Alabama, 2021Rip Current in Alabama, August 17, 2021
August 17, 2021 · NWS MOB · 1 event in 1 county or zone
Two brothers drowned in rip currents in Gulf Shores.
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- Deaths
- 2
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Two brothers drowned in rip currents in Gulf Shores.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 17, 1:06 PM CST, 54 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 1:06 PM CST, 54 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
206 PM CDT Tue Aug 17 2021
.NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday/...Tropical Depression Fred
continues to move northeast over the Appalachians this afternoon.
Meanwhile, an upper ridge will build in over the region from the
Atlantic. This feature will stretch into the central Gulf of
Mexico by Wednesday afternoon. At the same time, a shortwave will
slowly move over the Mississippi Valley region up towards the
Great Lakes today and over the Great Lakes region on Wednesday. As
for the local area, most will be under the influence of the upper
ridge. However, the northwestern portion of our area could be
influenced somewhat by the passing upper shortwave trough.
With west to northwest flow, the region is a bit drier this
afternoon. In fact, dew points are in the upper 60s to lower 70s
at present. Current radar shows very little across the region
except for a few showers/storms over Louisiana and southern
Mississippi. Only isolated showers and a few storms are
anticipated through the rest of the afternoon and into this
evening. Chances will then decrease into late tonight. However,
southerly flow will return tonight, increasing moisture over the
northern Gulf coast through Wednesday afternoon. Model PWATs range
between 1.8-2.0 inches (locally higher around 2.2 inches in some
spots) over the local area. In addition, guidance suggests MLCAPE
between 1000-2500 J/kg and DCAPE over 1000 J/kg. Model soundings
also indicate the presence of dry air in the midlevels, so wet
microbursts will also be possible. This will be monitored.
Overall, expecting our typical diurnal pattern of showers and
thunderstorms to become the norm once again on Wednesday. Activity
will begin over the Gulf waters and immediate coast late tonight
and translate onto land through the morning.
Current temperatures are in the upper 80s to lower 90 and could
warm a few more degrees before the afternoon is over. Therefore,
forecast highs (in the lower 90s inland and upper 80s at the
coast) remain on track. Lows tonight will be warm, in the lower to
mid 70s inland and in the mid to upper 70s near the coast. Highs
Wednesday afternoon are expected to be in the lower 90s, with a
few spots over inland areas inching towards the mid 90s. These
temperatures, combined with dew points in the 70s, will lead to
heat indices in the 100-106 degree range. Although these values
are below Heat Advisory criteria, make sure to stay hydrated and
limit strenuous activity outdoors.
Lastly, the HIGH RISK of rip currents will continue through
tonight. However, this will be monitored this evening to see if
conditions have improved. At this time, a MODERATE RISK will
follow for Wednesday. /26
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 123 PM CDT Tue Aug 17 2021/
.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...VFR conditions were present at issuance and will
likely persist through the rest of the period. A few showers and
storms are possible across the region this afternoon, but
confidence is low whether these will affect the TAF sites. Brief
periods of lower CIGs and VIS are possible in any heavy showers.
Chances will diminish this evening, with no activity anticipated
for most areas overnight. The exception will be over the Gulf
waters and at the immediate coast where shower/storm chances will
begin to increase late tonight into early Wednesday morning.
Scattered showers and storms will then translate from the marine
zones over the land areas through Wednesday morning. West to
northwest winds today will shift to be southerly tonight. Winds
will generally be light, except near the coast with sea breeze
formation this afternoon and Wednesday afternoon. /26
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
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Rip Current, Baldwin Coastal
- When
- August 17, 2:00 PM CST
- Where
- Baldwin Coastal forecast zone
- Deaths
- 2 direct, 0 indirect
- Reported by
- Broadcast Media
- Coordinates
- 30.661, -87.750 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Two brothers, one from TN and one from GA, drowned in rip currents in Gulf Shores.
- Rip Current
- A narrow, fast current flowing away from the beach that caused a drowning or rescue.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in North Carolina, August 17 to 18, 20216 deaths · $207 million · EF1 · 20 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Utah, August 17 to 19, 2021$1.6 million · 2 in hail · 41 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Georgia, August 17, 2021$689,000 · EF1 · 20 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Wind in South Carolina, August 17, 2021$130,000 · EF1 · 6 events
- Flash Flooding in New York, August 17, 2021$105,000 · 10 events
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Ohio, August 17, 2021$75,000 · 3 events
- Tornadoes in South Carolina, August 17, 2021EF1 · 7 events
- Lightning Strike in Georgia, August 17, 2021$40,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, August 17, 2021$25,000 · 2 events
- Damaging Winds in Missouri, August 17, 2021$20,000 · 52 kt wind · 2 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in South Atlantic Coastal Waters, August 17, 20218 events
- Flash Flooding in Arizona, August 17 to 18, 20216 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 971940.