Georgia, 2021Damaging Wind in Georgia, August 13, 2021
August 13, 2021 · NWS TAE · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A typical summertime pattern prevailed with scattered afternoon thunderstorms across portions of southwest and south-central Georgia. Some mid-level dry air made the environment slightly more favorable for gusty winds with a report of several trees down in Lowndes county.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A typical summertime pattern prevailed with scattered afternoon thunderstorms across portions of southwest and south-central Georgia. Some mid-level dry air made the environment slightly more favorable for gusty winds with a report of several trees down in Lowndes county.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 13, 2:58 PM EST, 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 13, 2:58 PM EST, 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
358 PM EDT Fri Aug 13 2021
...TROPICAL IMPACTS POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...
.NEAR TERM [Through Saturday]...
Starting to see convection develop across the Florida Panhandle
coast and portions of southwest Georgia. This will continue to
increase over the next few hours with isolated to scattered storms
expected through this evening. Activity overnight should mainly be
limited to the coastal waters. Upper level low remains across the
region tomorrow and will will once again see isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Likely showers and thunderstorms will be
possible though tomorrow afternoon across the southeast Big Bend
where better moisture moves into the region. Lows will be in the mid
70s with highs in the mid 90s except the lower 90s across the
southeast Big Bend where temperatures will be more affected by the
precip tomorrow.
.SHORT TERM [Saturday Night Through Sunday Night]...
Deep moisture associated with Tropical Depression Fred continues to
overspread the region as the system likely tracks NNW along the
eastern Gulf late this weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected through the period, with the highest rain
chances over the marine and coastal areas overnight and in the
morning hours, followed by greater inland coverage midday and the
evening. The considerable cloud cover and precipitation likely keeps
high temperatures in the 80s, while lows stay in the low-mid 70s.
The official forecast from NHC as of 2pm ET calls for Fred to make
landfall somewhere between the Panhandle and Big Bend Monday morning
as a tropical storm. Hazardous marine and beach conditions should
occur ahead of Fred, with tropical storm conditions possible on
Sunday and Sunday night. Coastal impacts are also possible, but
still a bit too early to get into specifics. The earliest
reasonable arrival time of tropical storm force winds (if they
were to occur) at the coast is Sunday morning, and midday Sunday
into early evening over land. The axis of heavy rainfall is likely
to be along and east of the track. As a result, WPC introduced a
Slight Risk (level 2/5) of excessive rainfall primarily for the
Big Bend in their Day 3 Outlook, valid starting 12Z Sunday. A
Marginal Risk (level 1/5) exists everywhere else. Please see Hydro
section for more details.
In addition to the flooding rain threat, there is potential for
severe weather, with the primary concern being tornadoes. There is a
Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for severe weather by SPC in their Day 3
Outlook (beginning 12Z Sunday) to account for that possibility.
.LONG TERM [Monday Through Friday]...
Fred is expected to be near or making landfall somewhere along the
Panhandle or Big Bend early Monday, so impacts should be ongoing for
portions of our area. The heaviest rain and strongest winds shift
north as Fred gains more latitude. Overall conditions look to
improve on Tuesday after Fred pulls away from the region. However, a
moist airmass remains in place, so wet conditions are expected for
the remainder of the period, with high daily rain chances across
the board. Meanwhile, high temperatures crawl back above 90, with
heat indices exceeding 100 degrees. Low temperatures remain in the
mid- low 70s.
&&
.AVIATION...
[Through 18Z Saturday]
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period although some
lower conditions are possible with thunderstorms. Scattered TSRA
will be possible through the evening with chances decreasing after
that.
&&
.MARINE...
Favorable boating conditions outside of thunderstorms continue
through Saturday, before cautionary winds and seas develop across
the waters Saturday night. As this occurs, Tropical Depression
likely emerges into eastern Gulf from the FL Straits. Tropical storm
conditions are possible on Sunday and Sunday night. Borderline
cautionary/advisory levels are likely on Monday, with slow
improvement heading towards mid-week.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Increasing rainfall chances in advance of Tropical Storm Fred in the
Southeast FL Big Bend on Saturday will spread across the entire Tri-
State area on Sunday. Outside of high dispersions on Saturday,
increased rainfall chances will keep fire weather concerns low.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Flood Warnings continue for the following rivers: Steinhatchee (US-
19) and Suwannee - Rock Bluff/Manatee Springs/Wilcox. Branford bares
watching over the next couple days as forecasts show borderline
minor flood stage by Tuesday morning. Additional rises are possible
from Tropical Depression Fred.
The main hydro concerns through the weekend into early next week are
from Fred. Estimates are widespread 3-6" (up to 8" possible) along
the Big Bend from Saturday night through Tuesday. These values are
track dependent and subject to change. The heaviest rain is likely
to be along and east of Fred's path. The southeast Big Bend is
particularly vulnerable, with the region still reeling from recent
flooding. There is a Slight Risk (level 2/5) of excessive rainfall
for the Big Bend and adjacent southwest GA beginning Sunday morning
and a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) everywhere else.
A wet pattern appears to stay in place after Fred's departure, with
above-average rain chances through the work week.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur (while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines) by
calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 74 95 74 88 73 / 30 20 40 80 60
Panama City 76 94 75 88 74 / 20 40 50 80 70
Dothan 73 94 73 88 72 / 20 30 20 70 50
Albany 75 95 75 89 74 / 20 20 10 70 40
Valdosta 72 92 73 86 73 / 20 30 20 80 50
Cross City 73 92 74 84 73 / 20 70 50 80 60
Apalachicola 75 89 76 86 75 / 20 20 70 80 70
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
NEAR TERM...Fieux
SHORT TERM...IG3
LONG TERM...IG3
AVIATION...Fieux
MARINE...IG3
FIRE WEATHER...LF/Young
HYDROLOGY...IG3
Thunderstorm Wind, Lowndes
- When
- August 13, 3:55 PM EST
- Where
- Lowndes County, 5.44 mi SW of Kinderlou
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 30.738, -83.417
There were several trees blown down on Knights Ferry Road.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Dust Storm in Arizona, August 13 to 14, 20212 deaths · $26 million · 65 kt wind · 39 events
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strikes in Maryland, August 13, 2021$714,000 · 60 kt wind · 41 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, August 13, 2021$312,000 · 1.75 in hail · 49 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Pennsylvania, August 13, 2021$65,000 · 60 kt wind · 39 events
- Damaging Winds in Pennsylvania, August 13, 2021$145,000 · 52 kt wind · 16 events
- Flash Flooding in New Mexico, August 13, 2021$250,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Wind and Lightning Strike in North Carolina, August 13, 20217 injured · $10,000 · 50 kt wind · 2 events
- Flood in New Mexico, August 13 to 14, 2021$150,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Damaging Winds in West Virginia, August 13, 2021$99,000 · 50 kt wind · 9 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, August 13 to 15, 202150 kt wind · 55 events
- Flash Flooding in Texas, August 13, 2021$100,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Winds in West Virginia, August 13, 2021$72,000 · 65 kt wind · 7 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 979545.