Texas, 2020Drought in Texas, December 15 to 31, 2020
December 15 to 31, 2020 · NWS FWD · 5 events in 5 counties and zones
Severe drought conditions across Central Texas expanded north as the month progressed.
Every event with a place to put it; 5 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Severe drought conditions across Central Texas expanded north as the month progressed.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 14, 6:36 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 14, 6:36 PM CST, 5 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
636 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020
...New Short Term, Aviation...
.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Tuesday Evening/
North and Central Texas remains mostly clear this evening, but
GOES-16 satellite imagery shows our next upper level system
approaching from the west. Low clouds are expected to develop
across Central Texas after midnight and spread toward North Texas
as low level southerly winds increase in response to the approaching
system and attendant surface low. Patchy drizzle may also develop
across portions of Central Texas due to the influx of moisture.
There remains a low potential for patchy freezing drizzle across
portions of the Big Country as temperatures briefly approach
freezing close to daybreak. Low temperatures across this area are
expected to be near 31-32 degrees, which will help limit any
impacts to mostly elevated surfaces should freezing drizzle
develop.
As the upper low and surface low approach Tuesday morning, strong
height falls spreading over North Texas may result in light rain
developing along the Red River. This should spread further across
North and East Texas through the day, with patchy drizzle possible
elsewhere. Although the layer of moisture remains low (forecast
soundings indicate dry air above 850mb), there remains a low
potential for a rain-snow mix along the Red River Tuesday
afternoon and evening as the top of the layer may be high and cold
enough to support ice nucleation. For areas further south,
including the DFW Metroplex, dry air above 850mb and surface
temperatures above freezing should keep the precipitation type as
a cold rain. We'll continue to monitor trends overnight.
Temperatures will remain cold across North Texas, mostly in the
upper 30s to mid 40s, due to widespread cloud cover. However,
areas south of I-20 and west of I-35, temperatures will warm into
the 50s as skies clear Tuesday afternoon. Otherwise, expect breezy
west to northwest winds as a cold front moves across the region
late Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Garcia
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 231 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020/
/Wednesday and Beyond/
A cold and cloudy Wednesday morning will give way to clearing
skies by afternoon as the upper low opens up and accelerates off
to the east. Winds will slacken by afternoon as the axis of a
surface ridge slides in from the west. Though the sun will make
its presence known during the second half of the day, it should
still remain chilly with highs generally in the 40s. Light winds,
clear skies and dry air will create ideal radiative cooling
conditions for Wednesday night with widespread temperatures in the
20s expected by daybreak Thursday. Make sure to bring in the pets
and sensitive plants and cover any exposed pipes.
Temperatures will begin to recover on Thursday ahead of the next
shortwave trough, as associated lee-side troughing generates
return flow at the surface. The warmest conditions will be across
the southwest third of the region where highs should reach the
lower 60s. The onset of warm air advection will be later in the
period the farther east you go, with highs limited to the lower
and middle 50s across the northeastern zones.
The approaching shortwave is progged to undergo a weakening trend
and become positively tilted as it crosses the Rockies on Friday,
with this trend continuing as in rolls through the Plains Friday
night and Saturday. A swath of light warm/moist advection showers
should develop over Southeast Texas Friday evening and stream
northward into eastern portions of North and Central Texas after
midnight Friday night. The upper level system will be accompanied
by a Pacific cold front, which will sweep through the area late
Friday night and Saturday. The front may enhance the showers
across the east Saturday morning before clearing the southeastern-
most counties by early afternoon. Instability will be all but
non-existent according to the latest round of model guidance, and
will hence keep the weather type as strictly rain showers.
Similarly, QPF is expected to remain light, with rainfall totals
likely remaining below a quarter of an inch.
Dry and seasonable weather is expected for the rest of the weekend
in the wake of the system, with temperatures ranging from lows in
the 30s and 40s to highs in the 50s and 60s. It currently appears
that this trend will continue through the end of the forecast
period as upper ridging builds in from the west, leading to dry
conditions and slightly above-normal temperatures for early next
week.
30
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/
VFR will prevail through around 6-8Z across the region, but poor
flying conditions will prevail for the remainder of the forecast
period. Low level southerly flow will aid in transporting moisture
northward and result in MVFR/IFR ceilings at Waco by 6-7Z and the
Metroplex terminals by 7-8Z. VFR will likely return at Waco by
Tuesday afternoon, but the Metroplex should remain IFR through
Tuesday evening. Ceilings should improve to MVFR after 00Z
Wednesday across the Metroplex, but there is also a low
possibility that the terminals remain IFR beyond the 24-hour
window.
Garcia
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth 35 46 34 47 30 / 5 20 20 0 0
Waco 34 52 34 49 29 / 0 10 10 0 0
Paris 31 38 32 43 27 / 0 50 20 0 0
Denton 32 44 28 47 25 / 5 30 20 0 0
McKinney 32 43 31 46 27 / 0 40 20 0 0
Dallas 36 46 34 47 31 / 5 20 10 0 0
Terrell 32 44 33 46 26 / 0 30 10 0 0
Corsicana 36 48 36 47 31 / 0 10 10 0 0
Temple 35 55 32 52 27 / 0 5 5 0 0
Mineral Wells 32 49 30 49 27 / 0 10 5 0 0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 14, 2:43 PM CST, 9 hours 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
243 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
243 PM CST Mon Dec 14 2020
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
A brief mix of rain and snow is possible along the Red River Tuesday,
but no accumulations or impacts are expected.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Bain
Drought, Eastland
- When
- December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Eastland forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 32.327, -98.832 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions developed in southwest Eastland County and lasted through the end of the month.
Drought, Comanche
- When
- December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Comanche forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.948, -98.558 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions developed in southwest Comanche County and lasted through the end of the month.
Drought, Hamilton
- When
- December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Hamilton forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.705, -98.111 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions developed in western Hamilton County and lasted through the end of the month.
Drought, Coryell
- When
- December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- Coryell forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.391, -97.799 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions developed across eastern Coryell County and lasted through the end of the month.
Drought, McLennan
- When
- December 15, 12:00 AM CST to December 31, 11:59 PM CST
- Where
- McLennan forecast zone
- Reported by
- Drought Monitor
- Coordinates
- 31.552, -97.202 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Severe drought conditions developed across western McLennan County and lasted through the end of the month.
- Drought
- A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Drought in Texas, December 15 to 21, 20208 events
- Heavy Snow in Oklahoma, December 15, 20207 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, December 15 to 17, 202066 kt wind · 5 events
- Dense Fog in California, December 15, 20204 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, December 15, 202066 kt wind · 1 event
- High Wind in Montana, December 15, 202055 kt wind · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 928667, 928669, 928670, 928672, 928673.