A severe to extreme drought continues to impact a large part of West Central Texas for the month of September. Continued well below normal rainfall amounts and well above normal temperatures resulted in this drought.
Every event with a place to put it; 18 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
A severe to extreme drought continues to impact a large part of West Central Texas for the month of September. Continued well below normal rainfall amounts and well above normal temperatures resulted in this drought.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 31, 11:34 PM CST, 26 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1234 AM CDT Sun Sep 1 2019 .AVIATION... /06Z TAFS/ Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms possible late morning and afternoon mainly south of an Ozona...San Angelo...Brownwood line. Have VCTS mentioned at KBBD, KJCT and KSOA. Light winds overnight will become east 5 to 8 KTS late morning. Brief IFR visibilities in heavy rain if a storm impacts a terminal. VFR otherwise. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 651 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2019/ AVIATION... /00Z TAFS/ Scattered showers and thunderstorms have mostly dissipated across West Central Texas this evening. Expect VFR conditions to prevail for the remainder of the evening and overnight. There is a possibility of additional showers and thunderstorms developing Sunday morning and afternoon mainly across the southern half of the area. Confidence on timing/coverage is low but have inserted a VCTS in the KBBD and KJCT where showers/storms are most likely. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2019/ SHORT TERM... (Tonight and Sunday) As of 2 pm today, other than a few isolated light showers/sprinkles, fair weather was occurring across West Central Texas, according to radar and satellite imagery. However, hi-res models indicate that some showers/storms will probably develop later this afternoon, mainly over the Heartland and Northwest Hill Country regions. Any storms should dissipate by early evening as the atmosphere stabilizes. Overnight lows tonight are forecast to be in the low 70s. Models indicate an upper level disturbance moving through the region early Sunday morning through Sunday afternoon, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to mainly the southern half of the forecast area (south of I-20), with highest chances in the Northern Edwards Plateau. Lowered high temperatures for tomorrow, particularly in the southern counties, due to the expected increase in cloud cover and potential rainy conditions. Forecast shows highs in the upper 80s/low 90s in the I-10 corridor, low to mid 90s in the Concho Valley/Heartland, and mid 90s in the Big Country. LONG TERM... (Sunday Night through Saturday) An upper level high is expected to be our dominant weather feature through the week. The high will be centered over the Four Corners region early in the week, shifting southeast to the Texas Panhandle Wednesday and Thursday. Little change in our temperatures is expected, with the daily highs in the mid and upper 90s. With the airmass becoming a little drier, light winds at night should allow temperatures to drop into the upper 60s to lower 70s for overnight lows. The high is progged to become recentered over the southwestern part of the country by next weekend. The 12Z ECMWF still has the high close enough to our area to maintain a dry scenario. The GFS has weak northerly flow aloft, and has a shortwave trough moving southeast across Oklahoma and parts of North Texas Saturday night. With this setup, the GFS has a cold front moving into our area from the north by Saturday night, and indicates a possibility of showers and thunderstorms with the front. Given the model differences at the end of the forecast, leaning toward persistence at this time and not introducing rain chances in the forecast yet. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 94 71 94 72 / 10 0 0 0 San Angelo 93 69 96 70 / 30 5 5 0 Junction 90 69 94 70 / 40 5 5 0 Brownwood 92 69 94 70 / 20 5 0 0 Sweetwater 93 71 95 71 / 10 5 0 0 Ozona 91 68 94 68 / 40 5 5 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 99/99/04
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service San Angelo TX 213 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2019 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-011915- Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho- Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford- Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble- Mason- 213 PM CDT Sat Aug 31 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and early evening. The main hazards will be deadly lightning and strong downburst winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Scattered thunderstorms will be possible Sunday morning and afternoon, mainly south of interstate 20. The main hazards will be deadly lightning, locally heavy rain and strong downburst winds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
18 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Most of Jones County was in an Extreme Drought.
Most of Taylor County was in an Extreme Drought.
Most of Runnels County was in an Extreme Drought.
A large part of Tom Green County was in an Extreme Drought.
The northwest half of Concho County was in an Extreme Drought, while the southeast half was in a severe drought.
The west part of Shackelford County was in an Extreme Drought, while the rest of the county was in a severe drought.
Most of Haskell County was in a Severe Drought.
Most of McCulloch County was in a Severe Drought.
The northwest half of Menard County was in a Severe Drought.
Most of Schleicher County was in a Severe Drought, while the northernmost part of the county was in an extreme drought.
The eastern part of Irion County was in a Severe Drought.
The eastern part of Coke County was in a Severe and Extreme Drought.
The eastern part of Nolan County was in a Severe Drought.
The eastern part of Fisher County was in a Severe Drought.
The western and southern parts of Throckmorton County were in a Severe Drought.
The northwest corner of Callahan County was in an Extreme Drought, while a large part of the remainder of the county was in a Severe Drought.
A large part of Coleman County was in a Severe Drought.
A small part of central and southwest Brown County were in a Severe Drought.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 856481, 856482, 856483, 856484, 856485, 856486, 856487, 856488, 856489, 856490, 856491, 856492, 856493, 856494, 856495, 856496, 856497, 856498.