea Breeze Regimes go to https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && Flannery
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
601 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0549 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NNE PAGE PARK-PINE MA 26.58N 81.87W
07/13/2022 M43 MPH LEE FL ASOS
ASOS STATION KFMY FORT MYERS.
&&
TBWSpecial Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
630 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022
FLZ056-057-061-162-165-260-262-265-132315-
Coastal Charlotte FL-DeSoto FL-Highlands FL-Inland Charlotte FL-
Inland Lee FL-Inland Sarasota FL-Hardee FL-Coastal Lee FL-
630 PM EDT Wed Jul 13 2022
...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of west central
Highlands, eastern Hardee, central Charlotte, DeSoto and north
central Lee Counties through 715 PM EDT...
At 629 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 14 miles west of Lake Placid to 8 miles south
of Southeast Arcadia to near Charlotte County Airport. Movement was
northwest at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Cape Coral, North Port, Punta Gorda, Arcadia, Port Charlotte, Babcock
Webb Wma, Southeast Arcadia, Babcock Ranch, Charlotte County Airport,
Palmona Park, Sweetwater, Burnt Store Marina, Nocatee, Brownville,
Harbour Heights, Cleveland, Solana, Fort Ogden, Charlotte Harbor and
Tropical Gulf Acres.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 2761 8168 2724 8197 2689 8222 2667 8191
2699 8173 2730 8150
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 138DEG 8KT 2733 8161 2707 8181 2685 8197
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TBWPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
709 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2022
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0626 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SE SOLANA 26.92N 82.00W
07/13/2022 M45 MPH CHARLOTTE FL ASOS
ASOS STATION KPGD PUNTA GORDA.
&&
TBWThe Tampa radar (KTBW), 63 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:22 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Hardee County Sheriff Office reported downed power lines along State Route 64 near Zolfo Springs.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2022Every state in 2022This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2022
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1035512.