Scattered thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain across the region.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILN wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain across the region.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 7, 1:58 AM EST, 3 hours 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 258 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019 .SYNOPSIS... Though temperatures will be cooler today than yesterday, another chance of showers and thunderstorms can be expected, as a cold front moves south through the region. Drier conditions are expected for Monday and Tuesday, with chances for storms returning on Wednesday ahead of the next cold front. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... Current observations indicate that the surface cold front remains well north of the ILN CWA early this morning, with essentially light and variable flow over southern Ohio, with a switch to N / NE flow in just the northwestern corner of the state. GFS/NAM 925mb/850mb projections indicate that a warm and moist air mass remains in place across the Ohio Valley, and thus the anticipated change in overall conditions still appears to have not quite arrived. Abundant low level moisture is expected to allow for some stratus to develop this morning, and a few airports (KVTA/KLHQ/KSGH) have already shown signs of this occurring. Similarly, isolated showers will be possible through the morning, with one having produced a trace amount of precipitation at KILN in the past hour or so. N/NNE wind flow should increase across the forecast area by late morning and afternoon, as the front finally makes more of a push southward through the area. This will keep temperatures slightly cooler than yesterday, though boundary layer moisture will be similar. With only weak low level convergence expected, and little upper support, PoPs will be kept in the 30-40 percent range for this afternoon -- shifting north to south with time. Instability and moisture parameters are both lower than yesterday, which should limit any hazardous weather potential to just some brief downpours, with very low (if any) risk of flash flooding or downburst winds. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... Some legitimate dry advection will be occurring Sunday night, with dewpoints expected to drop by as much as 5-10 degrees by Monday morning. This should lead to dry conditions overnight, which may also lead to the potential for significantly cooler min temps as well -- though there is some concern that stratocumulus could stick around through the overnight hours, limiting cooling potential to some extent. This forecast will run with a range from the lower 60s to upper 60s. On Monday, surface high pressure will be settling into position over the Great Lakes, extending southward through the majority of the ILN forecast area as well. As this occurs, mid-level ridging will begin establishing itself through the Mississippi Valley region, with the Ohio Valley on the eastern periphery of this. Though cold advection will still be occurring, increasing insolation should allow for similar max temps to Sunday -- lower to middle 80s. The one potential challenge for the forecast on Monday involves a low-end potential for precipitation in the southeastern sections of the forecast area. Though drier air will be advecting into the area, as described above, at some point on Monday the boundary layer flow is expected to turn from the north to the northeast. On this trajectory, the drier air may not be able to progress far enough southeast to clear the higher dewpoints (upper 60s) out of the southeastern ILN CWA. Models suggest that a gradient in CAPE will thus exist across the CWA, with as much as 1000-1500 J/kg in the Portsmouth/Vanceburg areas. With that noted, forcing is non-existent, and soundings suggest poor lapse rates and even the presence of some capping in the lowest 5kft. This should keep precipitation chances very limited -- not enough to add to the forecast at this point. The GFS, as is typical, is leading the way with the most expansive QPF depiction of any of the main models for Monday. Its solution is being generally discounted. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... For Monday night into Tuesday, mainly dry weather is anticipated as surface high will be located across much of the Great Lakes region. There is a low probability of a pop up shower/storm (10 PoP at this time) across our far east/southeast Tuesday afternoon in the vicinity of a weak low level inverted trof which is pooling some higher dewpoints in this area. Surface high pressure and a mid level ridge axis will both begin to move east Tuesday night into Wednesday ahead of the next s/wv and associated cold front that will be dropping southeast into the northern Plains and the western Great Lakes. With return flow, increasing moisture, and instability, will continue with a low chance of showers and storms on Wednesday well ahead of this system. Chances for showers and storms are forecast for Wednesday night into Thursday as the s/wv and front traverse east through the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Surface high pressure is then forecast to build back into the region Thursday night into Friday in the wake of this system. High pressure will then be located across our region on Saturday. Typical July highs in the 80s and and lows in the 60s are expected, except for Wednesday/Wednesday night where highs in the upper 80s to the lower 90s will fall into the upper 60s to the lower 70s. && .AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Some periods of MVFR conditions are expected overnight, with both visibilities and/or ceilings expected to deteriorate into the MVFR range at all TAF sites. At KLCK/KCMH, some IFR ceilings are possible near daybreak. VFR conditions are then expected through the rest of the day, with N / NNE winds generally under 10 knots. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop during the afternoon, but coverage appears too low to include specifically in the TAFs at this point, so a VCSH will be used. OUTLOOK...Thunderstorms are possible again from Wednesday through Thursday. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && SYNOPSIS...Hatzos NEAR TERM...Hatzos SHORT TERM...Hatzos LONG TERM...Hickman AVIATION...Hatzos
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 448 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-080900- Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio- Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke- Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison- Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway- Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown- Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto- 448 AM EDT Sun Jul 7 2019 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. HATZOS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1238 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0619 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW HEBRON 39.98N 82.50W
07/06/2019 LICKING OH 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN NEAR BEAVER RUN RD SE
AND BLACKS RD SE.
&&
HICKMANPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1247 AM EDT SUN JUL 7 2019
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0645 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 ESE NEWARK 40.02N 82.31W
07/06/2019 LICKING OH 911 CALL CENTER
TREES AND POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS PLEASANT
CHAPEL RD SE LOCATED NORTH OF BLUE JAY RD SE.
&&
HICKMANThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
4 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
State Route 104 was closed at the Deer Creek Bridge due to flooding.
High water was reported along a portion of Cherry Lane.
High water was reported in the 12000 block of Lancaster-Kirkersville Road.
High water was reported near the intersection of Blacklick Road and Basil Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2019Every state in 2019This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, July 2019
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 828102, 828103, 828104, 828105.