A slow-moving upper low produced widespread showers and thunderstorms across the region, some of which contained heavy rain resulting in a few instances of flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
A slow-moving upper low produced widespread showers and thunderstorms across the region, some of which contained heavy rain resulting in a few instances of flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 24, 2:16 PM CST, 29 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 316 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Rest of Today and Tuesday/ To the surprise of absolutely no one, the main topic of the short term forecast period continues to be the potential for additional showers and thunderstorms over the next 24-36 hours. Latest water vapor satellite and radar imagery shows the remnants of a weak upper low lifting northward along the I-35 corridor, seen as a cluster of vigorous convection migrating northward through the region. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected to traverse the region through the remainder of the afternoon and into the early evening before decreasing in coverage later tonight. While flooding will be the main hazard with today's activity, steepening lapse rates ahead of the upper low may support a few stronger storms with small hail and strong wind gusts in the more robust convection. The morning sounding from Fort Worth shows a very moist profile with a sample PWAT values of 1.79". As the upper low moves north over the area, any showers/storms that develop will be efficient rain producers. The 12Z HREF ensemble mean through 00Z Tuesday is showing the potential for 1 to 2 inches of rainfall today. Alternatively the 12Z HREF ensemble max is showing totals as much as 2 to 5 inches in pockets across North and Central Texas, hinting at the potential for locally higher amounts. Concentrated areas of heavier rain will likely lead to minor flooding of low- lying and flood prone areas as well as flash flooding where cell training occurs. With shower and storms still ongoing during the afternoon commute in many areas, this is your reminder to exercise caution if you will be out on the roads and never drive through flooded roadways or cross any road barriers. As mentioned above, rain chances are expected to decline after sunset as the influence of this morning's disturbance exits to the north. The lull in showers/storms may only be brief as high resolution models are in general agreement concerning the potential for a storm complex, developing from West Texas dryline convection, to approach the western border of our forecast area after midnight. Scattered showers and storms are possible through Tuesday as this gradually weakening complex progresses eastward. The overall severe potential will likely be low, but gusty winds and small hail may be possible with the stronger cells. 12 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 136 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021/ /Tuesday Night and Beyond/ Additional opportunities for showers and thunderstorms exist through the long-term portion of the forecast as we remain in a period of active weather. While it won’t be a total washout, it would be wise to keep an umbrella handy for the next several days. A series of slow-moving shortwaves coupled with a dryline across West Texas will keep rain chances in the forecast through the end of the week. Tuesday night, any storms that fire along a dryline to our west earlier in the day will attempt to make a run at our western border. However, confidence is low in whether or not these storms will make it into our western zones before dissipating. These storms shouldn't pose a severe weather threat, but gusty outflow winds may be possible as they decay. On Wednesday, an exiting disturbance should generally keep chances for showers and thunderstorms near and east of I-35. Even with decent instability in place, weak bulk shear values should limit any threat for severe weather. A mostly rain-free day is expected to occur across the forecast area on Thursday, with warm temperatures and even a few peeks of sunshine possible. However, it's likely another round of storms will develop Thursday evening from the dryline in West Texas northeast into Oklahoma as another shortwave moves across the area. Friday and through the weekend, passing shortwaves embedded in northwest flow aloft will create an ideal set up for nocturnal MCSs each day. As is normally the case, models are likely handling the evolution of these complexes poorly; therefore, some adjustments in PoPs will more than likely occur over the next few days. Drier weather may be on the horizon as a mid-level ridge will attempt to build into the region early next week. For now, low PoPs have been maintained near and along the Red River for the first half of the week as a couple additional complexes of storms in Oklahoma may clip our northern counties. Otherwise, temperatures will generally remain in the 80s to low 90s through the middle of next week. Barnes && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /18 UTC TAF Period/ Concerns...MVFR/IFR ceilings with showers and thunderstorms throughout the TAF period. MVFR/IFR ceilings and southeast winds prevail as showers and thunderstorms push northward across the region today. Showers may bring TEMPO reductions to vsbys, lower cigs, and occasional lightning strikes at area airports through the afternoon. Cigs should return to VFR by 23Z at Metroplex terminals and 21Z at Waco. There will likely be a break in the rain starting around 02-03Z before a complex of thunderstorms moves into the region from the west, with additional showers likely spreading across the region before daybreak Tuesday. A return to MVFR cigs is expected later tonight into Tuesday morning. 12 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 70 84 71 86 72 / 40 50 20 10 0 Waco 69 82 71 85 71 / 30 60 20 10 0 Paris 67 80 69 83 70 / 70 70 20 30 5 Denton 67 82 69 86 70 / 40 50 20 20 5 McKinney 68 82 70 86 71 / 50 50 20 20 5 Dallas 70 84 72 87 74 / 40 50 20 10 0 Terrell 68 82 69 87 71 / 60 60 20 20 0 Corsicana 69 83 71 85 71 / 50 70 20 20 0 Temple 68 82 69 84 70 / 30 50 20 10 0 Mineral Wells 67 84 69 85 69 / 20 50 20 10 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 325 AM CDT Mon May 24 2021 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-250830- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 325 AM CDT Mon May 24 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Showers with isolated embedded thunderstorms will be possible today. The main hazard today will be flooding given the potential for heavy rain. A few strong wind gusts and small hail cannot be ruled out either. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Storm chances will continue each day through Sunday, mainly during the early morning hours and once again in the afternoon. Severe weather is not expected but gusty winds will be possible across Central Texas Tuesday afternoon. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 46 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:44 UTC.
2 flash flood, 2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
High water was reported in the County Sheriff's Parking lot with the water depth up to the bumpers of vehicles. Water also entered the building at a depth of 1-2 inches. In addition, the public reported several instances of flooding in and around Weatherford.
Flooding continued in the Weatherford area for a few hours after the heavy rain had stopped.
Numerous roads and areas in the northeast part of the county were reported under water. In particular, a picture of water over FM 2738 was tweeted out. At least 3 water rescues were already conducted.
Luella Rd and Davenport Rd in Sherman was closed at Choctaw Creek due to flooding.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, May 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 960651, 960669, 960656, 960714.