Isolated thunderstorms brought 2 to 3 inches of rain and caused localized flooding in parts of Ellis County on June 5.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.
Isolated thunderstorms brought 2 to 3 inches of rain and caused localized flooding in parts of Ellis County on June 5.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 5, 6:12 AM CST, 2 hours 18 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 712 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019 .AVIATION... /12Z TAFs/ A deep tropical moisture plume extends roughly along and east of a DFW-ACT line, and is where scattered showers will continue to stream northward this morning. Precipitation is being accompanied by MVFR CIGS in the Metroplex and IFR at KACT. Embedded thunderstorms will be possible at KACT in a few hours as a surge of 2.25" PWATs approaches from the southeast. The deepest moisture should remain confined to areas generally south and east of the Waco area. At this time, it looks like thunder will hold off in the Metroplex until this afternoon following several hours of modest surface heating, and VCTS will continue to begin at 20Z. That said, an isolated lightning strike is possible between now and then. A lull in precipitation is expected this evening, followed by the approach of an MCS from the west overnight tonight. This complex may be in a weakening stage as it approaches area TAF sites, but should hold together long enough to warrant VCTS around 09Z Thursday. Conditions should remain dry during the day Thursday in the wake of the morning convective complex, followed by additional thunderstorm development Thursday evening as the upper low moves overhead. 30 && .SHORT TERM... /Issued 350 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019/ /Today and Tonight/ The upper level pattern is currently characterized by a ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and an upper low over the Four-Corners. The resulting flow aloft is sending abundant Gulf moisture northward across Central and Southeast Texas. The leading edge of 2+ inch PWATs has already reached a Hearne-Palestine line, and should include just about all areas along and east of the I-35 corridor by this afternoon. This is roughly where the highest POPs will be located for today and is depicted somewhat consistently between model guidance. That said, the better forcing associated with the approaching upper low will be located west of I-35, so decent chances of thunderstorms will occur across the western zones as well (where PWATs will be between 1.5 and 2 inches). RADAR mosaic and satellite data indicate that the deepest fetch of tropical moisture extends from the Houston area southward into the northwest Gulf. Showers and embedded thunderstorms near the moisture plume will continue to stream northward, which means that precipitation should be on the increase across the region as activity moves in from the south this morning. Precipitation is mostly showers at the moment, but embedded thunderstorms will likely get going by daybreak as is common in this type of environment. Coverage may initially be highest south of I-20 and east of I-35, but will expand northward later this morning and this afternoon as surface heating adds to overall instability. Severe weather will be unlikely in this environment, but heavy rain and localized flash flooding is the higher concern beneath the stronger storms. Farther west, better instability and stronger forcing for ascent will exist, which may lead to more explosive convective development with more frequent lightning. An isolated severe storm with hail and a damaging downburst wind gust cannot be ruled out, primarily west of Highway 281. Development will likely begin over the next few hours similar to yesterday morning, and coverage may actually peak mid to late morning, before decreasing some this afternoon as the atmosphere becomes worked-over. For this evening, coverage of showers and storms will likely decrease and become more focused both southeast of the area near the center of a tropical disturbance, and west of the area near the upper low. Storms to the west will encroach on the western portion of the forecast area late this evening, and may very well develop upscale into an MCS while entering the CWA overnight. Gusty winds associated with outflow will be the primary concern with this activity, generally north of I-20 and west of I-35. Storms should be weakening as they approach the I-35 corridor around daybreak Thursday. 30 && .LONG TERM... /Issued 350 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019/ /Thursday Through Tuesday/ Thursday Through Friday morning will continue to be active in terms of showers and thunderstorms, though more geared to a threat for severe weather versus flooding. The Western U.S. upper low will be lifting east over the Central and Southern High Plains, which includes the South Plains and TX/OK Panhandles Thursday morning. This will begin to push the more widespread tropical moisture (remnants from tropical low pressure off the Lower TX Coast) off to the east toward the Ozarks and Lower Mississippi /Tennessee Valleys as the day progresses. Still, moisture values will remain above climatological normals with pockets of heavy rainfall possible with any scattered showers and storms that develop. As our upper low tracks eastward across OK into AR Thursday afternoon and night, spokes of shortwave energy and lift will rotate around the southern periphery of this feature with breaks of sunshine and higher than normal surface dew point temperatures in the mid-upper 60s west to 70-75 degrees east lending to some very impressive instability during the afternoon and evening hours Thursday. Throw in steepening mid level lapse rates in excess of 7 deg C/km and 40kt+ deep layer shear and Effective Bounded Wind Difference(an indication of elevated storm-relative inflow and potential for supercells) on the order of 45-50 knots across areas south of I-20, but particularly across the heart of Central TX and concerns for an severe weather day will be present. When EBWD values approach, or exceed 40 knots of large scale storm-relative inflow, it's a big concern. The highest instability will be situated along and east of I-35/35W where the aforementioned very rich low level moisture will be most prevalent yielding ML/SBCAPE values on the order of 3500-4500 J/KG, with MUCAPE 4500-5000 J/KG. The LARGE positive areas of instability aloft within the hail growth zone(-10-(-30) Deg C layer) tells us that very large hail and damaging winds to 70 mph+ with storms that become severe. Though in this environment the tornado threat is never zero, relatively weak 0-1km flow less than 10 knots will likely keep any threat for tornadoes low. That said, discrete storms that encounter any small scale outflow boundaries and locally backed flow could present an isolated tornado threat may present itself through mid evening hours Thursday. An increasing low level jet during the late evening and overnight should result in convection transitioning to more a multi-cellular storm cluster or MCS across our eastern counties through daybreak Friday morning. As the upper low continues slowly eastward toward the Ozarks and Mississippi/ Tennessee Valleys Friday, low diurnal convective chances will remain along and east of I-45 into the Ark-La-Tex and East TX where backside of a moisture axis result in a few strong late day storms across that area. Large-scale ridging and associated subsidence will begin Friday night and the weekend, bringing with it much warmer temperatures and continued high humidity as surface dew points hover around 70 degrees. The only thing keeping temperatures from hitting the century mark would be all the evapotranspiration occurring from rainfall received in the past week or more. That said, heat index values on the order of 100-105 degrees will present themselves across Central Texas Saturday, then across much of the area outside the immediate Red River Valley Sunday in advance of an approaching and weak late season cold front. It's quite possible our first Heat Advisory(HI's >105F for 2 consecutive days) may be needed for Central Texas, where some areas along and southwest of a Goldthwaite, Waco, Hearne line "could" reach between 107-109 degrees on Sunday with afternoon high ambient temperatures approaching the century mark. Just flat out miserable and if you have outdoor activities or plans across the area this weekend, you will need to prepare for the excessive heat accordingly. In addition to the heat and humidity will be the position and strength of the upper ridge, which now looks to be centered slightly further west the latter half of the weekend into early next week. This may allow subtle shortwave energy to top the ridge and move southeast across the area beginning late Saturday night and continue with the passage of the cold front Sunday into Monday. These subtle lifting features combining with the heat and humidity can be tricky to diagnose, similar to this past Saturday where if a few storms do develop, they can quickly become severe with damaging winds and large hail. We'll continue to diagnose the late weekend/early next week period closely as we get closer in the coming days. Otherwise, look for the cold front to provide at least some minor relief early next as we lose some of the more oppressive humidity with afternoon highs early next week falling back into the 80s. 05/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 83 72 88 71 88 / 60 40 50 40 10 Waco 82 72 90 71 91 / 60 50 30 30 20 Paris 82 69 83 69 84 / 60 50 70 50 40 Denton 83 70 86 68 86 / 50 40 50 40 10 McKinney 82 70 85 69 86 / 60 40 60 50 20 Dallas 83 72 89 71 88 / 60 40 50 50 20 Terrell 82 70 86 70 88 / 70 50 50 50 20 Corsicana 80 71 87 70 87 / 70 50 40 40 20 Temple 84 71 90 71 92 / 60 50 20 30 20 Mineral Wells 83 67 85 66 87 / 40 40 30 30 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && 30/05
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 414 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019 TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-061200- Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin- Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas- Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell- Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro- Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone- Leon-Milam-Robertson- 414 AM CDT Wed Jun 5 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Showers and scattered thunderstorms will increase and become most widespread today along and east of Interstate 35, where locally heavy rainfall may pose a localized risk for flash flooding. Areas along and east of a Terrell, Corsicana, Groesbeck, and Hearne line will see the highest likelihood for flooding through early evening. Otherwise, a few strong strong storms with gusty winds will be possible west of Interstate 35 this afternoon through tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Thunderstorm chances will continue on Thursday, with the best chances expected north of Interstate 20 and east of Interstate 35. Low thunderstorm chances will continue east of Interstate 35 on Friday as well. There will be a threat for strong to severe storms Thursday into Thursday night, particularly south of Interstate 20 where the highest instability will correlate with strong west winds aloft. Damaging winds, large hail, and frequent lightning will be the primary hazards. Temperatures this weekend will climb into the mid to upper 90s. With humid conditions in place, heat index values will exceed 100 degrees across much of the region across Central Texas on Saturday. Areas along and south of I-20 may have to contend with 105+ heat index values, especially Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Broadcast media showed several pictures of water covering rural roads in the city of Avalon, TX.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 833710.