Idaho, 2021

Avalanche and Heavy Snow in Idaho, January 27 to 30, 2021

January 27 to 30, 2021 · NWS PIH · 12 events in 11 counties and zones

A very strong atmospheric river event brought very heavy snow to the southeast Idaho mountains and the Sun Valley region. Amounts of over 2 feet of snow were very common in the drawn out event.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PIH wrote it up.

A very strong atmospheric river event brought very heavy snow to the southeast Idaho mountains and the Sun Valley region. Amounts of over 2 feet of snow were very common in the drawn out event. 51 inches of snow fell at Bald Mountain at the Sun Valley ski resort and the resort shut down January 29th after several avalanches and the death of a skier.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 27, 2:43 AM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 27, 2:43 AM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
243 AM MST Wed Jan 27 2021

.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday night. Our multiple day storm
event is starting to unfold across central and eastern Idaho. As
expected, we are seeing some lighter snow and slick spots
across highlands along and east of I-15, as well as across
portions of the Arco Desert and central mountains. What we are
seeing is a bit more than forecast, but impacts are still on the
lower end. Snow will increase during the day, with the biggest
impact areas lying across portions of the central mountains, Island
Park/Big Holes, the Magic Valley/Snake Plain from the Lava Beds
north of Shoshone to north and east Idaho Falls/Rexburg. Those
areas remain under Winter Storm Watches or Winter Weather
Advisories through the duration of the storm. We also have a
Winter Weather Advisory for the Caribou and Bear River Ranges, but
impacts may end up being a little less than previously expected as
snowfall farther south seems to be decreasing a bit overall.
Stronger southerly winds will create some pockets of blowing and
drifting. The south to southwest flow will still produce some
downslope conditions and shadowing. We are still looking at much
lower snow amounts once you get to the Stanley Basin and Challis
area. Downslope is still a big concern along the 84/86 corridor,
as well as along I-15 up through Idaho Falls. The models are still
trying to paint some light snowfall in those areas, especially
once you get around Pocatello northeast toward Idaho Falls and
Rexburg. The biggest potential of that happening would be through
tonight/Thursday morning, BUT the downslope will likely greatly
limit snowfall once you get around Blackfoot and points south and
west. The most likely scenario is that we MAY see snow falling,
but melting or lightly accumulating on grassy areas. We would not
be surprised if the downslope along the 84/86 corridor is strong
enough to produce nothing more than sprinkles/flurries until the
front arrives Friday. The Teton Valley north of Victor toward
Driggs and Tetonia is another likely spot to see much lower
snowfall due to south winds.

The trend for Thursday is heavier snow continuing in our
Warning/Advisory locations favored in south/southwest flow, with a
secondary push across the southeast highlands. Elsewhere,
precipitation decreases and temperatures warm up enough where it
may actually be a mix or light rain across lower elevations.
Confidence drops quite a bit Thursday night and Friday, as snow
should continue in upslope areas farther north...but decrease for
a short period until the front arrives later Friday. Some of the
models and ensembles are significantly drier overall Friday while
others remain on the wet side of the spectrum. The forecast is a
blend of the two with an increasing chance of light precipitation
Friday. Keyes

.LONG TERM...Saturday through Wednesday. The weekend will represent
the best chance at a break in slowly progressive deep pattern. There
could be some light lingering precipitation both days over higher
elevations in Central ID and the eastern highlands along the WY
border, in areas where westerly orographics can help induce
precipitation. Otherwise expect most areas to remain dry under
influence of weak transitory ridge. Pattern shifts to deep and moist
south flow again early in the week, with next Pacific low beginning
to shift precipitation into East Idaho Monday night into Tuesday.
Ensembles favor Tuesday and Tuesday night as the best chance for
precipitation, but there is some wiggle room into Monday night and
Wednesday for start and end. This pattern would again favor the same
areas targeted with the current system, mainly the southern upslope
regions of the central mountains, and the far northeast corner.
Potential exists for another respectable snow-maker for these areas,
though the system does not look to be a multi-day event as it is
already exiting the region by late Wednesday in most ensemble
members. Colder temperatures at onset may be more favorable for
accumulations in lower elevations as well, but of course devil will
be in the details as orographics are expected to once again play a
significant role for some locations in either promoting or
inhibiting precipitation potential. DMH

&&

.AVIATION...Mix of conditions is now occurring across East Idaho as
deep Pacific low is starting to shift into the region. To the south,
pockets of light snow have developed across the southern highlands.
The gusty south winds are contributing to low level wind shear
concerns along the I-86/I-84 corridor, mainly KPIH and KBYI
terminals. Further north, broad area of light snow from KSUN east to
KIDA and KDIJ is producing MVFR ceilings and visibility.
Expectations are for the MVFR conditions to continue through the day
with periods of light to moderate snowfall, and each of those
terminals may see occasional IFR conditions this afternoon and
overnight. KBYI and KPIH may also see a brief period of snowfall
this afternoon, but the strong southerly flow just off the surface
will be a big inhibitor and is contributing to a lot of uncertainty
at this time. Expectations are that conditions would remain MVFR or
better, even if some snow can be realized today and tonight. DMH

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM MST Friday for IDZ051>053-067-
068.

Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM MST Friday for IDZ069-072>075.

Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST Friday for IDZ064-066.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST Friday for IDZ060-063.

&&

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

10 heavy snow, 1 avalanche, 1 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Lost River Valleys

When
January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 5:00 AM MST
Where
Lost River Valleys forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
43.982, -113.727 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Eleven inches of snow fell at the onset of the storm from the 27th into the 28th at Darlington as measured by a spotter. Butte County School District 111 was closed due to the heavy snow and hazardous travel conditions on the 28th.

Heavy Snow, Wood River Foothills

When
January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 4:00 AM MST
Where
Wood River Foothills forecast zone
Reported by
Trained Spotter
Coordinates
43.412, -113.980 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Extremely heavy snow fell in the Wood River Foothills. The COOP observer in Bellevue measured 12 inches of snow the first two days of the event through the 28th. The Hailey region had several reports of between 25 and 40 inches of snow for the event.

Heavy Snow, Beaverhead-Lemhi Highlands

When
January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 4:00 AM MST
Where
Beaverhead-Lemhi Highlands forecast zone
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
44.004, -112.761 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy snow fell in the Beaverhead and Lemhi Highlands region. The COOP observer at Dubois measured 12 inches and the COOP observer at Small measured 11 inches.

Heavy Snow, Lost River Range

When
January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 6:00 AM MST
Where
Lost River Range forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
43.982, -113.727 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Estimated SNOTEL amounts were 42 inches at Hilt's Creek and 15 inches at Meadow Lake.

Heavy Snow, Big Lost Highlands-Copper Basin

When
January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 6:00 AM MST
Where
Big Lost Highlands-Copper Basin forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
43.792, -113.811 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

SNOTEL estimated snow totals were 35 inches at Bear Canyon, 24 inches at Garfield Ranger Station, 31 inches at Smiley Mountain, 18 inches at Stickney Mill, and 45 inches at Swede Peak.

Heavy Snow, Arco-Mud Lake Desert

When
January 27, 5:00 AM MST to January 30, 4:00 AM MST
Where
Arco-Mud Lake Desert forecast zone
Reported by
Park/Forest Service
Coordinates
43.537, -112.374 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

During first day and a half of storm Craters of the Moon measured 15 inches of snow. Butte County School District 111 closed on the 28th due to the very heavy snow and hazardous travel conditions.

Heavy Snow, Sawtooth-Stanley Basin

When
January 27, 5:00 AM MST to January 30, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Sawtooth-Stanley Basin forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An estimated 40 inches of snow fell at the Vienna Mine SNOTEL site.

Heavy Snow, Sun Valley Region

When
January 27, 6:00 AM MST to January 30, 10:00 AM MST
Where
Sun Valley Region forecast zone
Deaths
0 direct, 1 indirect
Reported by
COOP Observer
Coordinates
43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

An atmospheric river event brought extreme snowfall amounts to the Sun Valley region over several days. 33.5 inches was measured by the COOP in Ketchum. Other amounts estimated at SNOTEL sites were: Chocolate Gulch 31 inches, Dollarhide Summit 42 inches, Galena 17 inches, Galena Summit 43 inches, Hyndman 21 inches, and Lost Wood Divide 29 inches. Bald Mountain at summit of Sun Valley ski resort measured 51 inches of snow. A 67 year old male died while skiing on January 29th in the extremely deep snow from asyphixiation after suffering an accident.

Heavy Snow, Centennial Mountains-Island Park

When
January 27, 6:00 AM MST to January 30, 7:00 AM MST
Where
Centennial Mountains-Island Park forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
44.091, -111.680 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Estimated SNOTEL snow amounts were 25 inches at Crab Creek, 14 inches at Island Park, and 28 inches at White Elephant.

Heavy Snow, Bear River Range

When
January 27, 7:00 AM MST to January 30, 6:00 AM MST
Where
Bear River Range forecast zone
Reported by
SNOTEL
Coordinates
42.412, -111.568 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Estimated SNOTEL snowfall were 15 inches at Emigrant Summit and 13 inches at Franklin Basin.

Avalanche, Sun Valley Region

When
January 28, 3:00 PM MST to January 30, 5:00 AM MST
Where
Sun Valley Region forecast zone
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Back country skiers triggered avalanches on the Warm Springs side of Bald Mountain. Skiing operations were shut down on the afternoon of the 29th due to avalanche mitigation at Sun Valley ski resort. Substantial debris from one of the avalanches caused debris on Warm Springs Road near Ketchum on the 29th. The debris buried two vehicles. Warm Springs Road was only open to residents.

Winter Weather, Teton Valley

When
January 30, 12:00 PM MST to 8:00 PM MST
Where
Teton Valley forecast zone
Reported by
Department of Highways
Coordinates
43.924, -111.450 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Very strong winds caused extensive blowing and drifting of snow and whiteouts on Idaho route 32. It was closed around noon on the 30th from Ashton to Tetonia between Idaho 47 and Idaho 33.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Heavy Snow, Sun Valley Region2021-01-2967MaleOutside/Open AreasIndirect

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
Avalanche
A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.
Winter Weather
Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Idaho in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Idaho, January 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 937236, 937240, 937280, 937284, 937285, 937235, 937294, 937230, 937291, 937283, 937231, 937314.