Wisconsin, 2021

Rip Current in Wisconsin, June 21, 2021

June 21, 2021 · NWS MKX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A young woman pulled from the waters of Lake Michigan in Racine WI died about two weeks later on July 1st. Emergency crews responded to North Beach in Racine late in the afternoon on June 21st, to two teenage girls who were experiencing an emergency in Lake Michigan.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MKX wrote it up.

A young woman pulled from the waters of Lake Michigan in Racine WI died about two weeks later on July 1st. Emergency crews responded to North Beach in Racine late in the afternoon on June 21st, to two teenage girls who were experiencing an emergency in Lake Michigan. The first girl was rescued with cuts and scratches on her body. The second girl received medical attention at the scene and was airlifted to a local hospital, where she later succumbed to her injuries. Emergency officials on the scene noted a strong current appeared to pull the young woman into deeper waters and the rocks next to a break wall at the south end of North Beach.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 21, 1:46 PM CST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 1:46 PM CST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
246 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

.SHORT TERM...
(Issued 300 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021)

This Afternoon through Tuesday night:

This afternoon through this evening may feature some very slight
chances for a shower coming from the northwest associated with CAA
steepening LL lapse rates. Mostly just sprinkles possible with a
few scattered showers.

High pressure will then push into the Mississippi Valley region
tonight and quickly push to the east bringing southwest winds back
to the region into Tuesday morning. In the upper levels there
will likely be a shortwave that pulls through the region Tuesday
morning into the afternoon but with very dry midlevels we do not
expect much in the way of precip from this system but we cannot
rule out a few showers/sprinkles across the north/northeastern
part of the CWA.

Thereafter we will see another weak shortwave just to the
south, perhaps nosing into southwest Wisconsin Tuesday evening and
overnight. This will be associated with pretty moist low to mid
levels with plenty of WAA, which would suggest a higher likelihood
of precipitation with this system. However at this time the
uncertainty remains primarily in the exact track. Despite that we
do expect some precip with this system primarily for the southern
half of the CWA with lesser chances to the north at this time.
Models are not sold on quite how much instability there will be
with these storms but if we can get enough instability a stronger
storm to the far southwest can't be ruled out due to strong deep
layer shear around 40-50 kts. However, at this point most models
suggest rather low instability that would likely lead to mostly
rain and maybe some weak short-lived thunderstorms.

Kuroski

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Issued 300 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021)

Wednesday through Monday:

Wednesday morning will likely see some lingering showers from the
overnight hours in association with the upper level wave but once
those dissipate/push out the rest of the day looks to be fairly
quiet with upper level ridging dominating the area. The timing of
when showers will get out the CWA remains a bit uncertain but the
lack of upper level forcing should allow things to dry out by the
afternoon.

Uncertainty starts to increase into Thursday as an upper level
shortwave is expected to track through the region. The uncertainty
Thursday looks to be in both the track and timing of the system
as the frontal boundary may be too far south to bring the better
precip to the region. We will still likely see storms and showers
Thursday especially with a moist low to mid level region with some
WAA and LLJ influence. In addition with instability likely
climbing to around 1000 J/kg in the west we could see some
stronger storms, especially with decent shear in southern
Wisconsin that will likely reach the 25-35 kt range so we cannot
completely rule out some stronger storms, possibly even some
severe. However with the front sticking further south the deep
layer shear will be higher to the south, which will also likely
influence how much deep moisture we can get here as well.

Into Friday uncertainty increases even further as there is
definitely a chance for some stronger storms but timing and
conditions leading into Friday will be very bleak for severe
weather. The main upper level low looks to come through Friday,
which would provide the best chances for increased shear with the
LLJ but models suggest the LLJ may be too displaced to the south.
In addition, Thursdays convection and showers may muddy the waters
too much for much of any instability to increase in the region
into Friday. This is especially true with the surface front
likely coming through during the early afternoon, which may not
give much time for recovery if there would be any potential for
recovery in the first place. Uncertainty remains high here
primarily because of the uncertainty of Thursday overnight
convection and what the exact timing of the front will be Friday.
Certainty we could expect some stronger storms but severe storms
may be tough to get with the conditions as currently modeled.

After Friday uncertainty will be even higher as a large scale,
slow moving, upper level closed low will set up over the north
central US with several periods of potential for shortwaves to
impact the region but the exact outcome from any waves will be the
where the majority of the uncertainty will lie going into this
weekend and early next week.

Kuroski

&&

.AVIATION...
(Issued 300 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021)

Mid level VFR CIGS have developed across much of the region bring
partly to mostly cloudy skies a large swath of Wisconsin. These
CIGS have at times become MVFR but have predominantly stayed VFR
and are expected to continue doing so. This CIGS will likely
dissipate by the early evening as the sun starts to go down. Winds
will still be breezy from the northwest late this afternoon but
will decrease into this evening. A stray shower is possible
through this evening and again Tuesday morning but otherwise VFR
conditions are expected for the rest of the TAF period with light
west to southwest winds returning Tuesday.

Kuroski

&&

.MARINE...
(Issued 300 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021)

Breezy northwest winds will continue to approach near gale force
over the norther third of the lake through the rest of the
afternoon before weakening this evening as the low pressure system
in western Quebec pushes further east. Then high pressure will
move into the central Mississippi Valley Tuesday bringing a wind
shift to the west and then to the south. Into Wednesday winds will
remain from the south though they are expected to increase with
the slowly approaching low pressure system. Into Thursday this
system will begin to push through with strong southerly winds
across the lake likely approaching gales over the northern half of
the lake. Then winds will come down into Friday though they will
remain mostly southerly.

Kuroski

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Gale Warning...LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ563 until 5 PM Monday.

     Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until 7 PM
     Monday.

&&

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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 3:48 PM CST, 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
448 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-222200-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
448 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There will be more thunderstorm chances Tuesday night into early
Wednesday as well as Thursday into the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

LMZ643>646-222200-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
448 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters from
Sheboygan Wisconsin to Winthrop Harbor Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until 7 pm CDT for breezy
west to northwest winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There will be more thunderstorm chances Tuesday night into early
Wednesday as well as Thursday into the weekend. In addition gusty
south to southwest winds may reach Small Craft Advisory levels
Wednesday into Thursday.

LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-222200-
Lake Michigan Michigan City IN to St. Joseph MI 5 NM offshore to
mid-line of lake.-
Lake Michigan from Seul Choix Point to Rock Island Passage 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan South of a line from Seul Choix Point to the
Mackinac Bridge and North of a line from Charlevoix MI to South
Fox Island 5NM offshore-
Lake Michigan from Charlevoix to Point Betsie MI 5NM Offshore to
mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Point Betsie to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Rock Island Passage to Sturgeon Bay WI 5NM
offshore to mid lake-
Lake Michigan from Sturgeon Bay to Two Rivers WI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Two Rivers to Sheboygan WI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Sheboygan to Port Washington WI 5NM offshore
to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Port Washington to North Point Light WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from North Point Light to Wind Point WI 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Winthrop Harbor to Wilmette Harbor IL 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Wilmette Harbor to Michigan City in 5NM
offshore to Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Pentwater to Manistee MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Whitehall to Pentwater MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to Whitehall MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
Lake Michigan from Holland to Grand Haven MI 5NM offshore to Mid
Lake-
Lake Michigan from South Haven to Holland MI 5NM offshore to Mid
lake-
Lake Michigan from St Joseph to South Haven MI 5NM offshore to
Mid Lake-
448 PM CDT Mon Jun 21 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the open waters of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Monday

There will be more thunderstorm chances later Tuesday into early
Wednesday as well as Thursday into the weekend.

In addition gusty south winds may reach Gale force levels on
Thursday across the northern Lake Michigan open waters.

www.weather.gov/mkx

Kavinsky

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.

Rip Current, Racine

When
June 21, 4:10 PM CST
Where
Racine forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
Broadcast Media
Coordinates
42.730, -87.812 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Young woman pulled from Lake Michigan waters at North Beach in Racine WI later succumbed to her drowning injuries.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Rip Current, Racine2021-06-2114FemaleIn WaterDirect

What these are

Rip Current
A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Wisconsin in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Wisconsin, June 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 959420.