Arizona, 2021

Damaging Wind in Arizona, June 30, 2021

June 30, 2021 · NWS TWC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Isolated thunderstorms moved southwest across southeast Arizona. One storm caused extensive tree damage in Tucson.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$30,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS TWC wrote it up.

Isolated thunderstorms moved southwest across southeast Arizona. One storm caused extensive tree damage in Tucson.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tucson, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 30, 1:15 PM MST, 1 hour earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 1:15 PM MST, 1 hour before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
115 PM MST Wed Jun 30 2021

.SYNOPSIS...Scattered thunderstorms are expected into this evening,
primarily over higher terrain and from Tucson south and west.
Thereafter expect widely scattered to scattered showers and
thunderstorms through the weekend with high temperatures generally a
few degrees cooler than average.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Convective development ongoing early this afternoon as
expected, initially across the higher terrain with gradual
development in valley locations. Considerable cloudiness east of a
line from Bisbee-Safford may limit convection for these areas with
more general scattered shower activity. PWAT values currently range
from 1.25" to 1.5" from Tucson westward and 1.1" to 1.3" east of
Tucson. These values are certainly high enough to generate locally
heavy rainfall where enough solar insolation occurs, especially
given fairly slow storm motion towards the south and southwest less
than 10 mph. The main concern will continue to be across burn scar
regions including the Bighorn on the Catalinas as flash flooding can
occur there with as little as 0.5" per hour. Showers and perhaps a
few thunderstorms have the potential to linger well into the evening
hours aided by the inverted trough over far eastern sections of the
area.

PWAT values are progged to be on the increase on Thursday, at or
above 1.5" for areas from Tucson westward. However, there is
considerable uncertainty on how Thursday shakes out and much of that
will depend on what evolves today and tonight. There is the
potential for considerable cloudiness limiting convective
development. However, in areas that get enough sun, showers and
thunderstorms may produce areas of heavy rainfall given the deeper
moisture profile.

Looking at Friday and through the weekend, an overall favorable
early monsoon pattern will continue for early July as inverted
troughiness extending northward from Sonora may give convection a
bit of a boost. The general steering pattern will be from the east
as the high pressure aloft remains centered to our north. Still
plenty of moisture into early next week as well for daily rounds of
mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms as the high
remains to our north.

High temperatures will remain a few degrees below normal through
Monday then increase to near normal values by the middle of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid through 02/00Z.
Expect SCT-BKN clouds 10k-14k ft MSL for most of the period.
Scattered SHRA/TSRA will be possible over most of the area through
about 01/04Z with perhaps a bit of a lull overnight, then increasing
aft 01/18Z. Wind gusts 40-50 kts will be possible near TSRA.
Otherwise, SFC winds mostly ELY/SELY 8-12 kts with gusts to 20 kts
in the afternoon. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Monsoonal moisture continues to increase across
southeast Arizona, allowing for daily showers and thunderstorms
through the weekend. Minimum humidities generally reach the 20s and
30s in the lower elevations and 40s in the mountains with very good
overnight recoveries. Easterly breezes continue for much of the
area, gradually shifting to a typical diurnal pattern Friday into
the weekend with speeds less than 15 mph.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson

The radar

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 53 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:16 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Pima

When
June 30, 2:15 PM MST
Where
Pima County, 3.78 mi SE of Jaynes
Measured
48 kt (55 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$30,000
Reported by
Newspaper
Coordinates
32.264, -110.981

Thunderstorm winds damaged or uprooted 35 shallow-rooted trees at Evergreen Cemetery in Tucson.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, June 2021

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 970021.