Afternoon thunderstorms developed once again across the area. While shear remained too weak for organization, sufficient instability was in place for a few storms to pulse to strong or marginally severe.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS IWX wrote it up.
Afternoon thunderstorms developed once again across the area. While shear remained too weak for organization, sufficient instability was in place for a few storms to pulse to strong or marginally severe. The primary hazard with storms was locally heavy rain, torrential at times, and strong wind gusts. There were also isolated reports of hail.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 2:49 PM EST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 349 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 1258 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Hot and humid conditions will persist through Thursday with lows near 70 degrees and highs in the low to mid 90s. Afternoon heat indices will be in the mid to upper 90s, with some locations reaching near 100 degrees Wednesday and Thursday. There is a chance for isolated afternoon thunderstorms each day otherwise. && .SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday) Issued at 236 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Afternoon thunderstorms have developed once again across the area. While shear remains too weak for organization, sufficient instability is in place for a storm to pulse to strong or marginally severe. The primary hazard with storms will be locally heavy rain, torrential at times, and strong wind gusts. Hail is also possible with the stronger cores, but should remain below 1 inch. These storms should diminish around sunset, and we should remain dry through the remainder of the overnight hours. Another round of patchy ground fog is possible around sunrise Wednesday. Another hot day expected once again on. Afternoon deep mixing continues to vex model guidance as much drier air aloft is keeping surface dewpoints lower during the heat of the day. With that being said, pockets of higher dewpoints in the afternoon could allow for spotty heat index values to rise near 100 degree mark, but higher confidence is with widespread heat index values in the mid to upper 90s. Agree with previously issued SPS and discussion focusing the highest values east of Interstate 69. Given the higher confidence with widespread mid/upper 90s will continue the SPS for heat concerns for Wednesday. && .LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday) Issued at 236 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 The hot weather continues on Thursday with afternoon heat index values increasing again into the mid to upper 90s with spotty locations reaching 100 degrees; especially east of Interstate 69. Outdoor activities should continue to be limited. Diurnally driven convection is expected once again. As has been the case, shear will be limited and storms will primarily be of the pulse variety. A few strong to marginally severe storms can't be ruled out. Late Thursday night through Friday will see an upper trough progress eastwards across the central Plains and into the western Great Lakes/western Ohio River Valley. This will hold our best chance in the forecast to see widespread rainfall. Models are in fair agreement with the timing of the trough passage, but there remains some differences in regards to the departure of the trough and by association POPs. Have continued the trend of leaning towards the ECMWF which lingers POPs into Friday night. The increase cloud coverage and precipitation will allow for some of the cooler weather we've seen in a week. Saturday into next week, continues to see differences in model solutions. The ECMWF remains the drier solutions with the GFS being the wetter solution. One notable difference with the 12z run of the GFS is a trend towards the ECMWF concerning a trough evolution over the weekend. Previous runs showed this trough cutting off over the eastern Ohio River Valley and remaining there well into next week. The most recent run has not cut the low off as much and shifted the track further south and west with this passage on Saturday. The new evolution allows for the western ridge to work back over the forecast area to keep us drier. Expect refinements going forward. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon) Issued at 1258 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 Mainly VFR with light winds through the TAF cycle. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms could impact the terminals this afternoon, with some potential for shallow BR formation toward daybreak tomorrow at mainly KFWA. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...NONE. MI...NONE. OH...NONE. LM...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...Steinwedel SHORT TERM...CM LONG TERM...CM AVIATION...Steinwedel Visit us at www.weather.gov/iwx Follow us on Facebook...Twitter...and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSNorthernIndiana www.twitter.com/nwsiwx www.youtube.com/NWSNorthernIndiana
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Northern Indiana 350 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-082000- La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke- Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN- Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien- Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance- Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- 350 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 /250 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest Michigan and northwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Heat index values have climbed into the mid to upper 90s across the forecast area this afternoon. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected through the early evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Maximum afternoon heat index values will reach into the mid to upper 90s Wednesday and Thursday, with some spotty locations possibly reaching 100 degrees. On Friday, heat indices along and south of US 24 will remain in the mid-90s, while the remainder of the area will only reach into the low 90s. Each afternoon will hold a chance for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday. Better chances for widespread thunderstorms are possible late Thursday night through Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. LMZ043-046-082000- New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI- 350 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of southeastern Lake Michigan. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. There are low chances for showers and thunderstorms Thursday into Friday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 349 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004- 005-015-016-024-025-081215- La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb- Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN- White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford- Jay-Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams- Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend, Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee, Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake, Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Rochester, Akron, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Niles, Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, Fair Plain, Benton Heights, Buchanan, Paw Paw Lake, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Marcellus, Sturgis, Three Rivers, White Pigeon, Mendon, Coldwater, Bronson, Hillsdale, Jonesville, Litchfield, Bryan, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 349 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 /249 PM CDT Tue Jul 7 2020/ ...Heat Index Values Reaching into the Mid to Upper 90s This Week... Maximum heat index values Wednesday and Thursday will be in the mid to upper 90s. A few spotty locations could see heat index values rise to near the 100 degree mark; especially east of Interstate 69. Practice heat safety this week. Limit outdoor activities if possible, particularly anything strenuous. If you plan to be outside, take frequent breaks in an air conditioned location and drink a lot of water. If driving, when you park don't forget to look before you lock: never leave children or pets unattended in a vehicle. Each year, dozens of children and untold numbers of pets left in vehicles die from overheating.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
403 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
INZ012-014-072100-
Marshall-Starke-
403 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN STARKE AND NORTHERN
MARSHALL COUNTIES...
At 402 PM EDT/302 PM CDT/, a strong thunderstorm was located over
Koontz Lake, or 7 miles northwest of Plymouth, moving east at 20 mph.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm. Brief torrential rainfall is also expected.
Locations impacted include...
Plymouth, Bremen, Walkerton, Hamlet, Koontz Lake, La Paz, Teegarden,
Donaldson, Linkville, Lake Of The Woods, Tyner and Grovertown.
Seek shelter until these storms pass.
&&
LAT...LON 4143 8658 4143 8647 4147 8647 4148 8623
4148 8606 4133 8606 4130 8658
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 264DEG 22KT 4140 8645
HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH
MARSILISpecial Weather Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 428 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 OHZ024-072100- Van Wert- 428 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL VAN WERT COUNTY... At 427 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Van Wert, moving northeast at 10 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Van Wert, Ohio City, Middle Point, Scott and Cavett. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Seek shelter until this storm passes. && LAT...LON 4077 8463 4084 8474 4099 8459 4088 8435 TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 226DEG 9KT 4085 8461 HAIL...0.50IN WIND...40MPH MARSILI
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
436 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
INZ004-005-014-016-072130-
Kosciusko-St. Joseph-Marshall-Elkhart-
436 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN ELKHART...
SOUTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH...NORTHWESTERN KOSCIUSKO AND NORTHEASTERN
MARSHALL COUNTIES...
At 435 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Lakeville to near Bremen to near
Argos. Movement was east at 15 mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail are possible with these
storms.
Locations impacted include...
Plymouth, Nappanee, Bremen, Bourbon, Locke, Etna Green, La Paz,
Inwood, Linkville and Lake Of The Woods.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Seek shelter until these storms pass.
&&
LAT...LON 4152 8597 4137 8594 4128 8595 4128 8634
4137 8634 4151 8636
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 275DEG 12KT 4150 8625 4138 8620 4129 8625
HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...50MPH
MARSILISpecial Weather Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 450 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 OHZ015-016-024-025-072145- Allen-Putnam-Van Wert-Paulding- 450 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN PUTNAM... SOUTHEASTERN PAULDING...NORTHEASTERN VAN WERT AND WEST CENTRAL ALLEN COUNTIES... At 450 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Continental to near Ohio City. Movement was east at 15 mph. Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these storms. Locations impacted include... Van Wert, Delphos, Kalida, Continental, Ottoville, Ohio City, Oakwood, Middle Point, Fort Jennings, Grover Hill, Dupont, Melrose, Cloverdale, Miller City, Venedocia, Rushmore, Jonestown, Rimer, Wisterman and Wetzel. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Seek shelter until these storms pass. && LAT...LON 4116 8402 4076 8426 4077 8464 4114 8441 TIME...MOT...LOC 2050Z 269DEG 13KT 4116 8432 4080 8454 HAIL...0.25IN WIND...40MPH MARSILI
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
453 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
INZ004-005-072130-
St. Joseph-Elkhart-
453 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ELKHART AND
NORTHEASTERN ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES...
At 453 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Mishawaka. The
storm is nearly stationary.
Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
South Bend, Elkhart, Mishawaka, Georgetown, Granger, Simonton Lake,
Osceola, Roseland, Indian Village and Jimtown.
This includes Interstate 80 in Indiana between mile markers 77 and
91.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Seek shelter until this storm passes.
&&
LAT...LON 4158 8595 4160 8623 4173 8625 4176 8604
4176 8598
TIME...MOT...LOC 2053Z 245DEG 4KT 4166 8615
HAIL...0.50IN
WIND...40MPH
MARSILIThe Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 114 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:02 UTC.
2 hail, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Tree down but some rot observed. Tin roof from a barn blown off.
Spotter reported 1 inch hail and measured 51 MPH wind.
EM reported penny sized hail and 40 MPH winds.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, July 2020
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 908501, 908499, 908500.