Utah, 2021Flash Flood and Hail in Utah, August 12 to 14, 2021
August 12 to 14, 2021 · NWS SLC · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
Isolated summer thunderstorms produced localized flash flooding and hail in southern Utah.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Isolated summer thunderstorms produced localized flash flooding and hail in southern Utah.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 12, 3:07 PM MST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 3:07 PM MST, 1 hour 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
407 PM MDT Thu Aug 12 2021
.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will continue to build over the region.
Moisture will gradually increase through the weekend into early
next week.
&&
.SHORT TERM (Through 12Z Sunday)...High pressure remains
entrenched across the Pacific Northwest. An area of weak low
pressure remains across central Arizona. Afternoon mesoanalysis
reveals a moisture continuity across southern Utah, with dewpoints
near 60F in the St. George area, decreasing to near 30F in the
Bryce Canyon area. SBCAPE is currently near 1000-1500 J/kg across
Washington and western Kane Counties (potentially closer to 2000
J/g+ near the Utah/Nevada/Arizona area). While deep layer shear
is quite limited, storms are slowly transitioning down north/south
drainages into the area of greater instability. Expect the
potential for isolated flash flooding across portions of
Washington and Kane Counties through early evening. Current
highest threat areas are Kanab Creek, Johnson Wash and potentially
the headwaters that eventually reaches Wire Pass. Those
considering outdoor activities in these areas should consider
altering their plans.
Convection will gradually diminish this evening. Another round of
convection is expected Friday afternoon and evening, with similar
levels of instability. One difference is some of the guidance
indicates deep layer shear may approach 20kts with a slight
increase in mid-level flow. This may allow for somewhat stronger
storms. The biggest threat will be across Iron, Washington, Kane
and Garfield Counties. Additional convection will be possible
across the higher terrain of central and northern Utah, though
moisture won't be nearly as deep.
A similar pattern is expected Saturday afternoon and evening.
The current forecast keeps the highs at Salt Lake City Airport
below 100F...but it's possible the area will overperform and we
will add to the total of 100 degree days.
.LONG TERM (After 12Z Sunday)...Sunday will see the end of our
brief warming trend across the state, with temperatures trending
cooler into the week as high pressure weakens and gives way to an
incoming trough and increasing uncertainty in the forecast. A
trough more reminiscent of autumn than August is represented
across the suite of ensemble forecasts, though significant
uncertainty exists in its progressive nature and amplitude. What
can be said with confidence is that by Monday afternoon, moisture
will increase across the region ahead of the trough, with the
trough providing synoptic-scale lift enabling more organized
convection for portions of the forecast area Monday through the
middle of the week.
As the clusters trend towards two distinct solutions, it is hard
to pin down a most likely scenario, with one group congealing on a
less- amplified and more progressive trough that would only brush
northern Utah and southwest Wyoming and likely not advect as much
moisture into our area. The other solution is a deeper trough
with a long residence time, allowing for considerable and
continued moisture transport into the region and periods of heavy
rainfall. Southern Utah is favored in the majority of solutions,
with slightly lower chances across east-central Utah and southwest
Wyoming. However, there has been considerable variability from
one cycle to the next, so caution should be used interpreting any
trends.
&&
.AVIATION...KSLC...Light northwest winds are forecast this
afternoon and evening switching over to the southeast around 6Z
later this evening. VFR ceiling and visibilities are expected with
higher layer clouds expected.
REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Vicinity showers and
thunderstorms are forecast for CDC, BCE and SGU through this
evening with a slight chance of this activity reaching the
terminal. Outflow from these thunderstorms may reach the terminal
as well. Otherwise, light winds can be expected throughout the
period across the region.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...Thunderstorms have developed across portions of
southwest Utah this afternoon and evening. Expect more coverage of
these thunderstorms, spreading north and east along the higher
terrain as far north as the Uintas Friday. The threat of showers
and thunderstorms will continue through the weekend into early
next week. Currently, there is a threat of increased winds early
next week, but model consistency is quite low resulting in low
confidence of any particular scenario at this time.
&&
.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&
Kruse/Wessler/NDeSmet
For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php
Flash Flood, Kane
- When
- August 12, 4:15 PM MST to 5:15 PM MST
- Where
- Kane County, 1.3 mi WNW of Kanab Arpt to 0.86 mi SW of Kanab Arpt
- Cause
- Heavy Rain
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 37.030, -112.550
Photos from broadcast media indicated water and mud over a roadway in Kanab.
Hail, Washington
- When
- August 14, 6:12 PM MST
- Where
- Washington County, 0.55 mi E of (Sgu)st George Muni
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 37.080, -113.590
A viewer submitted a video that showed quarter-sized hail.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding in Texas, August 12, 20212 deaths · 2 events
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strikes in New York, August 12, 20211 death · 6 injured · $153,000 · 52 kt wind · 3 events
- Dense Fog in Maine, August 12, 20211 death · 1 event
- High Wind in Minnesota, August 12, 20211 death · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Flood in Illinois, August 12 to 13, 2021$12 million · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flood in New Mexico, August 12, 2021$750,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, August 12, 20212 injured · $95,000 · 52 kt wind · 25 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Pennsylvania, August 12 to 13, 2021$25,000 · 55 kt wind · 60 events
- Flooding in Alaska, August 12 to 14, 2021$346,000 · 2 events
- Hail in Kansas, August 12, 2021$275,000 · 1.5 in hail · 4 events
- Damaging Winds in Michigan, August 12, 2021$250,000 · 52 kt wind · 2 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strikes in Pennsylvania, August 12, 2021$116,000 · 50 kt wind · 13 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 981957, 981958.