Alaska, 2020

Cold in Alaska, February 12 to 14, 2020

February 12 to 14, 2020 · NWS AFG · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

A strong pressure gradient produced low wind chills across the Eastern North Slope on the 12th to the 14th of February 2020.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFG wrote it up.

A strong pressure gradient produced low wind chills across the Eastern North Slope on the 12th to the 14th of February 2020.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 11, 2:46 PM AKST, 9 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 2:46 PM AKST, 9 hours 14 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
246 PM AKST Tue Feb 11 2020

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will continue to be the dominant
feature across northern Alaska through the rest of the week. So, cold
temperatures and dangerously cold wind chills are expected.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
In general, models initialized well through Thursday. Model winds
were a little weak over the west coast compared to observations,
so nudged winds a little above model guidance in the short term
across west coast areas.

Aloft, at 500 mb, an area of low pressure persists over the
eastern Beaufort Sea coast and extends northeast across
Demarcation Point. This low will rotate in place over the next
couple of days before breaking off and moving southwest over the
remainder of the Beaufort Sea coast and into the North Slope
Thursday and Friday. A ridge over the western coast of Alaska will
move eastward across central and Interior AK tonight and Wed. A
low moving along the Aleutians and into the Gulf of Alaska will
temporarily undercut the ridge, and the far southeastern Interior
may see some accumulating snowfall under this latter feature.
While there is still model variance regarding how cold the airmass
is, H850 temperatures are at least in the teens to 20s below with
some model guidance dropping into the low 30s below through the
week.

Interior: Very cold temperatures are expected throughout the week
and into the weekend, but the struggle with the temperature
forecast due to intermittent cloud cover will continue,
especially over the weekend. Currently, skies are clear across
nearly the entirely of Interior AK, but clouds will increase
across the southeastern Interior tonight. As a low moves into the
Gulf of Alaska tonight, the pressure gradient will tighten, and
wind chills will be a concern through Wed night, especially over
summits. Wind the cold temperatures and breezy conditions at
times, wind chill advisories are in place tonight through Wed
night for zones 218, 219, 220, and 221. Late tonight/Wednesday, an
area of low pressure will set up over the far eastern Interior,
and some accumulating snow is expected south and east of
Fairbanks. While most model consensus keeps the snow out of
Fairbanks, the boundary will be close enough that a flurry isn't
out of the question, although this is more likely southeast of
town. Although Fairbanks probably will see some cloud cover
overnight, the current thinking is that temperatures will once
again drop into the 20s and 30s below, especially as high pressure
quickly replaces the low on Thu. This high pressure will persist
into the weekend with possibly another weak low developing along
the Alcan border Friday night.

North Slope and Brooks Range: Temperatures in the 20s and 30s
below or colder will persist through the weekend. High pressure
will prevail through the majority of the week, the exception being
Thu as a weakening low moves onshore west of Prudhoe Bay. The low
will dissipate by Thu evening and high pressure once again will
replace it. Clouds and some snow showers are possible along the
eastern Beaufort Sea coast with this system. Otherwise, winds will
diminish through the overnight hours tonight, so the winds are not
expected to be strong enough to maintain wind chill warning and
advisory criteria beyond 6 AM. However, temperatures will still be
extremely cold through the weekend. Along the Chukchi Sea coast,
northeasterly winds will increase Thu night, persisting into Sat.

West Coast: Very cold wind chills will occur tonight from the
Chukchi Sea coast south. Wind chill advisories are or will be in
effect for zones 207, 211, 212, 213, and 215. Late Wednesday,
winds diminish so wind chill values should become less severe.
Very cold temperatures will persist into the weekend with
temperatures dropping into the teens and 20s below each night.
With winds expected to increase again Friday, may need more wind
chill headlines Friday and into the weekend.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ204-AKZ207-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-
AKZ215-AKZ218-AKZ219-AKZ220-AKZ221.

Wind Chill Warning for AKZ203.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210.
&&

FEB 20

Event by event

2 cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Cold/Wind Chill, Central Beaufort Sea Coast

When
February 12, 12:00 AM AKST to 12:00 PM AKST
Where
Central Beaufort Sea Coast forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Low wind chills were observed at the Deadhorse ASOS. Winds of 15 mph or greater and cold temperatures produced wind chills of 67 below or colder at Deadhorse.

Cold/Wind Chill, Western Arctic Coast

When
February 14, 12:00 AM AKST to 3:00 PM AKST
Where
Western Arctic Coast forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS

Low wind chills were observed at the Point Lay AWOS. Winds of 15 mph or greater and cold temperatures produced wind chills of 65 below or colder at Point Lay.

What these are

Cold/Wind Chill
Cold or wind chill below warning criteria that caused deaths, injuries or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2020Every state in 2020This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2020

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 878712, 878714.