Idaho, 2021Avalanche and Heavy Snow in Idaho, January 27 to 30, 2021
January 27 to 30, 2021 · NWS PIH · 12 events in 11 counties and zones
A very strong atmospheric river event brought very heavy snow to the southeast Idaho mountains and the Sun Valley region. Amounts of over 2 feet of snow were very common in the drawn out event.
Every event with a place to put it; 12 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 1
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 12
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A very strong atmospheric river event brought very heavy snow to the southeast Idaho mountains and the Sun Valley region. Amounts of over 2 feet of snow were very common in the drawn out event. 51 inches of snow fell at Bald Mountain at the Sun Valley ski resort and the resort shut down January 29th after several avalanches and the death of a skier.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pocatello, ID wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 27, 2:43 AM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 27, 2:43 AM MST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pocatello ID
243 AM MST Wed Jan 27 2021
.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday night. Our multiple day storm
event is starting to unfold across central and eastern Idaho. As
expected, we are seeing some lighter snow and slick spots
across highlands along and east of I-15, as well as across
portions of the Arco Desert and central mountains. What we are
seeing is a bit more than forecast, but impacts are still on the
lower end. Snow will increase during the day, with the biggest
impact areas lying across portions of the central mountains, Island
Park/Big Holes, the Magic Valley/Snake Plain from the Lava Beds
north of Shoshone to north and east Idaho Falls/Rexburg. Those
areas remain under Winter Storm Watches or Winter Weather
Advisories through the duration of the storm. We also have a
Winter Weather Advisory for the Caribou and Bear River Ranges, but
impacts may end up being a little less than previously expected as
snowfall farther south seems to be decreasing a bit overall.
Stronger southerly winds will create some pockets of blowing and
drifting. The south to southwest flow will still produce some
downslope conditions and shadowing. We are still looking at much
lower snow amounts once you get to the Stanley Basin and Challis
area. Downslope is still a big concern along the 84/86 corridor,
as well as along I-15 up through Idaho Falls. The models are still
trying to paint some light snowfall in those areas, especially
once you get around Pocatello northeast toward Idaho Falls and
Rexburg. The biggest potential of that happening would be through
tonight/Thursday morning, BUT the downslope will likely greatly
limit snowfall once you get around Blackfoot and points south and
west. The most likely scenario is that we MAY see snow falling,
but melting or lightly accumulating on grassy areas. We would not
be surprised if the downslope along the 84/86 corridor is strong
enough to produce nothing more than sprinkles/flurries until the
front arrives Friday. The Teton Valley north of Victor toward
Driggs and Tetonia is another likely spot to see much lower
snowfall due to south winds.
The trend for Thursday is heavier snow continuing in our
Warning/Advisory locations favored in south/southwest flow, with a
secondary push across the southeast highlands. Elsewhere,
precipitation decreases and temperatures warm up enough where it
may actually be a mix or light rain across lower elevations.
Confidence drops quite a bit Thursday night and Friday, as snow
should continue in upslope areas farther north...but decrease for
a short period until the front arrives later Friday. Some of the
models and ensembles are significantly drier overall Friday while
others remain on the wet side of the spectrum. The forecast is a
blend of the two with an increasing chance of light precipitation
Friday. Keyes
.LONG TERM...Saturday through Wednesday. The weekend will represent
the best chance at a break in slowly progressive deep pattern. There
could be some light lingering precipitation both days over higher
elevations in Central ID and the eastern highlands along the WY
border, in areas where westerly orographics can help induce
precipitation. Otherwise expect most areas to remain dry under
influence of weak transitory ridge. Pattern shifts to deep and moist
south flow again early in the week, with next Pacific low beginning
to shift precipitation into East Idaho Monday night into Tuesday.
Ensembles favor Tuesday and Tuesday night as the best chance for
precipitation, but there is some wiggle room into Monday night and
Wednesday for start and end. This pattern would again favor the same
areas targeted with the current system, mainly the southern upslope
regions of the central mountains, and the far northeast corner.
Potential exists for another respectable snow-maker for these areas,
though the system does not look to be a multi-day event as it is
already exiting the region by late Wednesday in most ensemble
members. Colder temperatures at onset may be more favorable for
accumulations in lower elevations as well, but of course devil will
be in the details as orographics are expected to once again play a
significant role for some locations in either promoting or
inhibiting precipitation potential. DMH
&&
.AVIATION...Mix of conditions is now occurring across East Idaho as
deep Pacific low is starting to shift into the region. To the south,
pockets of light snow have developed across the southern highlands.
The gusty south winds are contributing to low level wind shear
concerns along the I-86/I-84 corridor, mainly KPIH and KBYI
terminals. Further north, broad area of light snow from KSUN east to
KIDA and KDIJ is producing MVFR ceilings and visibility.
Expectations are for the MVFR conditions to continue through the day
with periods of light to moderate snowfall, and each of those
terminals may see occasional IFR conditions this afternoon and
overnight. KBYI and KPIH may also see a brief period of snowfall
this afternoon, but the strong southerly flow just off the surface
will be a big inhibitor and is contributing to a lot of uncertainty
at this time. Expectations are that conditions would remain MVFR or
better, even if some snow can be realized today and tonight. DMH
&&
.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM MST Friday for IDZ051>053-067-
068.
Winter Storm Warning until 5 AM MST Friday for IDZ069-072>075.
Winter Storm Warning until 11 PM MST Friday for IDZ064-066.
Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM MST Friday for IDZ060-063.
&&
Event by event
10 heavy snow, 1 avalanche, 1 winter weather. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy Snow, Lost River Valleys
- When
- January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 5:00 AM MST
- Where
- Lost River Valleys forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 43.982, -113.727 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Eleven inches of snow fell at the onset of the storm from the 27th into the 28th at Darlington as measured by a spotter. Butte County School District 111 was closed due to the heavy snow and hazardous travel conditions on the 28th.
Heavy Snow, Wood River Foothills
- When
- January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 4:00 AM MST
- Where
- Wood River Foothills forecast zone
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 43.412, -113.980 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Extremely heavy snow fell in the Wood River Foothills. The COOP observer in Bellevue measured 12 inches of snow the first two days of the event through the 28th. The Hailey region had several reports of between 25 and 40 inches of snow for the event.
Heavy Snow, Beaverhead-Lemhi Highlands
- When
- January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 4:00 AM MST
- Where
- Beaverhead-Lemhi Highlands forecast zone
- Reported by
- COOP Observer
- Coordinates
- 44.004, -112.761 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy snow fell in the Beaverhead and Lemhi Highlands region. The COOP observer at Dubois measured 12 inches and the COOP observer at Small measured 11 inches.
Heavy Snow, Lost River Range
- When
- January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 6:00 AM MST
- Where
- Lost River Range forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 43.982, -113.727 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Estimated SNOTEL amounts were 42 inches at Hilt's Creek and 15 inches at Meadow Lake.
Heavy Snow, Big Lost Highlands-Copper Basin
- When
- January 27, 4:00 AM MST to January 30, 6:00 AM MST
- Where
- Big Lost Highlands-Copper Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 43.792, -113.811 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
SNOTEL estimated snow totals were 35 inches at Bear Canyon, 24 inches at Garfield Ranger Station, 31 inches at Smiley Mountain, 18 inches at Stickney Mill, and 45 inches at Swede Peak.
Heavy Snow, Arco-Mud Lake Desert
- When
- January 27, 5:00 AM MST to January 30, 4:00 AM MST
- Where
- Arco-Mud Lake Desert forecast zone
- Reported by
- Park/Forest Service
- Coordinates
- 43.537, -112.374 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
During first day and a half of storm Craters of the Moon measured 15 inches of snow. Butte County School District 111 closed on the 28th due to the very heavy snow and hazardous travel conditions.
Heavy Snow, Sawtooth-Stanley Basin
- When
- January 27, 5:00 AM MST to January 30, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- Sawtooth-Stanley Basin forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An estimated 40 inches of snow fell at the Vienna Mine SNOTEL site.
Heavy Snow, Sun Valley Region
- When
- January 27, 6:00 AM MST to January 30, 10:00 AM MST
- Where
- Sun Valley Region forecast zone
- Deaths
- 0 direct, 1 indirect
- Reported by
- COOP Observer
- Coordinates
- 43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
An atmospheric river event brought extreme snowfall amounts to the Sun Valley region over several days. 33.5 inches was measured by the COOP in Ketchum. Other amounts estimated at SNOTEL sites were: Chocolate Gulch 31 inches, Dollarhide Summit 42 inches, Galena 17 inches, Galena Summit 43 inches, Hyndman 21 inches, and Lost Wood Divide 29 inches. Bald Mountain at summit of Sun Valley ski resort measured 51 inches of snow. A 67 year old male died while skiing on January 29th in the extremely deep snow from asyphixiation after suffering an accident.
Heavy Snow, Centennial Mountains-Island Park
- When
- January 27, 6:00 AM MST to January 30, 7:00 AM MST
- Where
- Centennial Mountains-Island Park forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 44.091, -111.680 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Estimated SNOTEL snow amounts were 25 inches at Crab Creek, 14 inches at Island Park, and 28 inches at White Elephant.
Heavy Snow, Bear River Range
- When
- January 27, 7:00 AM MST to January 30, 6:00 AM MST
- Where
- Bear River Range forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 42.412, -111.568 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Estimated SNOTEL snowfall were 15 inches at Emigrant Summit and 13 inches at Franklin Basin.
Avalanche, Sun Valley Region
- When
- January 28, 3:00 PM MST to January 30, 5:00 AM MST
- Where
- Sun Valley Region forecast zone
- Reported by
- Emergency Manager
- Coordinates
- 43.826, -114.131 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Back country skiers triggered avalanches on the Warm Springs side of Bald Mountain. Skiing operations were shut down on the afternoon of the 29th due to avalanche mitigation at Sun Valley ski resort. Substantial debris from one of the avalanches caused debris on Warm Springs Road near Ketchum on the 29th. The debris buried two vehicles. Warm Springs Road was only open to residents.
Winter Weather, Teton Valley
- When
- January 30, 12:00 PM MST to 8:00 PM MST
- Where
- Teton Valley forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 43.924, -111.450 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Very strong winds caused extensive blowing and drifting of snow and whiteouts on Idaho route 32. It was closed around noon on the 30th from Ashton to Tetonia between Idaho 47 and Idaho 33.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
- Avalanche
- A mass of snow sliding down a mountainside that caused a death, an injury or damage.
- Winter Weather
- Snow, sleet or freezing rain below warning levels that still caused disruption, damage or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Illinois, January 27, 20211 death · 1 event
- Tornadoes in Florida, January 27, 2021$205,000 · EF1 · 3 events
- Blizzard and Avalanche in California, January 27 to 29, 20211 injured · $250,000 · 4 events
- Winter Weather in Missouri, January 27, 202124 events
- Winter Weather in Illinois, January 27, 202119 events
- Winter Weather in Arkansas, January 27, 202114 events
- Winter Weather in Missouri, January 27, 202111 events
- Flash Flooding and Winter Storm in California, January 27 to 29, 202169 kt wind · 10 events
- Winter Weather in Ohio, January 27 to 28, 20218 events
- Winter Weather in Kansas, January 27, 20216 events
- Damaging Winds in Georgia, January 27, 202150 kt wind · 6 events
- Winter Weather in Indiana, January 27, 20216 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 937236, 937240, 937280, 937284, 937285, 937235, 937294, 937230, 937291, 937283, 937231, 937314.