Texas, 2020

Drought in Texas, December 15 to 31, 2020

December 15 to 31, 2020 · NWS FWD · 5 events in 5 counties and zones

Severe drought conditions across Central Texas expanded north as the month progressed.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
5

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Severe drought conditions across Central Texas expanded north as the month progressed.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 14, 6:36 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 6:36 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
636 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Tuesday Evening/

North and Central Texas remains mostly clear this evening, but
GOES-16 satellite imagery shows our next upper level system
approaching from the west. Low clouds are expected to develop
across Central Texas after midnight and spread toward North Texas
as low level southerly winds increase in response to the approaching
system and attendant surface low. Patchy drizzle may also develop
across portions of Central Texas due to the influx of moisture.
There remains a low potential for patchy freezing drizzle across
portions of the Big Country as temperatures briefly approach
freezing close to daybreak. Low temperatures across this area are
expected to be near 31-32 degrees, which will help limit any
impacts to mostly elevated surfaces should freezing drizzle
develop.

As the upper low and surface low approach Tuesday morning, strong
height falls spreading over North Texas may result in light rain
developing along the Red River. This should spread further across
North and East Texas through the day, with patchy drizzle possible
elsewhere. Although the layer of moisture remains low (forecast
soundings indicate dry air above 850mb), there remains a low
potential for a rain-snow mix along the Red River Tuesday
afternoon and evening as the top of the layer may be high and cold
enough to support ice nucleation. For areas further south,
including the DFW Metroplex, dry air above 850mb and surface
temperatures above freezing should keep the precipitation type as
a cold rain. We'll continue to monitor trends overnight.
Temperatures will remain cold across North Texas, mostly in the
upper 30s to mid 40s, due to widespread cloud cover. However,
areas south of I-20 and west of I-35, temperatures will warm into
the 50s as skies clear Tuesday afternoon. Otherwise, expect breezy
west to northwest winds as a cold front moves across the region
late Tuesday afternoon and evening.

Garcia

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 231 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020/
/Wednesday and Beyond/

A cold and cloudy Wednesday morning will give way to clearing
skies by afternoon as the upper low opens up and accelerates off
to the east. Winds will slacken by afternoon as the axis of a
surface ridge slides in from the west. Though the sun will make
its presence known during the second half of the day, it should
still remain chilly with highs generally in the 40s. Light winds,
clear skies and dry air will create ideal radiative cooling
conditions for Wednesday night with widespread temperatures in the
20s expected by daybreak Thursday. Make sure to bring in the pets
and sensitive plants and cover any exposed pipes.

Temperatures will begin to recover on Thursday ahead of the next
shortwave trough, as associated lee-side troughing generates
return flow at the surface. The warmest conditions will be across
the southwest third of the region where highs should reach the
lower 60s. The onset of warm air advection will be later in the
period the farther east you go, with highs limited to the lower
and middle 50s across the northeastern zones.

The approaching shortwave is progged to undergo a weakening trend
and become positively tilted as it crosses the Rockies on Friday,
with this trend continuing as in rolls through the Plains Friday
night and Saturday. A swath of light warm/moist advection showers
should develop over Southeast Texas Friday evening and stream
northward into eastern portions of North and Central Texas after
midnight Friday night. The upper level system will be accompanied
by a Pacific cold front, which will sweep through the area late
Friday night and Saturday. The front may enhance the showers
across the east Saturday morning before clearing the southeastern-
most counties by early afternoon. Instability will be all but
non-existent according to the latest round of model guidance, and
will hence keep the weather type as strictly rain showers.
Similarly, QPF is expected to remain light, with rainfall totals
likely remaining below a quarter of an inch.

Dry and seasonable weather is expected for the rest of the weekend
in the wake of the system, with temperatures ranging from lows in
the 30s and 40s to highs in the 50s and 60s. It currently appears
that this trend will continue through the end of the forecast
period as upper ridging builds in from the west, leading to dry
conditions and slightly above-normal temperatures for early next
week.

30

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through around 6-8Z across the region, but poor
flying conditions will prevail for the remainder of the forecast
period. Low level southerly flow will aid in transporting moisture
northward and result in MVFR/IFR ceilings at Waco by 6-7Z and the
Metroplex terminals by 7-8Z. VFR will likely return at Waco by
Tuesday afternoon, but the Metroplex should remain IFR through
Tuesday evening. Ceilings should improve to MVFR after 00Z
Wednesday across the Metroplex, but there is also a low
possibility that the terminals remain IFR beyond the 24-hour
window.

Garcia

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    35  46  34  47  30 /   5  20  20   0   0
Waco                34  52  34  49  29 /   0  10  10   0   0
Paris               31  38  32  43  27 /   0  50  20   0   0
Denton              32  44  28  47  25 /   5  30  20   0   0
McKinney            32  43  31  46  27 /   0  40  20   0   0
Dallas              36  46  34  47  31 /   5  20  10   0   0
Terrell             32  44  33  46  26 /   0  30  10   0   0
Corsicana           36  48  36  47  31 /   0  10  10   0   0
Temple              35  55  32  52  27 /   0   5   5   0   0
Mineral Wells       32  49  30  49  27 /   0  10   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 2:43 PM CST, 9 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
243 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
243 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

A brief mix of rain and snow is possible along the Red River Tuesday,
but no accumulations or impacts are expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Bain

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

5 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Eastland

When
December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Eastland forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.327, -98.832 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions developed in southwest Eastland County and lasted through the end of the month.

Drought, Comanche

When
December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Comanche forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.948, -98.558 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions developed in southwest Comanche County and lasted through the end of the month.

Drought, Hamilton

When
December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hamilton forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.705, -98.111 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions developed in western Hamilton County and lasted through the end of the month.

Drought, Coryell

When
December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Coryell forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.391, -97.799 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions developed across eastern Coryell County and lasted through the end of the month.

Drought, McLennan

When
December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
Where
McLennan forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
31.552, -97.202 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Severe drought conditions developed across western McLennan County and lasted through the end of the month.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, December 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 928667, 928669, 928670, 928672, 928673.