A weak upper level ridge was over the region with upper level disturbances which provided lift that moved over the area. There was abundant moisture and weak mid to upper level winds across West Texas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A weak upper level ridge was over the region with upper level disturbances which provided lift that moved over the area. There was abundant moisture and weak mid to upper level winds across West Texas. These conditions resulted in thunderstorms that produced strong winds and flash flooding due to slow storm motion.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 22, 1:29 PM CST, 3 hours 13 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 229 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019 .DISCUSSION... The main focus for this forecast package is thunderstorms today and Friday with a return to potentially record-breaking heat by the end of the weekend. Weak upper ridging will remain over the region today and tomorrow with several weak disturbances expected to wander overhead. Today, a weak shortwave extends from the Central Plains SW through west TX and into Mexico. This, along with decent mid-level moisture, will help generate afternoon/evening thunderstorms which was already underway at 2:30pm CDT. Best chances will be near and west of the Pecos River however cannot rule out the potential for some isolated thunderstorms farther east over the Permian Basin. Storms may produce heavy rainfall and slow storm motion could result in some areas of flooding. In addition, the stronger storms will be capable of producing strong downburst winds. Thunderstorms will be possible again Friday near the mountain regions and the Big Bend in the afternoon, expanding east in the evening. Otherwise, temperatures through Saturday will remain above normal with highs generally upper 90s. However, areas along the Pecos and Rio Grande river valleys will still see highs near or above 100 during this time. The upper ridge will begin to strengthen its influence over the region this weekend, diminishing rain chances for all through at least mid next week. Meanwhile, the mid-level thermal ridge returns with 850mb temperatures increasing to 30-35C Sunday and Monday. As a result, there is a good chance we will see the return of record breaking high temperatures for much of the region these two days. Models show a cold front sagging south into southeastern New Mexico and the northern Permian Basin Monday night but south winds recover Tuesday afternoon. Also, 850mb temperatures back off quite a bit so high temperatures look to return to the 90s for most Tuesday through Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 75 98 75 97 / 20 10 20 10 Carlsbad 70 99 72 100 / 20 10 20 10 Dryden 76 99 76 100 / 10 30 20 20 Fort Stockton 73 96 73 97 / 20 30 20 10 Guadalupe Pass 68 90 69 91 / 30 30 30 10 Hobbs 70 96 70 97 / 20 10 20 10 Marfa 63 90 62 91 / 40 50 40 20 Midland Intl Airport 74 97 74 98 / 20 10 20 10 Odessa 74 97 74 97 / 20 10 20 10 Wink 74 100 74 101 / 30 10 20 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 03/27
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 108 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082- 270>282-231815- Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains- Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines- Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler- Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- 108 PM CDT Thu Aug 22 2019 /1208 PM MDT Thu Aug 22 2019/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and evening along and west of the Pecos River. Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of cloud to ground lightning. In addition, slow moving storms will be capable of producing brief heavy rain and localized flooding of low lying areas. Strong wind gusts will also be possible in and near thunderstorms. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Scattered showers and thunderstorms over the higher elevations of southwest Texas will be possible on Friday afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms will be capable of cloud to ground lightning. Record or near record heat is expected on Sunday and especially on Monday with temperatures of 105 to 110 possible across the area. Heat advisories or warnings may be possible for a portion of the area. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in Midland, can be found on the internet at... https://weather.gov/midland
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flash flood, 1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm moved across Brewster County and produced a 64 mph wind gust at Persimmon Gap. It was a delayed report due to the cell tower being down. The Mesonet site also had 1.21 inches of rain with this storm.
Heavy rain fell across Pecos County and produced flash flooding south of Coyanosa. There was two feet of water over FM 1776 south of Coyanosa just north of US 285. TXDOT closed the road. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
Heavy rain fell across Pecos County and produced flash flooding south of Coyanosa. FM 1776/McIntyre Road to US 285 had two and a half feet of water over the road. The road was closed. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 848365, 848400, 848402.