Tornadoes and Hail in Minnesota, July 18, 2020

Name: Tornadoes and Hail in Minnesota, July 18, 2020
Start: 2020-07-18T16:50
End: 2020-07-18T21:00
Location: Minnesota

July 18, 2020 · NWS MPX · 12 events in 2 counties and zones

A cold front moved southeast across eastern Minnesota, and western Wisconsin during the late afternoon, and evening of Saturday, July 18th. Along this front, a line of severe thunderstorms develop which initially was producing large hail, but became tornadic during the evening in parts of the eastern Twin Cities metro area.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 0
Injuries: 0
Property damage: $100,000
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 12

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MPX wrote it up.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 18, 4:34 PM CST, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 4:34 PM CST, 16 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
534 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

.UPDATE...For 00Z Aviation discussion below

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

Steamy conditions are found across much of southern Minnesota
this afternoon in the warm sector ahead of the approaching
front. Said front, along with a residual outflow boundary from
nocturnal convection, are expected to be the foci for strong to
severe thunderstorm redevelopment in the next few hours. Given
mid/upper 70s dewpoints in the warm sector, which are contributing
to MLCAPES circa 4500-5000 J/kg over west central MN, combined
with effective shear values around 45 knots, supercellular storm
modes are expected at onset. This will mean storms will be capable
of damaging winds and very large hail, given steep H7-H5 lapse
rates of 8.5 C/km. The greatest potential for tornadoes will be
along the boundary. As the event evolves this evening, activity
will likely congeal into an line of storms with continuing
damaging wind potential. There is still some uncertainty with
convective evolution over east central Minnesota, but at this
point the SPC Enhanced Risk area looks to be the favored area for
the storms to track between 23Z and 03Z.

The shortwave trough ejecting eastward from the Dakotas will help
to push the boundaries/convection east tonight, yielding a dry
forecast for Sunday with some reprieve from the humidity. Expect
high temps on Sunday from 80-85 degrees with dewpoints mixing into
the 55-60 degree range during the afternoon under a relatively
brisk northwest wind.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

Semi-zonal flow continues through much of the upcoming week, with
the latter portion featuring a building mid-level ridge as a trough
dips into the Pacific Northwest. This will yield near-normal
temperatures through mid-week, moderating to around 10 degrees above
normal from Thursday into the weekend as the ridge builds.
Precipitation chances will be tied to shortwaves traversing the
progressive flow, which right now look to arrive on Monday and
Tuesday and Thursday through Friday. At this point the NBM-
generated POPS of 30-40 percent during those time frames looked
sufficient.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 535 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

Expect shower and thunderstorms to become more widespread across
east central MN into west central WI early this evening. Primary
sites expected to be impacted are KMSP-KRNH-KEAU. Ceilings/visibility
will dip into the MVFR category with storms, with the potential
for strong winds and large hail as well. South/southwest winds
shift to the west/northwest with the frontal passage. Gusts in the
20-25 knot range develop by Sunday afternoon.

KMSP...Still expecting showers/thunderstorms to become more
widespread near the site between 00Z and 03Z. Wind gusts to around
40 knots and large hail are potential threats.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Mon...VFR. WSW wind 5 kts.
Tue...VFR. Chc TSRA/MVFR. SSE wind 5-10 kts.
Wed...VFR. SW wind 5 kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for Chippewa-Dunn-Eau
     Claire-Pepin-Pierce-St. Croix.

MN...Excessive Heat Warning until 9 PM CDT this evening for Anoka-
     Blue Earth-Brown-Carver-Dakota-Hennepin-Le Sueur-Martin-
     McLeod-Nicollet-Ramsey-Redwood-Renville-Rice-Scott-Sibley-
     Waseca-Washington-Watonwan-Wright.

     Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening for Chippewa-Chisago-
     Faribault-Freeborn-Goodhue-Isanti-Kandiyohi-Lac Qui Parle-
     Meeker-Sherburne-Steele-Yellow Medicine.

&&

SHORT TERM...LS
LONG TERM...LS
AVIATION...LS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 11:50 AM CST, 5 hours before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1250 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
191800-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
1250 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota...and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Strong thunderstorms are expected to develop again this afternoon
into the evening. There is an Enhanced Risk of severe storms for
much of west central and central Minnesota into far west central
Wisconsin, with a Slight Risk of severe storms across the
remainder of the outlook area. The greatest severe risks are very
large hail and strong wind gusts, with a small risk of a tornado
as well. Heavy rainfall will also accompany the stronger storms.

Heat indices this afternoon will top out from 100 to 110 degrees
across much of central and southern Minnesota and west central
Wisconsin.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There are occasional chances for thunderstorms Monday night
through Friday. The threat for severe weather next week is low at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon
and evening.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 18, 12:34 PM CST, 4 hours 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
134 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 AM     TSTM WND DMG     HANCOCK                 45.50N 95.79W
07/18/2020                   STEVENS            MN   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL 6-8 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

CEO

Local storm report, Jul 18, 1:01 PM CST, 3 hours 49 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
201 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     TSTM WND DMG     JORDAN                  44.68N 93.63W
07/18/2020                   SCOTT              MN   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN OVER A HOME PORCH IN NEAR
            NORTH NEIGHBORHOOD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

ETA

Local storm report, Jul 18, 3:58 PM CST, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
458 PM CDT SAT JUL 18 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             1 NW ROGERS             45.21N 93.57W
07/18/2020  M0.70 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TDH

Special weather statement, Jul 18, 4:00 PM CST, 50 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
500 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

MNZ051-059>061-182230-
Anoka-Hennepin-Sherburne-Wright-
500 PM CDT Sat Jul 18 2020

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT...NORTH
CENTRAL HENNEPIN...NORTHERN ANOKA AND SOUTHEASTERN SHERBURNE
COUNTIES...

At 459 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Rogers, or 17
miles east of Buffalo, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Dime size hail is possible with this storm.

This storm will be near...
  Champlin around 505 PM CDT.
  Ramsey and Anoka around 510 PM CDT.
  Andover around 515 PM CDT.
  Ham Lake around 525 PM CDT.
  East Bethel around 530 PM CDT.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4541 9302 4515 9347 4521 9368 4542 9348
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 225DEG 27KT 4522 9352

BORGHOFF

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 51 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

9 hail, 2 tornado, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Anoka

When: July 18, 4:50 PM CST
Where: Anoka County, 1.47 mi NNW of Ham Lake
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Social Media
Coordinates: 45.250, -93.240

Thunderstorm Wind, Anoka

When: July 18, 4:55 PM CST
Where: Anoka County, 1.38 mi N of Lexington
Measured: 63 kt (72 mph) estimated gust
Reported by: NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates: 45.150, -93.250

A large tree and two large branches were blown down near the intersection of 99th Avenue NE and Polk St NE, a few blocks east of Cloverleaf Park. Damage was much too scant to make any determination beyond thunderstorm wind damage.

Hail, Anoka

When: July 18, 5:00 PM CST
Where: Anoka County, 1.19 mi NE of Blaine
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Social Media
Coordinates: 45.190, -93.200

Hail, Anoka

When: July 18, 5:10 PM CST
Where: Anoka County, Columbus
Measured: 0.88 in hail
Reported by: Social Media
Coordinates: 45.270, -93.050

Hail, Washington

When: July 18, 5:12 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 0.69 mi S of Forest Lake
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Law Enforcement
Coordinates: 45.270, -92.980

Hail, Anoka

When: July 18, 5:18 PM CST
Where: Anoka County, 2.81 mi S of Columbus
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 45.230, -93.040

Hail, Washington

When: July 18, 5:20 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 2.29 mi SSW of Forest Lake
Measured: 1 in hail
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 45.250, -93.000

Hail, Washington

When: July 18, 5:23 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 0.84 mi SW of Forest Lake
Measured: 2 in hail
Reported by: Storm Chaser
Coordinates: 45.270, -92.990

Hail, Washington

When: July 18, 5:35 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 1.69 mi SE of Scandia
Measured: 1.5 in hail
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 45.230, -92.800

Hail, Washington

When: July 18, 5:35 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 2.8 mi WSW of Scandia
Measured: 2 in hail
Reported by: Public
Coordinates: 45.230, -92.870

Tornado, Washington

When: July 18, 8:42 PM CST to 8:51 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 2.34 mi SE of Woodbury to 3.94 mi W of Afton
Rating: EF0
Path length: 2.85 mi
Path width: 180 yd
Reported by: NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates: 44.881, -92.910

A tornado damaged about one dozen trees, soffit was ripped off a house, a semi was tipped over, and about six greenhouse hoops were damaged.

Tornado, Washington

When: July 18, 8:54 PM CST to 9:00 PM CST
Where: Washington County, 1.91 mi ESE of Cottage Grove to 4.79 mi NNE of Point Douglas
Rating: EF1
Path length: 3.23 mi
Path width: 400 yd
Continued into: Pierce, Wi (MPX)
Property damage: $100,000
Reported by: NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates: 44.817, -92.846

A NWS Storm Survey indicated that an EF1 tornado occurred in far southern Washington County, in a rural area, north of Hastings, Minnesota.

The tornado spun up 5 miles north of Hastings, Minnesota, and tracked eastward for 3.2 miles until it moved across the St. Croix River, and into Wisconsin. Extensive tree damage occurred along its path, with the heaviest damage on top of the bluff as it moved across the St. Croix River into Wisconsin. A few farm outbuildings were also damaged. The tornado had a maximum speed of 100 mph, with a maximum width of 400 yards.

What these are

Hail: Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
Thunderstorm Wind: Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Tornado: A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Minnesota in 2020 Every state in 2020 This day in weather history The tornado archive for Minnesota, 2020 Warnings in Minnesota, July 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 895301, 895510, 895302, 895303, 895304, 895305, 895306, 895307, 895308, 895309, 898028, 895489.