Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 26, 2020

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
401 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
The western periphery of high pressure will extend back into the
Ohio Valley through Wednesday. Weak low pressure enters from
the Carolinas on Wednesday and moves north along the
Appalachians on Wednesday night into Thursday. A cold front
crosses the area on Friday. High pressure enters the Great
Lakes region for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
A couple showers and thunderstorms have developed over western
Ohio and will persist for the next couple of hours before
diminishing with the loss of diurnal heating. Any storms will
remain sub-severe with lack of shear over the region. Diurnal
cumulus over the region should also follow suit and persistence
seems to be the forecast for tonight with lows in the mid to
upper 60s over the forecast area.

The upper high moves east on Wednesday and some better flow from
the south allows for more moisture to enter the region, allowing
for better cloud cover. Warm temperatures (remaining in the mid
to upper 80s) and continued high instability over the region
will allow for some more isolated/scattered, diurnally-driven
showers and storms over NW Ohio but limited elsewhere. Low
pressure enters from the south on Wednesday night, bringing more
widespread clouds and rain chances late in the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A fairly active short term period expected across the region as a
closed upper low fills over the mid Mississippi valley into the
lower Ohio valley. Good moisture return expected from the Gulf and
Mid Atlantic regions will allow for periodic shower/thunderstorms
chances Thursday into Friday. The pattern becomes more progressive
Friday and Friday night as a potent shortwave trough slides
southeast from the Northern Tier through the Great Lakes, forcing a
cold front southeast across the region. The front will clear the
area to the east Friday night, with high pressure building into the
region from the west bringing drying conditions. Highs in the low
80s Thursday will follow with highs in the mid 70s to near 80
Friday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A cooler and more quiet long term period on tap as a large area of
high pressure slowly builds southeast across the region through the
period. Dry conditions are expected during this time, with no
significant precipitation potential across the region until Tuesday
at the earliest. Highs will only reach the mid to upper 60s over the
weekend, with normal temperatures Monday and a return to above
normal temperatures likely midweek.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Tuesday THROUGH Sunday/...
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are developing in the
southwestern part of the area and will dissipate by this evening,
but VFR conditions will remain at most locations for the remainder
of the day. Only have a vicinity thunder mention at KFDY for a
few hours this afternoon for this convection.

Scattered cumulus field will develop on Wednesday afternoon and
isolated showers or thunderstorms are possible in western Ohio
on Wednesday afternoon, but VFR conditions are expected. Winds
will be southeasterly at inland terminals, but both KCLE and
KERI will have a few hours of northeasterly winds this
afternoon, with winds becoming southeasterly after sunset. A
lake breeze will produce a northeasterly wind shift at KCLE and
KERI on Wednesday afternoon.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible with scattered thunderstorms on Thursday.
More widespread thunderstorms and non-VFR possible Friday with a
cold front.

&&

.MARINE...
A quiet few days on the lake as high pressure remains in control
across the region. Southerly winds developing across the lake
tonight will become easterly Wednesday, with some potential for
minor lakeshore flooding across the western basin. Winds will become
southerly again late Thursday and Thursday night as a cold front
approaches the lake from the west. The front will cross the lake
late Friday and Friday night with winds becoming northerly Saturday
and Sunday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Sefcovic
NEAR TERM...Sefcovic
SHORT TERM...Greenawalt
LONG TERM...Greenawalt
AVIATION...Maines/Sefcovic
MARINE...Greenawalt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
407 AM EDT Tue May 26 2020

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-
089-PAZ001>003-270815-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-Lucas-Wood-
Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-
Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wyandot-Crawford-
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
407 AM EDT Tue May 26 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Lake Erie, eastern
Lake Erie, western Lake Erie, north central Ohio, northeast Ohio,
northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
230 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

OHZ006-008-018-261915-
Seneca-Wood-Sandusky-
230 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN SENECA...SOUTHWESTERN
SANDUSKY AND SOUTHEASTERN WOOD COUNTIES...

At 230 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near New Riegel, or
near Tiffin, moving north at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Tiffin, Fostoria, New Riegel, Wayne, Bettsville, Risingsun, Helena,
West Millgrove, Burgoon, Bascom and Kansas.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4136 8323 4105 8316 4099 8338 4100 8339
      4104 8342 4116 8342 4117 8350 4128 8357
TIME...MOT...LOC 1830Z 162DEG 17KT 4110 8331

Sefcovic

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
313 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

OHZ017-018-027-262000-
Seneca-Wyandot-Hancock-
313 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN SENECA...
NORTHWESTERN WYANDOT AND SOUTHEASTERN HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 313 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Upper Sandusky,
moving northwest at 10 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Upper Sandusky, Vanlue, New Riegel, Carey, Wharton and Kirby.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4083 8320 4076 8342 4095 8359 4105 8347
      4108 8328
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 157DEG 10KT 4086 8336

Sefcovic

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
407 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

OHZ017-262030-
Hancock-
407 PM EDT Tue May 26 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN HANCOCK COUNTY...

At 407 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Findlay, moving
northwest at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Findlay, North Baltimore, McComb, Van Buren, Benton Ridge and Jenera.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

LAT...LON 4117 8373 4117 8365 4101 8353 4090 8372
      4108 8389 4110 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 143DEG 25KT 4102 8369

Oudeman